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Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 #550761
06/11/21 06:15 AM
06/11/21 06:15 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,966
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Mostly cloudy and windy this morning in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: FLOOD WATCH: There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas and especially over the southern districts.
24-hour forecast: Skies will be cloudy at times. A few thunderstorms and showers will occur mostly over southern and central areas in the morning, then affecting northern and inland areas during the day. Otherwise, showers will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Friday night and Saturday is for some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain occurring over most areas of the country.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16: Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:


Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

An area of scattered moderate convection is present offshore near the border of Nicaragua and Honduras, from 13N-17.5N between 82W-85W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted between Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Jamaica, likely due to some weak upper level divergence. Scattered moderate convection is noted over portions of western Colombia and Panama. Mainly moderate winds prevail over the Caribbean. The exceptions are fresh to locally strong winds in the Gulf of Honduras and from the coast of Colombia to 13.5N, with light to gentle winds south of 11N. Seas are in the 2-4 ft range over the NW Caribbean, and 3-6 ft elsewhere in the basin.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds will pulse in the south- central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N. A weak tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean is helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms. The wave will reach the western Caribbean Sun. The next tropical wave will move into the eastern Caribbean Mon through Tue night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the southwestern Caribbean through today.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 24° C
76° F
19° C
67° F
TIDES:
High: 10:04 AM Low: 5:29 PM
High: 11:40 PM Low: 4:12 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonrise: 6:09 AM
Sunset: 6:27 PM Moonset: 7:45 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are currently no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin, and none are expected to develop through at least the next couple of days. These quieter conditions may not last much longer.

A broad area of rotation in the midlevels, sometimes called a gyre, is developing near Central America and the nearby waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean. This gyre is causing an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity across Central America into southern Mexico. As of now, the threat of development appears to be over the Eastern Pacific Ocean with the chances of development in the Caribbean r Gulf of Mexico remaining quite low through the weekend and early next week.

All interests in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should be prepared for flooding downpours and some gusty winds through the weekend, regardless of whether or not a tropical system forms.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550762
06/11/21 06:15 AM
06/11/21 06:15 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,966
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Tropical wave arriving in Central America and another one over the Caribbean. Low pressures associated with the Central American Giro and vortex in height will favor strong storms.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550763
06/11/21 06:36 AM
06/11/21 06:36 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,218
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 15 mph creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. The rain in our forcast seems to be falling everywhere but here. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f.

FB_IMG_1623332693228.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550764
06/11/21 08:39 AM
06/11/21 08:39 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,966
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
The Monsoon areas keep developing a lot of high cloud and swellups into what they call ITCZ activity. Right now, that has been happening for several days over southern Mexico, Panama, Nicaragua, Guatamala, and last night over Belize, bringing a lot of rain to central areas and now moving up into northern areas. This pattern will continue again tonight, but not necessarily over Belize.

The north will be getting a lot of rain, central areas are now clearing but continue with thick clouds and there is some sunshine in parts of the south at present. The rain clearing by this afternoon, but there could still be some smaller showers around.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 23C 73F Yesterday max. 32C 89F Yesterday Rain 4.3 mm ( 0.2") Over night Rain 45 mm ( 1.8" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550765
06/11/21 11:28 AM
06/11/21 11:28 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,966
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Heavy rain areas up north and moving slowly further north.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550768
06/11/21 12:07 PM
06/11/21 12:07 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,966
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country except in the deep south. More cloudy and rainy in the north. Cloudy, windy and rainy in San Pedro. Moist and relatively unstable conditions prevail over the area. Flood watch: There is the possibility for flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas, especially over the southern districts.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and cloudy at times tonight and tomorrow morning. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over the mainland this afternoon, increasing to have some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain occurring over most areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Saturday afternoon through to midday on Sunday is for a similar trend in weather conditions, where showers and rain decrease during the afternoon and then increases during the nighttime.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Ministry of Rural Development at work to dig a new well to increase the potable water supply for Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550769
06/11/21 12:19 PM
06/11/21 12:19 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,966
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Flood Report and Forecast for June 11, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, and at Santa Cruz, levels are below normal and at San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill levels are below normal and at Caledonia levels are near normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady.

The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and shows a minimal rise. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and rising slowly. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and shows a minimal rise. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are below normal and slowly rising. Levels on the DEEP RIVER is below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and shows a minimal rise. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are blow normal and rising lowly. The TEMASH RIVER is below normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are below normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, river levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, expect a minimal increase in river levels.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to increase at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are expected to increase to normal levels.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected in increase to normal levels and at CROOKED TREE LAGOON, a minimal increase in levels is expected.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON river levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to above normal levels. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 14, 2021


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