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Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 #546522
11/27/20 06:12 AM
11/27/20 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,176
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning. A light easterly to northeasterly airflow prevails over the area.
Advisories: *A flood warning remains in effect for communities near rivers, streams, creeks and waterways in central and western parts of the country, as well as for communities downstream from the Rio Hondo River in the north.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny skies with cloudy spells today along with isolated showers. Cloudy skies at times tonight with a few showers or periods of light rain mainly over northern and coastal areas.
Winds: E-NE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 83
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for partly cloudy skies with showers being generally isolated.
Sargassum Forecast from November 27, 2020 to December 02, 2020: Sargassum impacts are expected to remain minimal during the next week with the chance of only a few mats landing on local beaches. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Scattered moderate convection is occurring S of 13N W of 77W in the far SW Caribbean along the extension of the eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Otherwise, with high pressure north of the area and low pressure over South and Central America, fresh trade winds prevail.

Moderate to fresh trades will continue across most of the basin into early next week. A cold front will reach the NW Caribbean Mon evening and extend from eastern Cuba to near the border of Honduras and Nicaragua late Tue. The front will be followed by fresh to strong northwest winds and building seas. Winds and seas are expected to diminish Tue. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to precede the front.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
85° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 32° C
89° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 24° C
76° F
18° C
65° F
TIDES:
High: 8:44 AM Low: 2:10 PM
High: 8:03 PM Low: 3:04 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 6:04 AM Moonrise: 3:40 PM
Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonset: 4:33 AM (Sat)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546523
11/27/20 06:12 AM
11/27/20 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,176
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There are no organized features in the Atlantic basin at this time.

The area of disturbed weather that has plagued Central America with localized heavy rainfall during the past few days is producing less-concentrated rain, and this feature is expected to creep to the west and fall apart during the weekend.

A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Little development is expected for the next day or two due to unfavorable upper-level winds. By late Saturday or Sunday, however, environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics while it moves northeastward ahead of a frontal system. By early next week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development as the system interacts with or becomes absorbed by a frontal system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form over the far eastern Atlantic during the weekend. This system could gradually gain subtropical characteristics while it moves slowly southward to the west of Portugal through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

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For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546524
11/27/20 06:56 AM
11/27/20 06:56 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,332
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a NE breeze at 12 mph creating calm sea conditions around our barrier reef. It's a sunny day with an expected high temperature is 85 f.

nov 27th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546525
11/27/20 08:42 AM
11/27/20 08:42 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,176
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
We are in sort of normal weather conditions, easterly Caribbean winds with clouds and patches of rain, not normally a problem, bu the ground is saturated so it is a problem at present.

Looks as if today will again be a mixture of cloud, sun and a strong possibility of the odd rain shower.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 23°C 74°F Yesterday 29°C 84°F Yesterday Rain 17.5 mm ( 0.7")

129F0137-D3F9-410D-84BD-D90B7946D18C.png
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546527
11/27/20 11:13 AM
11/27/20 11:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,176
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
High level hardly visible, but it is helping some cloud and perhaps rain in a few spots.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546531
11/27/20 12:14 PM
11/27/20 12:14 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,176
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly clear. A light easterly to northeasterly airflow prevails over the area.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. Showers will be isolated this afternoon, and then a few showers or periods of rain will occur mostly over northern and coastal areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

A flood warning remains in effect for communities near rivers, streams, creeks and waterways in central and western parts of the country, as well as for communities downstream the rio hondo river in the north.

Outlook: For Saturday afternoon through to midday on Sunday is for generally isolated showers or periods of light rain at first, increasing on Sunday.

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST
Friday November 27. 2020 12:00 pm

FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RIVERS, STREAMS, CREEKS and WATERWAYS ON THE BELIZE RIVER (includes - San Ignacio, Benque, Banana Bank, Double Run, Sandhill, Crooked Tree, Maypen, Lemonal, Rancho Dolores, Flowers Bank, Scotland Halfmoon, Boston, Lucky Strike, Rock Stone Pond. Lord's Bank, Burrell Boom, Grace Bank, Western Pines communities and Downstream to the coast - Belize City.

FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COMMUNITIES DOWNSTREAM ON THE RIO HONDO. (RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS (especially the Albion Island area) ARE TO REMAIN VIGILANT AS FLOOD WATERS FROM BLUE CREEK CONTINUES TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM.

River Conditions

REGION 7 - The RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas, and do'ernstream to the coast, flood stage levels are receding Levels on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia are receding.

REGION 9 - Reservoir levels on the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities remains above the spillways and continue to recede slowly: while at San Ignacio, receding flood levels persist. Receding levels persist on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank, Belize River Valley and surrounding communities, Double Run and near the Haulover Creek to the coast. increasing Flood Levels persist. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON. the causeway remains inundated as flood levels continue to rise minimally.

REGION 11 - Receding Flood levels persist on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are above normal and continue to fall. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are normal and falling. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and continues to recede. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are above normal and steady. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are above normal and falling. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South is above normal and receding. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are above normal and rising.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and rising.

24 HR. FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - Receding Flood stage levels on the RIO HONDO, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast is expected to continue to fall. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels is expected to continue to recede.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are expected to continue to recede: while at San Ignacio. receding Flood levels are expected to recede below the low-level bridge. Receding levels on the MOPAN RIVER. at Benque Viejo Town are expected fall to normal levels.

On the BELIZE RIVER. at Banana Bank, Belize River Valley and surrounding communities. Double Run and near Haulover Creek to the Coast, persisting Flood Levels are expected to continue to increase and become steady. Flood levels at Double have exceeded the historical Hurricane Mitch level and now approaches the historical hurricane Keith level of 7.0m. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON. the causeway is expected to remain inundated as flood levels continue to minimally increase.

REGION 11 - Receding Flood levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is expected to continue.

Receding levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is expected to continue. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, normal and steady levels are expected. Receding levels on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is expected continue. Above normal levels on the MONKEY RIVER and RIO GRANDE are expected to continue to recede to near normal levels. Above normal levels on the MOHO at Jordan and Blue Creek are expected to continue to recede. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco levels are expected to begin to recede.

REGION 13 - Above normal levels on the SARSTOON RIVER is expected to continue.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Saturday November 28. 2020 at 12 pm

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 27, 2020 [Re: Marty] #546532
11/27/20 01:45 PM
11/27/20 01:45 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,176
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
According to reports from various commuters, parts of the Sarteneja Road are in bad condition. You may be able to make it to and from the village if you have a 4 x 4 vehicle but exercise caution. Corozal Daily

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[Linked Image]

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[Linked Image]

Iguana Creek Bridge, Friday 11:30am
Blackman Eddy to Spanish Lookout, Cayo. No passing today
Photo by André T. Scholz

[Linked Image]

Beautiful Township Day in San Pedro! Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

More pictures of San Pedro today HERE!

A cold front is approaching the Gulf of México and Central America this 28th - 30th of November.

[Linked Image]


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