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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: June 18, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Cloudy and quite windy in San Pedro. Our airflow is becoming less moist and unstable.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution as winds may become gusty at times. There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy. Shower activity will be isolated , except for the south where a few showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected during the night and early morning.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: Saturday and Saturday night is for partly cloudy skies and shower activity will be isolated, except for the south where a few night showers or isolated thunderstorms can be expected.
Sargassum Forecast from June 16 to June 23: The threat of Sargassum affecting beaches across the country remains high and will continue so during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE: At 6:00 am the system was near 26.0N 91.5W or about 255 miles south of Morgan City, Louisiana. It was moving to the north at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:


Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

Two tropical waves are moving across the basin.

The eastern Pacific monsoon trough extends from SE Panama to northern Colombia. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted along the monsoon trough south of 13N between 74W to 83W.

Fresh to strong tradewinds were detected by the latest scatterometer pass in the south central Caribbean. The strongest winds extend from the coast of Colombia north to 14N between 70W and 77W. Mainly moderate to fresh trades prevail elsewhere in the basin. Seas of 4-6 ft throughout the basin, except 6-9 ft near the area of strong winds off in the south central Caribbean.

For the forecast, high pressure extends from the E central Atlantic W-SW to central Florida and will weaken north of the area through early Sat before building back Sun through Tue. This ridge will combine with lower pressure over Venezuela and Colombia to support pulsing fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras during the weekend through Tue. Fresh to strong trades, scattered tstms and squalls will follow a tropical wave along 70W tonight as it moves W across the Caribbean through Sun.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 10:22 AM High: 4:00 PM
Low: 10:37 PM High: 4:53 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:18 AM Moonrise: 12:29 PM
Sunset: 6:29 PM Moonset: 12:53 AM (Sat)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Latest satellite imagery shows that Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 remains poorly organized as much of the convection is still displaced well to the east of the low-level center. As this potential tropical cyclone drifts slowly northward, it will gradually become better organized, and we expect it to become a tropical depression Friday morning. Some additional strengthening is likely Friday afternoon as the system continues moving northward. It will likely become a tropical storm prior to reaching the central Gulf Coast late Friday or Friday night; the next name on the list is Claudette.

Elsewhere, there are a few tropical waves currently found across the basin. These waves are near 81 west, 59 west and 38 west. These tropical waves are moving westward at generally 10-15 mph. The wave near 81 west will move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Friday and may help to further the potential tropical development of Potential Tropical Cyclone 3.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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3 tropical waves heading to the Caribbean.

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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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A lot of mid-high level cloud around, there was a swellup down south, but that is dying out now.

Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, but with some sunshine in places, there could be some rain this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 78°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 34.5 mm ( 1.4") Over Night Rain 0.6 mm ( 0" )

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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a SE wind at 25 mph creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. The expected high temperature for the day is 86 f.

FB_IMG_1624024515203.jpg

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Present Condition: Mostly clear skies except for in the deep south. Clear skies and windy in San Pedro. Generally fair conditions prevail over most areas.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers or isolated thunderstorms inland this afternoon and over the south tonight and tomorrow morning. Elsewhere showers will be isolated.

Outlook: For Saturday afternoon to Sunday midday is for continuing mostly fair weather except for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over the south Saturday night and Sunday morning.

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Marty Offline OP
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Flood Report and Forecast for June 18, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO to the coast, levels are near normal and slowly increasing. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill, levels are below normal and increasing slowly; and, at Caledonia levels are above normal and have increased minimally.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady.

The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and shows a minimal rise. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and remains steady.

REGION 11- Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and shows a minimal rise. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. On the Swasey branch of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are near normal and steady; and, on the Bladen branch levels are below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER is below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are near normal and steady. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is near normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman Douglas to the coast near normal levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, near normal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities is expected to remain below the spillways; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, near normal level is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, near normal levels is expected and at CROOKED TREE LAGOON, water level is expected remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels are expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village near normal levels are expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase minimally. On the SITTEE RIVER, at Kendal Bridge levels are expected to increase minimally. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are expected to increase minimally. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 21, 2021

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Marty Offline OP
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Enjoy your Friday in Corozal Town. And, have a great weekend.

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