Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Cloudy and quite windy in San Pedro. Our airflow is becoming less moist and unstable.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution as winds may become gusty at times. There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.
Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy. Shower activity will be isolated , except for the south where a few showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected during the night and early morning.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Sea State:
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Saturday and Saturday night is for partly cloudy skies and shower activity will be isolated, except for the south where a few night showers or isolated thunderstorms can be expected.
Sargassum Forecast from June 16 to June 23:
The threat of Sargassum affecting beaches across the country remains high and will continue so during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE: At 6:00 am the system was near 26.0N 91.5W or about 255 miles south of Morgan City, Louisiana. It was moving to the north at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.
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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
Two tropical waves are moving across the basin.
The eastern Pacific monsoon trough extends from SE Panama to
northern Colombia. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
noted along the monsoon trough south of 13N between 74W to 83W.
Fresh to strong tradewinds were detected by the latest
scatterometer pass in the south central Caribbean. The strongest
winds extend from the coast of Colombia north to 14N between 70W
and 77W. Mainly moderate to fresh trades prevail elsewhere in
the basin. Seas of 4-6 ft throughout the basin, except 6-9 ft
near the area of strong winds off in the south central Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure extends from the E central
Atlantic W-SW to central Florida and will weaken north of the
area through early Sat before building back Sun through Tue. This
ridge will combine with lower pressure over Venezuela and
Colombia to support pulsing fresh to strong trades over the S
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras during the weekend through
Tue. Fresh to strong trades, scattered tstms and squalls will
follow a tropical wave along 70W tonight as it moves W across the
Caribbean through Sun.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Latest satellite imagery shows that Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 remains poorly organized as much of the convection is still displaced well to the east of the low-level center. As this potential tropical cyclone drifts slowly northward, it will gradually become better organized, and we expect it to become a tropical depression Friday morning. Some additional strengthening is likely Friday afternoon as the system continues moving northward. It will likely become a tropical storm prior to reaching the central Gulf Coast late Friday or Friday night; the next name on the list is Claudette.
Elsewhere, there are a few tropical waves currently found across the basin. These waves are near 81 west, 59 west and 38 west. These tropical waves are moving westward at generally 10-15 mph. The wave near 81 west will move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Friday and may help to further the potential tropical development of Potential Tropical Cyclone 3.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO to the coast, levels are near normal and slowly increasing. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill, levels are below normal and increasing slowly; and, at Caledonia levels are above normal and have increased minimally.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady.
The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and shows a minimal rise. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and remains steady.
REGION 11- Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and shows a minimal rise. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. On the Swasey branch of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are near normal and steady; and, on the Bladen branch levels are below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER is below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are near normal and steady. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is near normal and steady.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman Douglas to the coast near normal levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, near normal levels are expected.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities is expected to remain below the spillways; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, near normal level is expected.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, near normal levels is expected and at CROOKED TREE LAGOON, water level is expected remain below the causeway.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels are expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village near normal levels are expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase minimally. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge levels are expected to increase minimally. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are expected to increase minimally. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.
REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase.
THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 21, 2021