Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly clear, a very few clouds in the Chiquibul area. Clear skies and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair conditions prevail over the country.
Mostly sunny skies today and clear to partly cloudy tonight with generally isolated showers.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Generally fair conditions with isolated showers for Friday and Friday night.
Sargassum Forecast from June 1 to June 9:
The threat of sargassum affecting beaches will remain high during the next few days as satellite imagery continue to show several areas with sargassum offshore. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
An upper level low over southeast Cuba is supporting scattered
moderate convection over the Windward Passage, between northern
Haiti and eastern Cuba. A few showers are also noted between
central Panama and southeast Nicaragua, mainly due to trade wind
convergence. Ship observations and an earlier scatterometer
satellite pass indicated fresh to strong trade winds off the coast
of central Colombia, where seas are estimated to be 5 to 7 ft.
Gentle to moderate trade winds are noted elsewhere, with 4 to 6 ft
For the forecast, winds will pulse to fresh to strong over the
south central Caribbean the next several nights. Otherwise, a high
pressure ridge north of the area will support moderate to fresh
tradewinds across much of the Caribbean through Mon.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
There are currently no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin at this time. The combination of dry air and moderate to strong wind shear will likely prevent tropical development from occurring through at least this weekend and likely into early next week.
Long-range guidance suggests an easing of the wind shear across the Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean later next weekend into early the following week, along with an increase in tropical moisture. This should allow thunderstorm activity to increase, especially in the western Caribbean Sea, which in turn may cause an area of low pressure to form. This may be the next opportunity for tropical development in the basin.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
The GFS model continues to see cyclone development of interest to the Caribbean next few days on the Central American slope from the Caribbean coast of Panama to the Yucatï¿½n Peninsula, like Cuba. The European ensemble is trying to trace possible tracks to some cyclone system that could be born in that area. Nothing concrete, just forecast so far, but pending.
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 13 mph creating calm sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set 89f. Last nights sprinkle of rain didn't register on my rain gauge but the flora probably appreciated it.
The easterly Caribbean winds have some cloud in them and that is developing more over land. there is some high level winds from the NNW which are causing some areas of rain, mainly over the sea off PG, and a few minor spots of rain along the coast.
Looks as if today will be similar to yesterday, mainly sunny, with significant clouds and a small chance of rain.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 33°C 92°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")