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Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020 #546374
11/20/20 06:03 AM
11/20/20 06:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Very cloudy this morning. Moist and unstable conditions will continue over the area.
Advisories: *A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor. A Flood Warning is in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas of the country due to heavy rainfall. Residents in the Belize River Valley and downstream should remain vigilant as the rising flood waters move downstream to the coast.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy to overcast skies with continuous rain, outbreaks of showers and a few thunderstorms.
Winds: NE, 10-20 kts, Gusty
Sea State: Rough
Waves: 6-9 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for some showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms especially over the south and coast.
Sargassum Forecast from November 17, 2020 to November 25, 2020: Sargassum impacts over our area remain low and no major change is expected during the new few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Two tropical waves are in the Caribbean Sea. All precipitation in the Caribbean Sea is indirectly or directly related to these two tropical waves. The eastward extension of the monsoon trough in the East Pacific is across Panama near 08N81W into Colombia near 11N73W.

Scatterometer data shows strong E to NE winds across most of the NW Caribbean Sea, and fresh trade winds in the eastern Caribbean.

High pressure north of the area is supporting fresh to strong winds and large seas in the northwest Caribbean. Winds and seas will gradually diminish through Sat as the high pressure weakens. Large northerly swell will impact the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands into early next week.


  High Low
Coastal 28° C
82° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 29° C
84° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 21° C
70° F
18° C
64° F
TIDES:
Low: 8:32 AM High: 2:50 PM
Low: 7:43 PM High: 1:49 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 6:00 AM Moonrise: 11:21 AM
Sunset: 5:15 PM Moonset: 10:49 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546375
11/20/20 06:04 AM
11/20/20 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There are no organized features in the Atlantic basin at this time.

A non-tropical area of low pressure could form between the Bahamas and Bermuda by early next week. The system could gradually develop subtropical characteristics through the middle of next week while it moves northeastward over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Accumulated Rainfall (mm) up to 6:30 pm (November 19,2020). Highest rainfall total so far Thursday is 120.6 mm or 4.8 inches in Yo Chen Corozal.

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For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546379
11/20/20 07:59 AM
11/20/20 07:59 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,992
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain and more flooding. The wind is from the NE at 20 mph. Today's expected high temperature is 82 f.

nov.jpg

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546380
11/20/20 10:06 AM
11/20/20 10:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The Caribbean winds are strong all over the area, from the ENE, but there is a lot of high level cloud from the Pacific, presently, forming blankets over much of our area. The rain last night was an indication that we are in a low pressure area and the rain just being squeezed out of the air. I measured 58mm (2.3") of rain over the last 12 hours, that can not be put down to the storm we had, but the type of weather that enabled that storm to have developed in the first place.

Looks as if today will again be mainly cloudy, some heavy cloud, some light rain and matches of heavy rain, presently in the north.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 23C 74F Yesterday 27C 81F Yesterday Rain 46.5 mm ( 1.8")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546382
11/20/20 12:06 PM
11/20/20 12:06 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Still quite cloudy....

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Present Condition: Continued rain and clouds especially in the north. Road to town from northern Ambergris Caye is not terrible - a few spots to go slow. Moist and unstable conditions linger with the approach of a tropical wave.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy to overcast with some showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms, around the country, but especially over the southern districts.

A Small Craft Warning is in effect for coastal waters of the country. Operators of small crafts should seek safe harbor. A Flood Warning is in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas of the country due to heavy rainfall. Residents in the Belize River Valley and downstream should remain vigilant as the rising flood waters move downstream to the coast.

Outlook: Some showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms will contiue on Saturday afternoon and night, decreasing slightly on Sunday.

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Remnants of Hurricane Iota continues to dump rain in Belize; thousands affected in other parts of Central America

The current rainy weather is expected to continue at least until Saturday, when fewer showers are being forecast by the National Meteorological Service of Belize. A flood warning continues in effect for the Belize, Cayo, Stann Creek, and Toledo Districts. The inclement weather is attributed to the remnants of Iota located inland over El Salvador. Iota slammed into Nicaragua earlier this week as a Category 5 hurricane, devastating communities in its path and killing at least 30 persons across Central America.

In Belize, a small craft warning continues in effect for coastal waters, and operators of small crafts should seek safe harbour. As heavy rainfall continues to affect the country, residents in areas such as the Belize River Valley and downstream to the coast should remain vigilant. This is because there is a possibility that rising flood waters will move downstream toward the coast.

Click here to read the rest of the article in the San Pedro Sun

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Roaring Creek Bridge affected by floodwaters. This village is at the entrance by the Capital City, Belmopan. (Photo by Mohit Surtani)

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 20, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546383
11/20/20 01:18 PM
11/20/20 01:18 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 70,402
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Flood Report and Forecast
Friday November 20, 2020 12:00 pm

FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR RIVERS, STREAMS, CREEKS and WATERWAYS IN THE BELIZE, CENTRAL, WESTERN, AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (includes - San Ignacio, Benque, Banana Bank, Double Run, Crooked Tree, the Belize River Valley and surrounding communities and Downstream to the coast).

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COMMUNITIES DOWNSTREAM ON THE RIO HONDO. (residents in the downstream areas of the Rio Hondo are to remain vigilant as flood water from Blue Creek continues to move downstream.)


River Conditions

REGION 7 - The RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream at Santa Cruz ARE AT FLOOD STAGE and continues to rise, at San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas levels are approaching flood stage and continues to increase steadily. Levels continues to increase on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities reservoir levels are above the spillways. At San Ignacio, Flood levels remains above the low-level bridge and continue to increase. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, flood levels continue to increase.

On the BELIZE RIVER, in the upper Belize River at Banana Bank and surrounding areas, Flood Levels are increasing, while in the lower Belize River, at Belize River Valley and surrounding communities, Double Run and near the Haulover Creek to the coast, Flood Levels continues to increase. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON. the causeway is inundated as flood levels continues to increase

REGION 11 - Flood levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun continues to increase. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is at Flood Stage. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are at FLOOD STAGE and receding. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near Flood Stage and receding. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are at Flood Stage and receding. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are above normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South is at Flood Stage and receding. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco is at Flood Stage and increasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are at Flood Stage and steady.

WEEKEND - FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - The RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream at Santa Cruz are at flood stage, and at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast will continue to increase and approach flood stage. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill, and Caledonia, levels are expected to continue to increasing and approach bankfull stage through the weekend. RESIDENTS IN THE DOWNSTREAM AREAS OF THE RIO HONDO ARE TO REMAIN VIGILANT AS FLOOD WATER FROM BLUE CREEK CONTINUES TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM.

REGION 9 - Through the weekend, on the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are expected to remain above the spillway; while at San Ignacio, Flood levels are expected to remain above the low-level bridge and continue to increase. On the MOPAN RIVER, at Benque Viejo river levels are expected to continue to increase.

On the BELIZE RIVER, at Banana Bank, Belize River Valley and surrounding communities, Double Run and near Haulover Creek to the Coast, increasing Flood Levels are expected to continue. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, the causeway is expected to remain inundated as flood levels continue to increase.

REGION 11 - Increasing flood levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is expected to continue then become steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is expected to continue to increase then become steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, levels are expected to increase and remain in flood stage. Receding flood stage levels on the MOHO and TEMASH RIVERS are expected to increase and will remain at flood stage.

REGION 13 - Receding flood stage levels on the SARSTOON RIVER is expected to increase and remain at flood stage.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Monday November 23, 2020 at 12 pm.

===================

Rain everywhere. This is just what this part of the world is like right now.

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NEMO ADVISORY # 7: FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL BELIZE
FRIDAY, 20TH NOVEMBER, 2020, 6:00 PM

The National Meteorological Services of Belize and NEMO hereby inform the general public that rainfall associated with the remnants of Hurricane Iota continues to contribute to flooding in Central areas of the country.
All major highways are open. The Low Lying Bridge in San Ignacio, Iguana Creek Bridge, and Branch Mouth Hammock Bridge remains closed. The Succotz and Backing Pot Ferry are also closed. In Belmopan the J&W and More Tomorrow areas are inaccessible. In Belize Rural the Maypen, Grace Bank and Crooked Tree villages are all inaccessible.

The Macal, Mopan Rivers in the Cayo District, and the Sibun and Belize Rivers in the Belize district, continues to steadily rise. Belize River, Mount Pleasant Creek, Maya Mopan Creek and Roaring Creek are also rising in the Cayo District. In the Belize Rural area, the water levels are rising in the Crooked Tree Lagoon, Mexico Creek, and Big Falls Creek. The Rio Hondo and New Rivers in the north are rising slowly.
Two hundred and thirty five (235) persons are in shelters throughout the country, primarily in the Belize Rural area (Crooked Tree, Rancho Dolores, Bermudan Landing, Burrell Boom, and Lemonal) and Cayo district (Calla Creek and Bishop Martin School), Orange walk (Trial Farm).

Major relief operations are underway to assist the affected populations and cattle farmers.

NEMO and the National Met Service will keep the general public updated on any further developments. NEMO STRONGLY advises the general public to adhere to the advisories, dont take risks with their life, and move out of flood waters.

==============

1 mile from Corozal Town on the Consejo Road behind Oasis. This was around 11:45 a.m. Flood water on the road is about 2.5 to 3 feet. Small cars, motorcycles and bicycles should exercise caution.





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Photos by San Pedro Scoop

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