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Belize Weather Forecast: February 28, 2021 #548478
02/28/21 06:01 AM
02/28/21 06:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 79,755
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP

Belize Weather Forecast: February 28, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Some clouds in the central portion of the country, mostly clear elsewhere. Clear in San Pedro. A gusty east to southeasterly airflow prevails over the area.
Advisories: *A Small Craft Warning is in effect for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas. Operators of small crafts should remain in safe harbor.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 15-25 kts Gusty
Sea State: Rough
Waves: 6-8 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for similar weather conditions to prevail.
Sargassum Forecast from February 25 to March 2: It's back in San Pedro... Observations suggest that there is the chance of a few sargassum mats affecting beaches. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1). Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

There is an ongoing Gale Warning near the northern coast of Colombia. Windy conditions are across most of the Caribbean with seas in the range of 8 to 12 ft. Near gale to gale force winds are across a portion of the south-central and SW Caribbean with seas building to 18 ft. Dry air subsidence from aloft continue to provide fair weather conditions, except in the NE Caribbean where patches of shallow moisture are supporting isolated showers. Similar shower activity is occurring over Honduras and Nicaragua adjacent waters.

Strong trade winds across the central and portions of the SW Caribbean will continue through Wed, except in the south-central basin where strong to near gale force winds will prevail through Thu night. Gale force winds near the coast of Colombia will continue through early on Mon, then pulse at night and into the early morning hours through Wed. Fresh to strong NE winds will continue across the remainder of the Caribbean and Atlantic Passages through Mon. Otherwise, N swell will continue to support large seas over the tropical Atlantic waters east of the Windward Islands through Mon night.

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 25° C
77° F
18° C
64° F
High: 11:00 AM Low: 5:01 PM
High: 11:11 PM Low: 5:40 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 6:11 AM Moonset: 7:19 AM
Sunset: 5:58 PM Moonrise: 7:35 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: February 28, 2021 [Re: Marty] #548485
02/28/21 07:12 AM
02/28/21 07:12 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,469
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning the wind is howling at 28 mph from the East making the sea around our barrier reef rough. Advisories: *A Small Craft Warning is in effect for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas. Operators of small crafts should remain in safe harbor.*


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: February 28, 2021 [Re: Marty] #548486
02/28/21 10:54 AM
02/28/21 10:54 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 79,755
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
Steady easterly Caribbean winds over the whole area. Clouds building up over land areas now. there is some significant cloud out in the Caribbean over and north of Honduras, that could bring some rain this afternoon if it does not break up before then.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, with increasing clouds a low chance of any rain.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 23°C 74°F Yesterday 30°C 85°F Yesterday Rain 2.8 mm ( 0.1")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: February 28, 2021 [Re: Marty] #548487
02/28/21 12:05 PM
02/28/21 12:05 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 79,755
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Fair weather continues over the area. A small craft warning is in effect for occasionally gusty winds and rough seas. Small crafts should remain in safe harbor.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and tomorrow morning and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers will be isolated.

Outlook: Between Monday afternoon and Tuesday midday is for similar weather conditions.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


Today in Hopkins... Windy Sunday!

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: February 28, 2021 [Re: Marty] #548490
03/01/21 05:20 AM
03/01/21 05:20 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 79,755
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
Moon Lit Sea
Come enjoy these beautiful views on Ambergris Caye . Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]


Monthly Weather Summary, February 2021

National Meteorological Service of Belize

February marks the end of the dry transition period of the dry season for Belize. Climatologically, this month typically experiences the second highest number of cold fronts with a total of 8. Rainfall during the month is normally attributed to the passage of frontal systems that progresses southward from the continental United States, and upper and surface troughs. An average of eight cold fronts, one stationary front, one surface trough and two upper level troughs would cross Belize for the month but in February 2021, only two cold fronts with three surface troughs, three surface lows and one stationary front crossed the country. Several other frontal systems passed north of the area.

The first week in the month was relatively dry due to limited low and upper level moisture, supported by a high pressure ridge over the North Atlantic, extending into the central Caribbean basin. A cold front approached the country on February 1, crossing on February 2 with a deep upper level trough digging to the surface. This system did not produce significant convection through its passage due to limited upper level support and available moisture with only isolated showers and light rain observed over central and southern areas. Cool and variably cloudy conditions prevailed on February 3 with minimum temperatures falling significantly across the country, especially over northern and inland areas., however, no records were broken. A deep upper level trough was associated with this frontal system and persisted over the western Caribbean through to February 3, supporting a west to north-westerly wind component over Belize with an upper level ridge observed over the area on February 6. On February 7, an upper level jet over Belize supported a west to south-westerly flow. In the low levels, ridging prevailed February 3 to 6 with a surface low pressure system analyzed over the area on February 7. Surface winds were north to north-westerly February 1-3 becoming east to northeast on February 5, before a light to moderate south-easterly flow set in on February 6 and 7. The ending of the week saw little to no rainfall observed over the area, except for an isolated thunderstorm developing over the Maya mountains on February 7.

Dry conditions continued into week two due to continued dominance of the high pressure ridge over the Caribbean basin. Rainfall during this period was mostly isolated and conditions favoured fair and warm weather over the country. The upper levels were also very dry with a neutral pattern observed, supported mainly by a broad upper level ridge February 8 to 10, resulting in a west to south-westerly component. A slight trough pattern developed over the western Caribbean sea on February 10 supporting a north to north-westerly flow at the upper levels, then a ridging pattern continued through to the end of week two. The main surface feature during the period was a stationary front north of the area, supporting a north-easterly surface flow on February 8, then a predominantly east to southerly flow prevailed February 9 through 14 supported by ridging over the area, with the exception of February 13 where another stationary front supported a north-westerly surface flow. To the east of Belize, a surface trough was analysed and persisted over the north-west Caribbean, however, only isolated showers or thunderstorms were observed.

Moisture continued minimal across the country in week three with only isolated pockets observed over the mid to upper levels and a neutral to weakly divergent pattern was observed throughout the period. A polar trough was observed over the area February 15-17 yielding a west to south-westerly upper level wind component, followed by a more south-westerly flow February 18 to 21 as a result of an anticyclone. In the low levels, conditions also continued relatively dry with only isolated showers, if any. A slight increase in moisture occurred on February 18 leading to the development of a few afternoon thunderstorms over the mountain range that dissipated by night-fall. The approach of a cold front on February 19 supported the development of isolated showers over northern, central and inland areas. The front crossed the country on the evening of February 20 with skies becoming cloudy to overcast and periods of light rain and brief showers affected most areas. This front left a deep trough over the area, extending down to the surface and later became stationary over the north-west Caribbean. Cool conditions prevailed across the country up to February 21.

This front stalled and became stationary with moisture persisting into week four, concentrated mostly in the low levels until February 24. Skies were mostly clear at night-time with early morning fog reported on February 22 and 23. Thereafter, a surface trough over the area supported an east to north-easterly flow and isolated showers. Drier conditions began settling in towards the end of the month as the Bermuda high built and extended into the Caribbean and over Belize. Moderate to gusty east to south-east surface airflow prevailed through to the end of the month as a result of a tight pressure gradient over the area. The dry conditions and neutral to convergent pattern at the upper levels further suppressed any significant convection with fair and windy conditions ending off the overall, dry month.

The graph and maps below summarize the total rainfall and average maximum and minimum temperatures. They also give an indication of how these readings compare to the normal for the month across the stations sampled. As can be seen, rainfall was below normal over most areas of the country, except for some parts of the Corozal and Belize districts due to the passage of the two cold strong cold fronts that crossed the country and the approach of several other frontal systems that passed north of the area, where above normal rainfall was observed. In terms of temperatures, most of the stations sampled show below near normal maximum/daytime temperatures, while minimum/nighttime temperatures were also near normal for all the stations except for Central farm in the west and Punta Gorda station in the south.

Monthly Rainfall Summary

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Monthly Maximum Temperatures

[Linked Image]

Monthly Minimum Temperatures

[Linked Image]

Rainfall Observed: February 2021 (mm)

[Linked Image]

Rainfall Observed: February 2021 (% Above/Below Average)

[Linked Image]

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