Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy, some clearing in the south near the shoreline. Relatively moist airflow prevails.
Sunny skies today with some cloudy spells and a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mainly over northern areas. Tonight skies will cloudy at times along with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting mainly southern districts.
Winds: NE, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
For Saturday and Saturday night is for a few showers developng mainly over southern areas.
Sargassum Forecast from January 26, 2021 to February 3:
Latest satellite imagery suggests that sargassum has increased over the area and there is a medium chance of sargassum landing on local beaches with moderate impacts during the coming days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1).
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The Caribbean Sea
A dissipating cold front extends across the NW Caribbean Sea
from 21N77W in central Cuba to near 20N88W in the northern
Yucatan peninsula. Isolated showers and gusty north to northeast
winds are associated with the front.
Broken to overcast low level clouds, and isolated showers, span
the rest of the Caribbean Sea. The clouds and isolated moderate
precipitation are moving with the easterly low level wind flow.
The dissipating cold front will move southward and weaken across
the NW Caribbean through Saturday morning. Strong high pressure
north of the area will support fresh to strong winds across the
south-central Caribbean through Tuesday, with gale conditions
expected near the coast of northern Colombia Saturday night.
Large northerly swell will propagate through the NE Caribbean
passages and into the Tropical N Atlantic waters through the
weekend, with the largest swell expected Saturday night through
Sunday night. A second cold front is forecast to approach the NW
Caribbean on Monday.
The cool air is coming down over the Yucatan and forcing the Caribbean air to also come down from the NE. The Caribbean winds have a lot of cloud in it covering the whole of north and central Belize, yet the surface wind is from the west, so the cool air is coming in from the west under the Caribbean air, causing a blanket of cloud or high level fog.
The high level blanket fog should thin later this morning, but probably still remain very cloudy for most of Belize, I can not detect if there is any rain or not.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 22°C 71°F Yesterday 29°C 84°F Yesterday Rain 15 mm ( 0.6")
Feels to me, as if the surface cool air from the west this morning is now being reversed by the Caribbean wind.
The cool air clearly did get out to the east under the Caribbean air and into the sea, but is being stopped by the Caribbean air, so we have a lot of cloud in north and central Belize which is causing some patches of rain, presently just light rain.
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy except in the deep south. Relatively moist conditions prevail. A small craft warning will go into effect later tonight for rough seas.
24hr Forecast: Skies will be mostly cloudy with periods of rain and a few showers affecting most places this afternoon, lingering over the southern district tomorrow.
Outlook: Some cloudy spells with periods of rain and isolated showers lingering mainly over the southern districts Saturday afternoon with activity gradually decreasing by Sunday morning; while shower activity will be generally isolated elsewhere.
Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
Flood Report and Forecast January 29, 2021
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas, levels are below normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are near normal and falling.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillway; while at San Ignacio. levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Tom are near normal and falling.
The BELIZE RIVER at Double Run is above normal and falling. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains at FLOOD STAGE and steady.
REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and falling. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is above normal and steady. On MONKEY RIVER at the Swasey Branch levels are normal and steady and at the Bladen Branch levels are below normal and falling. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South are below normal and falling. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan levels are above normal and falling. On the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco levels are below normal and steady.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, river levels are expected to increase to near normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, normal and steady levels are expected.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to increase minimally at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, river levels are expected to become normal.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, river levels are expected to become normal. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, FLOOD STAGE is expected to continue to recede.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change is expected over the next few days. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point, normal and steady levels are expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, a minimal increase in levels is expected over the next few days. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge river levels are expected to decrease to near normal over the next few days. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, no significant change is expected over the next few days. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South no significant change is expected over the next few days. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, no significant change is expected over the next few days. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco no significant change is expected over the next few days.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, no significant change is expected over the next few days.
The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Monday February 1, 2021 at 12 pm