Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy this morning. Moist conditions persist over the area.
Mostly cloudy with a few showers around the country this morning. Showers will decrease and become isolated this afternoon.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for isolated showers, except for slightly more over inland areas in the afternoon.
Sargassum Forecast from December 29, 2020 to January 06, 2021:
Impacts from sargassum are expected to remain minimal during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1).
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The Caribbean Sea
This is supporting strong trade winds across the south central
and southwest Caribbean early this morning, with fresh winds over
the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate E winds are observed
over the northwest Caribbean. Seas are in the 10-14 ft range over
the southwest and south- central Caribbean, south of 18N and west
of 70W. Seas are 7-10 ft over the eastern Caribbean, and 5-8 ft
over the northwestern Caribbean.
A surface trough that was previously located in the far eastern
Caribbean has dissipated early this morning.
For the forecast, strong winds will gradually decrease over the
basin today, and gales will end off the coast of Colombia this
morning, as the high pressure building south into the region
weakens. Through the first half of the week, expect mainly
moderate trades, with pulses of locally strong east winds N of
Colombia tonight and Mon night. A weak cold front will cross the
northwestern Caribbean early in the week.
The Caribbean is now fairly clear of cloud, but the SW high level is still everywhere, still causing a blanket of cloud over all Belize and did cause some more rain early this morning. The rains yesterday, were probably the most, by far, for January for very many years, in fact heavier than normal, even in the wet season, over 95mm almost 4" of rain in 24 hours, and that on top of an already totally saturated ground from the horrendous rains in November. And now it looks as if another cold front is trying to push its way down.
Looks as if most of today will continue to be cloudy, but a lot less rain than yesterday, perhaps some sunshine.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 22°C 72°F Yesterday 26°C 78°F Yesterday Rain 95 mm ( 3.8") This Morning Rain 6.4 mm ( 0.3")
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: January 4, 2021
#547277 01/04/2111:16 AM01/04/2111:16 AM
The cloud is certainly thinning to give increased sunlight. Looks like very few possible rain areas. There is a movement of air coming down from the NW. . . Not quite sure what. . . It has the appearance of high level cloud, but that does not figure, so I suspect it is cool air pushing in under the warmer air, making ripples in the higher warm air. So I expect our temperatures to rise today, but should that cold air get further, we may have more cool air tomorrow.
Present Condition: Cloudy in the north and south, not so much in the central part of the country right now. A relatively moist airflow continues to dominate our weather.
24hr Forecast: Sunny skies today with some cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy becoming cloudy at times. Shower activity will be isolated during the daytime. Tonight and tomorrow morning expect a few showers developing mainly along coastal areas.
Outlook: Tuesday afternoon thru to Wednesday afternoon is for few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing over inland areas during Tuesday afternoon, elsewhere shower activity will be isolated.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz. San Antonio. and Douglas, levels are below normal and steady and at San Roman levels are near normal and falling. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are above normal and steady. REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillway and rising slowly; while at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are near normal and show a minimal rise.
THE BELIZE RIVER at Double Run is above normal shows a minimal rise. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains at FLOOD STAGE and steady.
REGION 11 - Levels are below normal and rising on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are normal but show a minimal rise. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is above normal and rising. On the Swasey and Bladen Branches of the MONKEY RIVER levels are below normal and rising slowly. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal rising slowly. Levels on the MOHO RIVER at Jordan are above normal and rising and at Blue Creek South Levels have exceeded the wooden bridge and rising. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are above normal and rising.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and rising.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek. Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas and to the coast, below normal levels is expected to increase minimally. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia above normal levels are expected to continue.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels is expected to increase; at San Ignacio. levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, above normal and rising levels are expected to continue over the next few days. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, FLOOD STAGE is expected to continue over the next few days.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun. below normal levels is expected to increase to near normal levels. Normal and steady levels are expected to continue on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, normal levels are expected to increase and approach above normal levels. On the SITTEE RIVER. at Kendal Bridge above normal levels are expected to continue. On the MONKEY RIVER at Swasey and Bladen below normal levels is expected increase to above normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia below normal levels are expected to increase to near normal levels; while at Big Falls. below normal levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Jordan and Blue Creek South receding levels are expected. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER are expected to recede to near normal levels.
REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER. near normal levels are expected.
The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Wednesday January 6. 2021 at 12 pm
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: January 4, 2021
#547287 01/05/2105:29 AM01/05/2105:29 AM