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Belize Weather Forecast: May 26, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy skies this morning, less so in the very north. Mostly clear and windy in San Pedro. Conditions to gradually improve during the next 24-36 hours. Advisories: Operators of small crafts should continue to exercise caution as winds may become gusty. A flood warning is in effect for low lying and flood prone areas, especially in the Toledo district. 24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells and cloudy at times. A few showers will occur around the country, decreasing; then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will linger over the south. Winds: E, 10-20 kts Sea State: Moderate Waves: 4-6 ft. Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85 Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over the south while activity will be isolated elsewhere. Sargassum Forecast from May 25 to June 2: Satellite imagery continue to show an abundance of sargassum over the northwest Caribbean Sea. Although, ocean currents should take most of these mats to the northern Yucatan Peninsula, there is still a medium chance that some mats could affect coastal Belize. San Pedro has a Medium probability and a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more... Marine Conditions: Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill The Caribbean Sea The monsoon trough stretches south of the SW Caribbean. This is providing focus for convection in the SW portion of the basin with scattered moderate to isolated strong thunderstorms occurring S of 13N between 77W to 83W. Dry conditions are noted across the rest of the Caribbean. Fresh to strong winds are noted in the south-central Caribbean, S of 16N between 72W to 80W with seas 8 to 11 ft. Fresh easterly winds are occurring in the NW and eastern Caribbean with seas 4 to 6 ft. For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail across the central and portions of the southwest Caribbean through Thu. By Fri, winds will become moderate to fresh and will continue through Sun night. In the northwest Caribbean, fresh winds will dominate today and become gentle to moderate by Thu through Sun. Strong winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and the Windward Passage tonight.   High Low Coastal 31° C 88° F 25° C 77° F Inland 33° C 92° F 23° C 74° F Hills 27° C 81° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: High: 9:17 AM Low: 4:29 PM High: 11:04 PM Low: 3:40 AM (Thu) Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonset: 5:22 AM Sunset: 6:21 PM Moonrise: 6:55 PM Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

A new tropical wave is leaving Africa. We could have her in the Caribbean from this weekend or early next week.

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 13 mph creating moderate sea conditions around our barrier . Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f.

We are clearly in the rainy season, and sort of since 21 May. The easterly Caribbean winds have a fair bit of cloud in them, which then mixes with mid and high level clouds and we have been getting many small areas and some large areas of rain and swellups. It looks as if some of that is now starting to ease off.

There was a lot of rain yesterday, but looks like less today and there will be patches of sunshine, but could be some patches of rain later this afternoon.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 31°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 31.1 mm ( 1.2") Over Night Rain 14.5 mm ( 0.6" )

Current satellite view... clearing a bit in the east...

Present Condition: Partly cloudy, less so in the north and east. Clear and windy in San Pedro. A relatively moist environment exists over the area, but generally fair weather prevails. A flood warning is in effect for flooding in low lying and flood prone areas, especially in the Toledo district.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.

Outlook: For Thursday afternoon through to midday on Friday is for mainly fair weather to prevail, with isolated showers developing.

The Mangroves dance to the wind while the Super Flower Moon rises. Photo by Marlena Gomez



Here is a video fromXunantunich when the Full moon came out. I went to the hill infront of the workshop to get this. It was a bit cloudy when the moon came out but still managed to get a decent shot.



FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas and downstream to the coast, levels are normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill, water level is below normal and steady: and at Caledonia. levels are near normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways: and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are near normal and steady.

The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run station is near ironical and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and falling.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is near normal. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are near normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is above normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank are below normal and steady. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South is normal and steady and at Jordan levels are above normal and falling. On the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco levels are above nomial and falling.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO no significant change is expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, no significant change in river levels is expected

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER. reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway at all BECOL facilities: at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town. no significant change in river levels is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, no significant change is expected

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point, no significant change is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, no significant change is expected. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge no significant change is expected. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, no significant change is expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank no significant change is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South no significant change in river levels is expected. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan expects an increase in river levels as this river may approach FLOOD STAGE. On the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco expect an increase in river levels as this river may approach FLOOD STAGE.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, no significant change is expected over the next few days.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY MAY 28, 2021.