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Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 #550873
06/16/21 06:02 AM
06/16/21 06:02 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,922
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Cloudy and quite windy in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions persist over the area.
Advisories: There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with sunny breaks today and mostly cloudy tonight. A few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over inland areas this afternoon and then mostly over central and northern areas tonight.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for a similar trend in weather conditions.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16: Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure associated with disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche. This area has a high chance of tropical cyclone development over the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:


Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. An overnight scatterometer pass showed a large area of fresh to strong SE winds in the NW Caribbean where seas are 4 to 7 ft. Deep convection is occurring near this area as well as described in the Tropical Waves section above. The scatterometer pass data also indicated fresh to strong winds in the S central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades were noted elsewhere, except light to gentle in the SW Caribbean south of 11N. Seas are mainly in the 4 to 7 ft range across the basin, except locally to 8 ft in the S central Caribbean, and 2 to 4 ft in the SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure north of the basin combined with lower pressure over Central America and Colombia will support pulsing fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras through the upcoming weekend. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 33° C
94° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 7:12 AM High: 1:45 PM
Low: 9:04 PM High: 3:20 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:18 AM Moonrise: 10:39 AM
Sunset: 6:28 PM Moonset: 11:34 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

In the Atlantic basin, we currently have post tropical Storm Bill which is located several hundred miles to the south-southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia.

In the southern Gulf of Mexico, we continue to watch a broad area of low pressure that has been designated as Invest 92L. Current satellite imagery continues to show a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms associated with 92L. This low is likely to organize further later this week into a tropical depression or storm as it moves northward across the southern Gulf of Mexico over warm waters. In the short term, 92L will continue to cause heavy, flooding rainfall across parts of Central America and southern Mexico through Thursday night. Invest 92L will then move northward and approach the central Gulf Coast by this weekend. Regardless of any tropical development, 92L will bring tropical moisture and the threat for heavy, flooding rainfall to parts of the Gulf Coast and Southeast by this weekend into early next week. Due to strong wind shear, the bulk of the heavy rainfall will be displaced well to the northeast of the actual low-level center of the potential tropical system.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550874
06/16/21 06:02 AM
06/16/21 06:02 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,922
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Extensive low pressure circulation with cyclonic potential in the Gulf of Mexico continues to generate cloudy and rainfall in the area. Tropical depression could form within the Gulf of Mexico, soon to be formed Claudette. The model sets also see cyclone activity within the Caribbean for the next few days. A new tropical wave is coming from the Caribbean.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550876
06/16/21 07:17 AM
06/16/21 07:17 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,215
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 20 mph wind from the Southeast creating rough sea conditions on our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is 88 f.

FB_IMG_1623848733113.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550877
06/16/21 08:17 AM
06/16/21 08:17 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,922
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Cloud, cloud everywhere, yet despite this, there is some sunlight coming through in some places and very little rain in any part of Belize. The main cloud area moving slowly in from the west, some moving up from the suth, which took rain over Belize and up into the Yucatan over night.

Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, little or no rain this morning, but could develop anywhere this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 22 mm ( 0.9")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550889
06/16/21 12:31 PM
06/16/21 12:31 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,922
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Cloudy skies throughout the country. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Conditions continue moist and unstable over the area. There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy with a few sunny breaks during the daytime and mostly cloudy tonight. A few showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain will affect mainly inland areas this afternoon and then mostly central and northern areas tonight, gradually decreasing tomorrow morning.

Outlook: Skies will be partly cloudy on Thursday afternoon with isolated showers and thunderstorms. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will then affect mainly northern areas on Thursday night, decreasing on Friday morning.

[Linked Image]

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Flood Report and Forecast for June 16, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, ImIs have increased minimally but remains below normal. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill, levels are below normal and increasing and at Caledonia levels have increased are near above normal.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and shows a minimal rise

The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and shows a minimal rise. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and remains steady.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and shows a minimal rise. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and shows a minimal rise. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is rear normal steady. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER are below normal and slowly steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER is below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are normal and steady. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman Douglas to the coast, expected to increase to above normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill, levels are expected to increase to near normal and at Caledonia, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels is expected to increase at all BECOL facilities; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to increase but remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are expected to increase to near normal levels.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected in increase to normal levels and at CROOKED TREE LAGOON, a minimal increase in levels is expected.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to increase to near normal levels. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village near normal levels are expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO BE AWARE OF THE WEATHER CONDITIONS AS THESE RIVERS ARE FLASHY AND CAN RISE VERY FAST. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge levels are expected to above increase levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are expected to increase to near normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase to normal levels.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 18, 2021

=================

Burning Wetlands in Hopkins


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550890
06/16/21 12:47 PM
06/16/21 12:47 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,922
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Cloud thinning a bit, still no significant rain over Belize.

[Linked Image]

Happy World Sea Turtle Day!!
Belize has 3 types of Sea Turtles; the Green Sea Turtle, Hawksbill and Loggerhead. Nesting season has begun and this year’s first nest on #ambergriscaye was discovered on May 14th by the Hol Chan Marine Reserve. Nesting season runs from May to November. Let’s continue to protect these beautiful creatures.

Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #550894
06/16/21 06:20 PM
06/16/21 06:20 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 74,922
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Happy Wednesday view from Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


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