Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Mostly clear, a few clouds in the Chiquibul area. Mostly sunny and windy in San Pedro. A relatively moist easterly airflow persists over the area.
Advisories: HEAT ALERT: Residents, especially those living in the interior of the country, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities as much as possible.
Sunny with a few cloudy spells and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated and there is the chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Toledo district.
Winds: E, 10-20 kts Sea State:
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
For Wednesday and Wednesday night is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Sargassum Forecast from June 1 to June 9:
The threat of sargassum affecting beaches will remain high during the next few days as satellite imagery continue to show several areas with sargassum offshore. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
Two tropical waves are over the basin. An upper level trough passes through Hispaniola, and extends SW to
Costa Rica. The trough is well-marked in the mid-levels, extending
from the Virgin Islands to Costa Rica. The trough is enhancing
scattered showers and isolated tstorms over the eastern half of
the Caribbean Sea. Fresh winds prevail in the Central Caribbean,
Windward Passage and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate winds are in the
NW Caribbean, with gentle winds in the far SW basin. Seas are 5 to
7 ft over the most of the basin, except 3-5 ft in the NW
Caribbean, north of 18.5N.
For the forecast, high pressure ridging north of the area will
support moderate to fresh tradewinds through tonight. Winds will
become gentle to moderate by midweek as the high pressure weakens.
Scattered showers and tstms are expected over portions of the
eastern and central Caribbean through today due to the combination
of an upper-level trough and tropical waves traversing the
region. The convection is expected to migrate to the SW Caribbean
mid to late week.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
As of Tuesday morning, EDT, there remain no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin, and none are expected to develop through at least the next couple of days. These quieter conditions may not last much longer.
We continue to monitor the western Caribbean Sea for signs of development later this week. A broad area of circulation, sometimes called a gyre, is expected to develop near Central America Thursday or Friday. This gyre will lead to an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity across the western Caribbean Sea, Central America and even in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Wind shear will be rather low over the western Caribbean Sea late this week and weekend, which may allow the increased thunderstorm activity to organize and form an area of low pressure at the surface. This low pressure area may slowly develop into a tropical depression or storm late this weekend or early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southwestern Gulf of Mexico as environmental conditions remain favorable for development.
All interests in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should be prepared for flooding downpours and some gusty winds late this week and weekend, regardless if a tropical system forms.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 8, 2021
#550678 06/08/2105:58 AM06/08/2105:58 AM
It may be time to watch the Gulf for June development. Setup later this week appears to be favorable for possible development. NHC going with 30% odds as of now over the next 5 days. GFS/EURO/CMC models support some development. Cyclonic odds increase in the South Caribbean, a low pressure system is expected to develop in a few days, which could move towards Central America's territory slowly, development of this system is possible.
Here are the possible scenarios that could occur with downpours in the Caribbean and East Pacific.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 8, 2021
#550679 06/08/2106:34 AM06/08/2106:34 AM
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 18 mph creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 89f. It looks like a hot and windy day ahead.
The regular easterly Caribbean winds are developing cloud on land already. There is a lot of turmoil in the weather further south near Panama, part of that is different directions of winds at different altitudes. We are seeing mid-high level occasional clouds from the NNE, which are causing some clashing with the Caribbean clouds off the Yucatan and could cause some rain in parts of Belize later today. There is also regular high level cloud from the SW.
Looks as if today will be mainly sun and cloud, with a small chance of a little rain, more so in the south. No rain on the Radar at this time.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") Early morning Rain 1 mm ( .01")
Present Condition: Mostly clear skies, a few clouds in the south inland. Clear blue skies and windy in San Pedro. Relatively moist easterly airflow dominates. HEAT ALERT: Residents, especially those living in the interior of the country, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities as much as possible.
24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with isolated showers and chance of isolated thunderstorms over the Toledo district this afternoon and tonight; showers and thunderstorms will increase across the country tomorrow morning.
Outlook: Between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday midday is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop around the country.
Linda Sea Henry Brown A possible sea turtle nest directly in front of our house (it could be that the turtle changed her mind). Vehicles should definitely not be allowed to drive north of Tranquility Bay Resort during sea turtle nesting season. The risk of nests being driven 🛻over is too high. Sea turtles could be disturbed by too much activity up and down the beaches and not want to come up to nest. There is also a high risk of people parking their golf carts here to picnic, fish or swim. Photos by Greg Smith (Turtleman).