Belize Weather Forecast: November 26, 2020 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning, less so in the north. A moist easterly to northeasterly airflow prevails over the area. Advisories: *A flood warning remains in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas across the country as well as for communities downstream of rivers and streams in the northern, western and central parts of the country.* 24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over most areas this morning then mainly over inland areas this afternoon. Tonight will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms. Winds: E-NE, 5-15 kts Sea State: Choppy Waves: 3-5 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 83 Outlook: Generally fair with isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms Friday then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect northern and some coastal areas Friday night. Sargassum Forecast from November 26, 2020 to December 02, 2020: Sargassum impacts are expected to remain minimal during the next week with the chance of only a few mats landing on local beaches. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea Upper level anticyclonic wind flow spans the Caribbean Sea, from Hispaniola westward. A mid-level trough covers Central America. The monsoon trough extends from 11N74W in northern Colombia to 09N83W in southern Costa Rica. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 11N to 16N between 81W and 85W, and from 09N to 11N between 79W and 84W. High pressure north of the region will increase winds and seas in the central Caribbean today. Moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail across most of the area tonight through Sunday. A cold front will reach the NW Caribbean Monday night.   High Low Coastal 29° C 84° F 25° C 77° F Inland 28° C 83° F 21° C 70° F Hills 23° C 74° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: High: 8:02 AM Low: 1:36 PM High: 7:35 PM Low: 3:45 AM (Fri) Sunrise: 6:04 AM Moonrise: 3:05 PM Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonset: 2:57 AM (Fri) Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

There are no organized features in the Atlantic basin at this time.

The area of disturbed weather that has plagued Central America with localized heavy rainfall during the past few days is producing less concentrated rain, and this feature is expected to creep to the west and fall apart during the next couple of days.

A frontal low pressure system is located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. The low is forecast to interact with an upper-level trough today and could slowly acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next day or two while it drifts south-southwestward. Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form over the far eastern Atlantic during the weekend. This system could gradually gain subtropical characteristics while it moves slowly southward through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.







For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

That so called tropical wave went over Nicaragua and Guatamala over night and its top edge is now over Toledo, also causing some rain offshore central Belize and some inland central areas. There is significant rain cloud over Toledo and out into the Caribbean, which may well be bringing more patches of rain, some heavy, over many parts of Belize during the morning and into the afternoon.

Looks as if today will be mixed, significant rain in many areas, a fair amount of cloud and some sunshine between.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 23°C 73°F Yesterday 27°C 80°F Yesterday Rain 7 mm ( 0.3")

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a sunny day with a breeze from the East at 14 mph creating a calm sea condition around our barrier reef. The expected high temperature for the day is 84 f.

Sunshine and rain areas continue...

Present Condition: Partly cloudy, more clear in the north. Relatively moist and unstable conditions dominate our weather.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over most areas this afternoon, then mainly over inland and southern areas tonight, decreasing tomorrow morning.

A flood warning is in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas across the country as well as for communities downstream of rivers and streams in the northern, western and central parts of the country.

Outlook: Generally fair conditions are expected on Friday afternoon, followed by a slight increase in showers mainly over northern and coastal areas on Friday night, decreasing by Saturday morning.



Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST
Thursday November 26, 2020 12:00 pm

FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RIVERS, STREAMS, CREEKS and WATERWAYS IN THE BELIZE, CENTRAL, and WESTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (includes - San Ignacio, Benque, Banana Bank, Double Run, Crooked Tree, Maypen. Lemonal, Rancho Dolores, Flowers Bank, Scotland Halfmoon, Boston. Lucky Strike. Rock Stone Pond. Lord's Bank. Burrell Boom, Grace Bank, Western Pines communities and Downstream to the coast - Belize City.

FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COMMUNITIES DOWNSTREAM ON THE RIO HONDO. (RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS (especially the Albion Island area) ARE TO REMAIN VIGILANT AS FLOOD WATERS FROM BLUE CREEK CONTINUES TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM.

River Conditions

REGION 7 - The RIO HONDO at Blue Creek is still at flood stage and is receding slowly while downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas, flood stage levels persist and but is not beginning to crest. Levels on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia are now above normal and receding.

REGION 9 - Reservoir levels on the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities remains above the spillways and continue to recede slowly; while at San Ignacio, Flood levels are expected to continue to recede. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are above normal and receding.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank, Belize River Valley and surrounding communities. Double Run and near the Haulover Creek to the coast. increasing Flood Levels persist. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, the causeway remains inundated as flood levels continue to rise.

REGION 11 - Receding Flood levels persist on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are above normal and falling. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and receding. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are above normal and receding slowly. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are above normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South is near normal and continues to recede. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are above normal and continue to recede.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and steady.

24 HR. FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - Receding Flood stage on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek is expected to continue while downstream at Santa Cruz. San Antonio, San Roman. and Douglas to the coast levels is expected to begin to recede. Above normal levels on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill, and Caledonia, is expected to continue to recede.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are expected to continue to recede; while at San Ignacio. receding Flood levels are expected to persist and remain above the low-level bridge. Receding levels on the MOPAN RIVER, at Benque Viejo Town are expected to continue.

On the BELIZE RIVER. at Banana Bank. Belize River Valley and surrounding communities. Double Run and near Haulover Creek to the Coast, increasing Flood Levels are expected to persist. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, the causeway is expected to remain inundated as flood levels continue to increase.

REGION 11 - Flood levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is expected to continue to recede slowly.

Receding levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is expected to continue. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, normal and steady levels are expected. Receding levels on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is expected continue. Above normal levels on the MONKEY RIVER and RIO GRANDE are expected to recede to near normal levels. Near normal levels on the MOHO at Jordan and Blue Creek are expected to continue. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco levels are expected to recede to near normal levels.

REGION 13 - Above normal levels on the SARSTOON RIVER is expected to continue.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Friday November 27. 2020 at 12 pm

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Very grateful this Thanksgiving. Though not a holiday in Belize...I hope those celebrating and those not celebrating have a great day. Photo by San Pedro Scoop



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Happy Thanksgiving!! Some views around town. Photos by Marlena Gomez