Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy with rain throughout the country. Cloudy and windy this morning in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: FLOOD WATCH: There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas and especially over the southern districts.
Cloudy with some showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms mainly along the coast this morning, decreasing and affecting mainly inland areas this afternoon. Showers will increase again mainly over the coast and the north tonight.
Winds: SE, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
A similar trend will occur on Monday and Monday night.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16:
Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
Click for more...
Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
Earlier scatterometer data showed fresh to strong winds in the S
central Caribbean and just offshore of the central coast of
Honduras. Gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere. Seas are
4 to 7 ft in the S central Caribbean, 4 to 6 ft elsewhere in the
central and eastern Caribbean, and 2-4 ft in the western
Caribbean. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over the
Gulf of Honduras extending inland across NW Honduras, far eastern
Guatemala, Belize, and the far southern portion of the Mayan coast
of Mexico. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are noted in the lee
of Cuba likely due to upper level divergence.
For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure north of the basin
combined with lower pressure over Central America and Colombia
will support fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean
and Gulf of Honduras through Thu. Moderate to fresh trades will
prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N. A tropical
wave will move into the E Caribbean Mon.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
There remains no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin, though AccuWeather meteorologists are still monitoring two areas for potential development in the coming days.
The most significant feature is a broad area of rotation across southern Mexico, known as a gyre, that is producing clusters of rain and thunderstorms extending from near the southern coast of Mexico in the eastern Pacific into the southern Gulf of Mexico. As thunderstorms continue to develop across this region through the course of the week, surface pressures are expected to gradually lower in the southern Gulf of Mexico, which can eventually lead to a more well-defined disturbance across the region.
While water temperatures are warm enough to support a tropical system, as it moves farther to the north into the central and northern Gulf of Mexico, it is expected to encounter stronger wind shear which can work to limit development. At this time, most guidance indicates that this wind shear will inhibit the system from rapidly strengthening, and it is still possible that the wind shear could inhibit significant tropical development altogether. Regardless of tropical development, this feature can bring heavy rain and the threat for flooding across southern Mexico through the middle of the week. In the longer range, areas across the western and central Gulf Coast should monitor the system for potential impacts towards next weekend.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 13, 2021
#550804 06/13/2106:09 AM06/13/2106:09 AM
The National Hurricane Center is following up an area of atmospheric instability over Campeche Bay.
This phenomenon is expected to be slowly wandering over the south of the Gulf of Mexico in the coming days, so it is anticipated that the rainy storm will continue for the states of Veracruz, Chiapas, Tabasco and the Yucatán Peninsula.
To this day, this disturbance maintains a median probability of 40% to evolve into a tropical cyclone for the next 72 to 96 hours.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 13, 2021
#550805 06/13/2107:14 AM06/13/2107:14 AM
High level cloud all over the place and with swellups, causing rain and thunder storms, but presently not over Belize. but out at sea off Honduras and off Chetumal. But others could develop over Belize this morning or any time today.
Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, but with a significant chance of some rain showers.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 31°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 4 mm ( 0.2") Over night Rain 1.4 mm ( 0.1" )
A lot of high level cloud around, most rain is out at sea, but some on land.
Present Condition: Cloudy skies with scattered rainfall. Cloudy skies in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions continues to dominate the weather.There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas and especially over the southern districts.
24hr Forecast: Mostly cloudy skies today and tonight. Shower activity will develop mainly offshore this afternoon, also with the chance of inland isolated thunderstorms. Tonight and tomorrow expect some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms to develop mainly along coastal areas.
Outlook: For Monday afternoon thru to Tuesday afternoon is for contiuning cloudy conditions with outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms developing over most areas but more so along the coast.