Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Mostly cloudy and windy this morning in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: FLOOD WATCH: There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas and especially over the southern districts.
Skies will be cloudy at times. A few thunderstorms and showers will occur mostly over southern and central areas in the morning, then affecting northern and inland areas during the day. Otherwise, showers will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
For Friday night and Saturday is for some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain occurring over most areas of the country.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16:
Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
An area of scattered moderate convection is present offshore near
the border of Nicaragua and Honduras, from 13N-17.5N between
82W-85W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
between Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Jamaica, likely due to some
weak upper level divergence. Scattered moderate convection is
noted over portions of western Colombia and Panama. Mainly
moderate winds prevail over the Caribbean. The exceptions are
fresh to locally strong winds in the Gulf of Honduras and from the
coast of Colombia to 13.5N, with light to gentle winds south of
11N. Seas are in the 2-4 ft range over the NW Caribbean, and 3-6
ft elsewhere in the basin.
For the forecast, fresh to strong winds will pulse in the south-
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades
will prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N. A
weak tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean is helping to induce
scattered showers and thunderstorms. The wave will reach the
western Caribbean Sun. The next tropical wave will move into the
eastern Caribbean Mon through Tue night. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected over the southwestern Caribbean through
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
There are currently no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin, and none are expected to develop through at least the next couple of days. These quieter conditions may not last much longer.
A broad area of rotation in the midlevels, sometimes called a gyre, is developing near Central America and the nearby waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean. This gyre is causing an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity across Central America into southern Mexico. As of now, the threat of development appears to be over the Eastern Pacific Ocean with the chances of development in the Caribbean r Gulf of Mexico remaining quite low through the weekend and early next week.
All interests in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should be prepared for flooding downpours and some gusty winds through the weekend, regardless of whether or not a tropical system forms.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021
#550762 06/11/2106:15 AM06/11/2106:15 AM
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 15 mph creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. The rain in our forcast seems to be falling everywhere but here. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f.
The Monsoon areas keep developing a lot of high cloud and swellups into what they call ITCZ activity. Right now, that has been happening for several days over southern Mexico, Panama, Nicaragua, Guatamala, and last night over Belize, bringing a lot of rain to central areas and now moving up into northern areas. This pattern will continue again tonight, but not necessarily over Belize.
The north will be getting a lot of rain, central areas are now clearing but continue with thick clouds and there is some sunshine in parts of the south at present. The rain clearing by this afternoon, but there could still be some smaller showers around.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 23°C 73°F Yesterday max. 32°C 89°F Yesterday Rain 4.3 mm ( 0.2") Over night Rain 45 mm ( 1.8" )
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 11, 2021
#550765 06/11/2111:28 AM06/11/2111:28 AM
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country except in the deep south. More cloudy and rainy in the north. Cloudy, windy and rainy in San Pedro. Moist and relatively unstable conditions prevail over the area. Flood watch: There is the possibility for flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas, especially over the southern districts.
24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and cloudy at times tonight and tomorrow morning. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over the mainland this afternoon, increasing to have some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain occurring over most areas tonight and tomorrow morning.
Outlook: For Saturday afternoon through to midday on Sunday is for a similar trend in weather conditions, where showers and rain decrease during the afternoon and then increases during the nighttime.
Ministry of Rural Development at work to dig a new well to increase the potable water supply for Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, and at Santa Cruz, levels are below normal and at San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill levels are below normal and at Caledonia levels are near normal and steady.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady.
The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and steady.
REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and shows a minimal rise. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and rising slowly. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and shows a minimal rise. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are below normal and slowly rising. Levels on the DEEP RIVER is below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and shows a minimal rise. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are blow normal and rising lowly. The TEMASH RIVER is below normal and steady.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are below normal and steady.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, river levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, expect a minimal increase in river levels.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are expected to increase at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are expected to increase to normal levels.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected in increase to normal levels and at CROOKED TREE LAGOON, a minimal increase in levels is expected.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON river levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to above normal levels. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.
THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 14, 2021