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Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021 #551000
06/22/21 06:05 AM
06/22/21 06:05 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 75,003
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies, some clouds in the deep south. Clear and windy in San Pedro. Generally fair weather conditions prevail over the area.
Advisories: 0perators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas.
24-hour forecast: Today skies will be mostly sunny. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy. Expect only isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop mainly over the south during the night and early morning.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Wednesday and Wednesday night is for partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly south.
Sargassum Forecast from June 16 to June 23: The threat of Sargassum affecting beaches across the country remains high and will continue so during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

There are four tropical waves moving across the basin.

An upper level cyclonic circulation is centered over the Windward Passage enhancing convection across Hispaniola and adjacent waters between 68W-75W.

The monsoon trough is along 10N/11N from 74W in Colombia beyond northern Costa Rica, into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Scattered moderate convection is within 90 nm to the north of the trough between 78W and 86W.

The Atlantic high pressure combined with the Colombian low supports fresh to strong trades over the south- central Caribbean through early Wed. Pulsing fresh to strong E to SE winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras at night through Thu night. A tropical wave currently over Central America along 85W will continue moving west enhancing the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms. The next tropical wave is expected to approach the Lesser Antilles by Thu.

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
28° C
82° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
24° C
76° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
21° C
70° F
High: 7:17 AM Low: 2:38 PM
High: 9:17 PM Low: 1:43 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:19 AM Moonrise: 4:32 PM
Sunset: 6:30 PM Moonset: 4:01 AM (Wed)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Claudette has lost tropical characteristics over the North Atlantic. The storm is no longer considered tropical. However, the storm will still bring gusty winds, rough surf and some rain to portions of Atlantic Canada over the next day or two.

Meanwhile, a vigorous tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles bears watching for tropical development over the next couple of days. This tropical wave is currently producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for tropical development today and Wednesday before wind shear becomes too strong during the end of the week. Regardless, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds can impact the Lesser Antilles late this week.

One other area of concern will be located near the Azores later this week. An upper-air low pressure is expected to develop near or just north of the Azores at the end of the week. Should this low move far enough south over the weekend, it will encounter some slightly warmer waters, and subtropical development may occur.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551001
06/22/21 06:06 AM
06/22/21 06:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 75,003
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Forecast patterns continue to insist that there is probability of cyclone development between Africa and the Caribbean, within the Caribbean and on Mexico's southwestern coast.

There is a TROPICAL WAVE tracking west at 9 mph in the general direction of the Lesser Antilles islands. Although there is a 30% chance of CYCLONE development in the next 48 hours (June 23, 2021), the more likely scenario is a healthy tropical wave will track west into the eastern Caribbean islands, June 25-26, 2021 spreading widespread tropical rain squalls + rough seas late week.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551002
06/22/21 06:54 AM
06/22/21 06:54 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,220
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rough sea conditions around our barrier reef from a 25 mph wind.
Advisories: 0perators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551003
06/22/21 08:07 AM
06/22/21 08:07 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 75,003
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Presently steady easterly Caribbean winds with some cloud. The high level is from the NE, but there is a front moving down from the north, presently forming a line of cloud over the north Yucatan. This is likely to have an effect on our weather by tonight.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, some clouds developing, little or no rain expected. No rain on the Radar.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26C 79F Yesterday max. 33C 91F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )

Swellup developing over Cayo.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551009
06/22/21 11:58 AM
06/22/21 11:58 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 75,003
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly clear except way down south by Punta Gorda. Clear blue skies and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair conditions prevail over the area. Small craft caution in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny during the daytime and cloudy spells tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated except for a few more along the south coast tonight.

Outlook: For Wednesday afternoon to Thursday midday is for similar weather conditions to prevail.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: June 22, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551013
06/23/21 04:19 AM
06/23/21 04:19 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 75,003
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Flamboyant tree just south of Grand Caribe. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

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