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Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021 #550234
05/19/21 06:08 AM
05/19/21 06:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,492
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy skies this morning, clearing later. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair and warm conditions will prevail today then a gradual increase in moisture is expected.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas. HEAT ALERT: Residents, especially those living in the interior of the country, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities as much as possible.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and thunderstorms will develop over inland areas this afternoon and over the south tonight. Elsewhere showers will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue mostly over southern districts Thursday increasing Thursday night with the possibility of flooding especially over low lying and flood prone areas in the south.
Sargassum Forecast from May 18 to May 26: The chances of sargassum affecting local beaches continue to be high as satellite imagery shows several sargassum mats over the northwest Caribbean Sea. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

A weak stationary front continues across the western Atlantic and through the south central Bahamas along about 23N. This is producing a modest pressure gradient across the basin, with only moderate to fresh tradewinds presently. A small area of fresh to strong SE winds are occurring across the outer waters of the Gulf of Honduras. Stable atmospheric conditions persist across most of the basin. A few clusters of moderate convection are seen across the SW Caribbean south of 12.5N, while scattered showers are seen across the Yucatan Channel.

The monsoon trough passes through Colombia near 11N74W, through Panama and into the eastern Pacific Ocean.

Trade winds will increase basin wide tonight through Sun night as high pressure builds across the western Atlantic north of the stationary front. Expect fresh to strong easterly winds in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night through Thu night.

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
90° F
28° C
82° F
Inland 36° C
97° F
24° C
76° F
Hills 30° C
86° F
21° C
70° F
Low: 8:36 AM High: 3:07 PM
Low: 10:49 PM High: 5:05 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:19 AM Moonrise: 11:49 AM
Sunset: 6:19 PM Moonset: 12:55 AM (Thu)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550235
05/19/21 06:08 AM
05/19/21 06:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,492
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop a few miles northeast of Bermuda by late Thursday or early Friday. The low is then expected to move southwestward over warmer water on Friday and possibly acquire subtropical characteristics before the system lifts out toward the north and northeast on Saturday and Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

There are currently no tropical systems across the Atlantic basin, though we will have to monitor an area of low pressure to the northeast of Bermuda late this week and into the weekend.

This low will likely begin life as non-tropical, though as it stalls for several days a few hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda, it could slowly take on subtropical characteristics. If this does happen, it could be called Subtropical Storm Ana. However, water temperatures are still rather low across this area and the chance for this to become a subtropical low remain small. There can be breezy conditions and showers in Bermuda through the weekend regardless of any subtropical development.

Elsewhere across the basin there is no tropical development expected for at least the next several days.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550236
05/19/21 06:42 AM
05/19/21 06:42 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,500
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 24 mph creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature for the day is set at 90 f. The island is still in need of rain.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550237
05/19/21 08:13 AM
05/19/21 08:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,492
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Our weather dominated by the mid, high level clouds from the SW, some very thick. The easterly Caribbean winds are bing stopped over Honduras by the mid level from the west, and diverted up northwards over the Yucatan. Despite the heavy cloud, no indication of rain or swellups.

Looks as if today, will be cloudy for the central and north areas, for most of the morning or more, but thinner in the south. No indication of any rain, or swellups at present.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26C 79F Yesterday max. 34C 92F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550241
05/19/21 12:02 PM
05/19/21 12:02 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,492
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Partly cloudy, more clear in the south and west. Partly cloudy and windy in San Pedro, haze looks to be burning off. Generally fair weather prevails. A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas. Residents, especially those inland are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities as much as possible.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and thunderstroms will develop over inland areas this afternoon then over the south tonight and tomorrow morning. Showers will be isolated elsewhere.

Outlook: Between Thursday afternoon and Friday midday is for some showers and thunderstorms especially over the southern districts. There is a high risk for flooding in these districts during this period.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

High clouds causing some swellups now.
I did hear some thunder a couple of hours ago.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: May 19, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550246
05/20/21 04:28 AM
05/20/21 04:28 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 80,492
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Frigate Birds.

The Plum rains fell heavy in San Ignacio this afternoon.
It was not exactly the hottest day of May, but signs of a turbulence began to form on the Southern Skies. From about eleven in the morning the skies began to change color, from a light blue to a light grey and then a dark grey. AND there came the showers. - On May the 5th we had the Santa Cruz Rains, then followed by the Guana Rains, so now we awaited for the PLUM RAIN which falls around the 24th pf May, but it came earlier.

Hector Silva

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