Belize Weather Forecast: January 13, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy this morning. Relatively moist airflow continues to dominate our weather. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies with a few showers and periods rain developing mainly along coastal areas during the morning, then spreading to most areas during the afternoon and night. Winds: N-NE, 5-15 kts Sea State: Choppy Waves: 3-5 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81 Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for a few cloudy spells with a gradual decrease in showers during the morning, thereafter shower activity will be isolated. Sargassum Forecast from January 5, 2020 to January 13, 2021: There is the chance of a few sargassum mats drifting into the area this week but impacts are expected to remain minimal to moderate. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1). Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea The surface pressure gradient between high pressure north of the area and the comparatively lower surface pressure in Colombia and Panama, is supporting strong winds in the south-central Caribbean Sea near the coast of Colombia. Scatterometer data this morning showed 25 to 30 kt winds in this area. The monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia near 11N74W, to 10N80W, across western Panama and Costa Rica, to beyond 09N84W into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Scattered showers are noted from 09N to 13N between 77W and 83W. Broken to overcast low and mid-level clouds and isolated showers span the rest of the Caribbean Sea, moving with the low level wind flow, away from the area of the monsoon trough precipitation. High pressure north of the area will maintain fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean through Wednesday, with strongest winds expected to continue near the coast of Colombia. Winds and seas will diminish Thursday and Friday as the high pressure shifts eastward.   High Low Coastal 27° C 81° F 22° C 72° F Inland 29° C 84° F 20° C 68° F Hills 20° C 68° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: High: 11:05 AM Low: 3:41 PM High: 10:07 PM Low: 5:16 AM (Thu) Sunrise: 6:26 AM Moonrise: 6:54 AM Sunset: 5:37 PM Moonset: 6:15 PM Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

On Ambergris Caye this morning the NE breeze is 3 mph. The sea around our barrier reef is calm. Today's expected high temperature is 81 f.

Today continues very much like the last few days, a lot of cloud everywhere, a little bit of sun in a few places, presently in the north. The easterly Caribbean clouds over most of the area, only a few places the SW high level cloud significant. There appears to be some cool air moving in over central Mexico towards Guatamala, the surface wind is from the SSW at present, a lot of fog or low cloud in many parts this morning.

Looks as if today will again me mainly cloudy, could be some rain and a little sunshine, but changable.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 22°C 72°F Yesterday 26°C 79°F Yesterday Rain 26.5 mm ( 1.0")

Present Condition: Mostly cloudy, some clearing along the shoreline. Relatively moist conditions prevail.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers or periods of rain affecting mainly inland and northern areas this afternoon and mainly the coast tonight gradually decreasing tomorrow.

Outlook: Some cloudy spells with isolated showers for Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.





Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Beautiful Sunrise this morning in San Pedro, photo by Jorge Aldana

The weather is actually rather complex at present.
Not much high level ( Orange ) from the SW, but the main cloud is the easterly Caribbean winds. But under that, the cool air ( Blue ) is creping in over Belize, under the Caribbean winds ( White ). But the surface wind ( Green ) is from the SW, at least in the Belmopan area.



Flood Report and Forecast for January 13, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Roman and Douglas levels are below normal and show a minimal rise and at San Antonio below normal levels continues to falling. On the NEW RIVER at Caledonia levels are below normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillway; while at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are normal and steady.

The BELIZE RIVER at Double Run is normal and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains at FLOOD STAGE and continues to fall slowly.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is below normal and steady. On MONKEY RIVER at the Swasey Branch levels are above normal and steady; while on the Bladen Branch levels are below normal and falling slowly. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South are normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South levels are above normal and falling slowly. On the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco levels are above normal and falling.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and falling.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, no significant change is expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia no significant change is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels is expected to remain below the spillway at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change is expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, no significant change in river level is expected over the next few days. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, FLOOD STAGE is expected to continue to recede.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER and SOUTHERN LAGOON, no significant change in river level is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, normal and steady levels are expected to increase minimally. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge river levels are expected to recede becoming normal. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER no significant change in river level is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South no significant change in river level is expected. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South a minimal increase in river level is expected. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER are expected to increase minimally.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, river levels is expected to increase minimally.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Monday January 18, 2021 at 12 pm

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San Pedro today, Photo by San Pedro Scoop







Lovely evening at Belizean Dreams Resort in Hopkins Village. Photos by Hopkins Uncut