General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Partly cloudy, less so in the northeast and along the shore. Clear in San Pedro. A northeasterly airflow persists over the area.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast:
There will be cloudy spells along with a few showers mostly over the south. Otherwise, showers will be isolated and generally brief in nature.
Winds: E-NE, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 82
Outlook:
For Thursday and Thursday night is for a few showers to occur mostly over southern Belize. Otherwise, showers will be isolated.
Sargassum Forecast from February 16 to February 24:
Observations suggest that there is the chance of a few sargassum mats affecting beaches mainly in the south of the country. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1).
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Marine Conditions:
Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
Recent buoy observations indicated gentle to moderate NE winds and
2 to 5 ft seas across the northwest Caribbean. High pressure north
of the area over the western Atlantic is supporting fresh to
strong trade winds elsewhere across the Caribbean, as confirmed by
a scatterometer satellite pass from 02 UTC, along with near-gale
to gale force winds pulsing off mountainous terrain of Colombia.
Seas are reaching 8 to 12 ft between Colombia and Jamaica, and 6
to 9 ft elsewhere.
A fairly dry pattern persists across the Caribbean, limiting
shower activity to a few clusters of cells in the trade wind flow
across the southern Caribbean, through the Windward Islands, the
ABC Islands and off Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the high pressure north of the region will
continue to support fresh to strong trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean through Sun night, with winds
pulsing to gale force off the coast of Colombia mainly during
overnight and early morning hours. Strong NE winds are possible in
the Windward Passage tonight and again starting Fri night and
persisting through Sun. Fresh to strong trade winds will develop
in the Gulf of Honduras Sat night.
As far as we are concerned, the easterly Caribbean winds are normal but with cloud, more so in the south this morning. But there are two cool air actions, there is a line just above the Yucatan, and a bubble of cool air has pushed way down into the Caribbean. No indication of any high level winds.
Looks as if today will be fairly cloudy for most, there could be some rain showers down south.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 22°C 72°F Yesterday 28°C 82°F Yesterday Rain 0.1 mm ( 0")
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO Blue Creek station is now at below normal levels while downstream at the Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas stations levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at the Tower Hill and Caledonia stations levels are above normal and steady. REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at Chalillo all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remains below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are near normal and falling.
The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run station is above normal and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is above normal and continues to fall.
REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and falling. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and falling. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are near normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are near normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank are below normal and steady. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South are below normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan levels are near normal and steady. On the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco levels are below normal and falling.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.
FLOOD FORECAST
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO no significant change is expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, no significant change in river levels s expected
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change in river levels s expected
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to continue to decrease.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point, no significant change is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS. no significant change in river levels s expected. On the SITTEE RIVER. at Kendal Bridge a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to continue to decrease over the next few days. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank no significant change is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South no significant change in river levels is expected. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan is expected to increase minimally over the next few days. The TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco is expected to increase minimally over the next few days.
REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, no significant change is expected over the next few days.
The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Friday February 26, 2021 at 12 pm
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