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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: June 17, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Cloudy, rainy and quite windy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution as winds may become gusty at times. There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms today, mainly inland. Cloudy skies tonight with showers and periods of rain increasing and affecting most areas tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Gusty
Sea State: Moderate - Rough
Waves: 5-7 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Friday is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, decreasing Friday night.
Sargassum Forecast from June 16 to June 23: The threat of Sargassum affecting beaches across the country remains high and will continue so during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche. This area has a high chance of tropical cyclone development over the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

A tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean while another wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles.

The eastern Pacific Ocean monsoon trough extends across Panama to NW Colombia near 10N75W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 10N between 75W and 81W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted in the NW Caribbean including across the Yucatan Peninsula, Yucatan Channel, and western Cuba around a broad area of low pressure northwest of the basin in the SW Gulf of Mexico. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the eastern Caribbean ahead of an approaching tropical wave.

Fresh to strong NE-E winds were captured by overnight scatterometer data in the S central Caribbean. Fresh to strong E-SE winds are pulsing in the NW Caribbean northeast of the Gulf of Honduras. Mainly moderate to fresh trades prevail elsewhere, except gentle to moderate in the SW Caribbean south of 11N. Seas of 2 to 4 ft are in the SW Caribbean south of 11N, with mainly 4-7 ft seas elsewhere, locally to 8 ft in the S central Caribbean.

For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure north of the basin combined with lower pressure over Central America and Colombia will support pulsing fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras through the upcoming weekend and into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
Low: 8:46 AM High: 2:47 PM
Low: 9:51 PM High: 4:07 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:18 AM Moonrise: 11:34 AM
Sunset: 6:29 PM Moonset: 12:14 AM (Fri)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

In the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, we continue to monitor a broad area of low pressure, Invest 92L, for tropical development. Satellite images this morning show this broad area of low pressure, 92L, remaining poorly organized as much of the convection is displaced well to the east of the low-level center. As this low drifts slowly northward today, 92L should slowly become better organized, and we expect 92L could become a tropical depression by tonight or Friday. Some additional strengthening is likely Friday as the system moves northward in the western Gulf of Mexico. This system will likely become a tropical storm prior to reaching the United States coast this weekend. The next name in the Atlantic is Claudette.

Elsewhere, there are a few tropical waves currently found across the basin. These waves are near 81 west, 59 west and 38 west. These tropical waves are moving westward at generally 10-15 mph. The wave near 81 west will move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Friday and may help to further the potential tropical development of Invest 92L.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Weather analysis shows low pressure with cyclonic potential off the shores of Campeche. It's interacting with a tropical wave south of the peninsula.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain and a strong wind from the Southeast creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef.

Last edited by elbert; 06/17/21 08:03 AM. Reason: More Coffee

White Sands Dive Shop
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Marty Offline OP
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A lot of ITCZ activity around us at present, causing a lot of rain, but actually only a small amount in Belize. The Rain Radar stopped working early this morning, the rain shown has now moved further up north. There are different directions of high level cloud clashing and no Caribbean winds getting to us as yet, there is a slight SW Tiger wind.

Looks as if today will again be very cloudy, but actually some sun getting through occasionally, there could be more rain moving in from the west later this morning.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 0.2 mm ( 0") Over Night Rain 3.5mm ( 0.1" )

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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A Calm Thursday morning in Corozal after the storm last night. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Activity calming down now, although still active over Corozal.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Cloudy skies throughout the country except in the deep south. Grey weather in San Pedro, cloudy and windy. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail. Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution as winds may become gusty at times. Flooding is possible over low-lying and flood prone areas..

24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly inland and north this afternoon. Cloudy at times with showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain increasing and affecting most areas overnight, especially some northern and southern areas, then decreasing tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Friday afternoon through to midday Saturday is for isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the south.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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From Belmopan
As those in central areas have realised, we are in the middle of a very significant swellup and a lot of lightning.

Just had one strike very, very close to my house . . . Lights went Off for 10 seconds, but I had already changed my computers over to my Inverter system.. . . Two more lights off for 5 seconds with more lightning strikes.

066456A5-FC2E-42E3-AB09-7EA08BCE3AB2.png 1334D4F3-9183-434C-9464-D28FD0D04850.png 0AE62BFA-3810-4205-B661-3EC2E0DE26D4.png
Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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From Belmopan... Continuing, and several more blips to the power supply.

[Linked Image]

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