General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Cloudy this morning. Relatively moist conditions prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast:
Cloudy with isolated showers today, increasing to a few showers and periods of rain with the chance of an isolated thunderstorm developing tonight.
Winds: N-NW, 5-10 kts ,
BECOMING
N-NE, 10-20 kts, Gusty Sea State: Slight
BECOMING
Moderate
Waves: 1-3 ft
BECOMING
4-6 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
Outlook:
For Saturday and Saturday night is for periods of light rain continuing mostly over coastal and southern areas.
Sargassum Forecast from January 13, 2020 to January 20, 2021:
Impacts from sargassum are expected to continue minimal to moderate this week with the chance of a few mats drifting ashore. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1).
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Marine Conditions:
The Caribbean Sea
A stationary front passes through the Straits of Florida, to the
coast of NW Cuba, to the NE Yucatan Peninsula. A few light showers
are possible along the front in the Yucatan Channel, due to light,
moist southerly flow overrunning the frontal boundary.
Elsewhere, weak ridging over eastern Cuba is still strong enough
to support fresh to strong trade winds off Colombia, with seas
estimated to be 8 ft, mainly off the coast between Cartagena and
Barranquilla. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are
estimated elsewhere over all but the northwest Caribbean, where
light to gentle breezes and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail. Regional radar
indicates a few showers moving rapidly westward in the trade wind
flow across the Windward Islands.
For the forecast, a cold front moving eastward over the waters
north of 27N is reinforcing a weak stationary front from Bermuda
to the Straits of Florida. The merged front will continue eastward
and move east of 65W through late today. The next cold front will
enter the NW waters tonight and reach from 31N75W across the NW
Bahamas to western Cuba Sat morning, from 28N65W to eastern Cuba
Sun morning, then stall and dissipate through Mon. Meanwhile,
another front will move off the NE Florida coast late Sun night,
move east and reach from Bermuda to central Cuba by late Mon, and
stall from 24N65W to eastern Cuba by late Tue.
On Ambergris Caye this morning the sea around our barrier reef is flat calm from a North breeze at 7 mph. The expected high temperature for the day is 80f.
What we see appears to be very similar to yesterday, but there are changes. The cool air is now hardly moving, but it is still diverting the Caribbean down towards the south, and even stationary as it gets to Honduras. But there is now much more high level cloud over Belize, presently fairly thing and not clashing.
Looks as if today will continue as a mixed cloud and sunshine day, mainly cloud, but unlikely any rain.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 21°C 71°F Yesterday 26°C 78°F Yesterday Rain 0.6 mm ( 0")
Present Condition: Partly cloudy, A cold front is approaching the country.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy with an increase in showers and periods of rain around the country later this evening and tonight. Periods of rain will affect mainly coastal and southern areas tomorrow morning.
Outlook: Cloudy skies with periods of rain will continue to affect mainly coastal and southern areas Sunday afternoon and night, increasing along with showers and thunderstorms on Monday morning, around the country.
The cool air from the north appears to have come to a stop and the Caribbean air off shore up in the north also come to a stop, there is very slight movement of Caribbean air from the east, over southern Belize. Looks as if the Caribbean winds are starting to try to pus the cool air away over the next few days. There is a fair amount of very thing high levl cloud from the SW This is all leaving a fair amount of sunshine getting through in some places.
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