General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: A few clouds throughout the country this morning. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions will prevail over our area during the next 24-48 hours.
Advisories: A small craft caution is in effect for occasional gusty winds and rough seas, especially in large northerly waves.
24-hour forecast:
Mostly cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms with brief periods of rain occuring around the country today with slightly more this afternoon; then activity will linger mostly over the south tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Sea State:
Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook:
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop mainly over southern and central areas on Friday into Friday night, while gradually decreasing.
Sargassum Forecast from May 4 to May 12:
The risk of Sargassum beaching remains high as satellite imagery continue to suggests sargassum abundance over the area. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1).
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Marine Conditions:
Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
Generally fresh easterly trades cover the majority of the basin,
except fresh to locally strong SE winds north of Honduras in the
NW Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. A mid-level ridge
north of the Greater Antilles is maintaining anticyclonic dry
conditions across the basin, limiting convective activity to a
few trade wind showers. Seas are generally 4-6 ft, except 6-7 ft
in the Gulf of Honduras.
A ridge north of the area will support moderate trade winds over
most of the basin through Sat. Stronger trades are likely across
the central Caribbean Sun and Mon as high pressure builds to the
north. Hazy sky conditions and areas of smoke due to agricultural
fires in Central America are expected to continue through the end
of the week.
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 20 mph wind from the East making sea conditions around our barrier reef rough. Today is sunny with an expected high temperature for the day set at 84 f.
There was a very large swellup along our western border yesterday afternoon, causing a lot of rain in Guatamala and Mexico. The resultant high cloud spread out over most of Belize. This has then enabled or contributed to other smaller swellups over several parts of Belize, some in parts of central areas, and this morning in Orange walk district and a little down south. Swellups have been developing in southern Mexico, Guatamala and other areas most afternoons for the last few days, now they have moved further inland from the Pacific and caught Belize.
Too early this morning to be sure how it will effect today's weather, I suspect it will largely clear this morning, but it could develop again this afternoon.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 26°C 80°F 36°C 97°F Yesterday Rain 6.2 mm ( 0.24")
Present Condition: Cloudy skies. Partly cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area.
24hr Forecast: Skies will be cloudy at times. A few thunderstorms and showers will occur mainly over southern and inland areas this afternoon, then mainly over southern areas tonight and tomorrow morning. Elsewhere, showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.
Outlook: For Friday afternoon through to midday on Saturday is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms occurring mostly over southern and offshore areas. Otherwise, showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.
A big swellup over Toledo right now and others in Mexico perhaps causing some rain near Blue Creek. There may be more in other western areas over the few hours.
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