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Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021 #550818
06/14/21 05:59 AM
06/14/21 05:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,838
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy with rain throughout the country. Cloudy windy, and rainy in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions continues to dominate the weather.
Advisories: FLOOD WATCH: There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy skies with a few outbreaks of showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mainly along coastal areas this morning, then decreasing by afternoon. Tonight and tomorrow morning expect some showers and thunderstorms to develop over most areas but more so up north and along the coast.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for continuing cloudy skies with few outbreaks of showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop mainly along coastal and northern areas during the morning, then increasing during at nighttime to most areas.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16: Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:


Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

Earlier scatterometer data showed fresh to strong winds in the S central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades are noted elsewhere in the basin, except gentle to moderate in the lee of Cuba and also in the SW Caribbean south of 12N. Seas are 4 to 7 ft in the central Caribbean, 4 to 6 ft in the eastern Carribbean, and 2 to 4 ft in the NW Caribbean. The eastern Pacific extension of the monsoon trough stretches across central Costa Rica to the SW Caribbean along 11N to northern Colombia. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 73W and 84W.

For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure north of the basin combined with lower pressure over Central America and Colombia will support pulsing fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras through the week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N. A tropical wave will move into the E Caribbean today and cross the central Caribbean mid-week, then the western Caribbean at the end of the week.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
84° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 30° C
86° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 24° C
76° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 5:16 AM High: 12:05 PM
Low: 7:34 PM High: 1:48 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 5:18 AM Moonrise: 8:49 AM
Sunset: 6:28 PM Moonset: 10:11 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are currently no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin, and none are expected to develop through at least the next couple of days. These quieter conditions may not last much longer.

While there are still no tropical systems across the Atlantic basin and none are expected to develop through the beginning of next week, we continue to keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico for tropical development later in the week.

A broad area of rotation in the midlevels, sometimes called a gyre, has formed and is enhancing thunderstorm activity from the southern Gulf of Mexico to the waters of the eastern Pacific, just along the southern coast of Mexico. As of now, the threat of development through the weekend appears to be over the Eastern Pacific Ocean near the coast of southern Mexico, but the disturbance in the eastern Pacific is expected to drift to the north and into the southern Gulf of Mexico around the middle of next week. This is when the concern for development will increase across the Gulf.

Through the weekend and early next week, much of southern Mexico and northern Central America can have heavy downpours and flooding, regardless of whether or not a tropical system forms.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550819
06/14/21 05:59 AM
06/14/21 05:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,838
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Weather analysis shows tropical wave crossing Central America and South of the Yucatán Peninsula. Continuing low pressure is seen southwest of the Gulf of Mexico. Both systems will continue to generate significant rainfall in the region.

[Linked Image]

A strong Tropical Onda is taking off the coasts of Africa heading to the Caribbean. The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring three areas with cyclone development potential.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550820
06/14/21 06:38 AM
06/14/21 06:38 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,212
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have wind from the southeast at 17mph and rain. Today's expected high temperature is set at 84 f.

FB_IMG_1623670295657.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550821
06/14/21 09:03 AM
06/14/21 09:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,838
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
At this present time, most of the high level active clouds are out at sea, and the main active, rain areas north of Belize. There were a few morning rain areas along the coastal areas, but these appear to have cleared now.

Looks as if most of Belize will see a fair bit of sunshine today, but always a small risk of some rain later.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 76°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 1.4 mm ( 0.1")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550825
06/14/21 12:13 PM
06/14/21 12:13 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,838
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area. There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.

24hr Forecast: Mostly cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms this afternoon mainly over northern areas this afternoon. Then some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain will occur around the country but especially over central and northern areas tonight into tomorrow morning, with a slight and gradually decrease.

Outlook: A similar trend is expected for Tuesday afternoon through midday Wednesday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Flood Report and Forecast for June 14, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, and at Santa Cruz, levels are below normal and at San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill levels are below normal and at Caledonia levels are near normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady.

The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and shows a minimal rise. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and shows a minimal rise. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and shows a minimal rise. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are below normal and slowly rising. Levels on the DEEP RIVER is below normal and shows a minimal rise. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and shows a minimal rise. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are normal and steady. The TEMASH RIVER is normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, and at Santa Cruz, levels are expected to increase to near normal levels. At San Antonio, San Roman Douglas to the coast, river levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, expect a minimal increase in river levels.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, a minimal increase in reservoir levels is expected at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are expected to increase to near normal levels.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected in increase to normal levels and at CROOKED TREE LAGOON, a minimal increase in levels is expected.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER, levels are expected to increase to normal levels.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase to normal levels.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 16, 2021

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 14, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550827
06/14/21 03:39 PM
06/14/21 03:39 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,838
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
As you can see, heavy rain in central Belize.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Tropical Depression Two formed Monday morning about 100 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Elsewhere, there remains no other organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin, though satellite does show an area of increased convection across the southern Gulf of Mexico, northern Central America and southern Mexico associated with a disturbance that will be monitored through this week. There are also several tropical waves located at 32 west, 41 west, 58 west and 82 west. Another tropical wave is emerging off the western coast of Africa. This wave already appears rather robust on current satellite imagery and will need to be monitored carefully over the next few days as it tracks westward across the far eastern Atlantic. All of these waves are moving west between 10-15 mph.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here


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