For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop a few miles northeast of Bermuda by late Thursday or early Friday. The low is then expected to move southwestward over warmer water on Friday and possibly acquire subtropical characteristics before the system lifts out toward the north and northeast on Saturday and Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
There are currently no tropical systems across the Atlantic basin, though we will have to monitor an area of low pressure to the northeast of Bermuda late this week and into the weekend.
This low will likely begin life as non-tropical, though as it stalls for several days a few hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda, it could slowly take on subtropical characteristics. If this does happen, it could be called Subtropical Storm Ana. However, water temperatures are still rather low across this area and the chance for this to become a subtropical low remain small. There can be breezy conditions and showers in Bermuda through the weekend regardless of any subtropical development.
Elsewhere across the basin there is no tropical development expected for at least the next several days.For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here