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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: June 23, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies, some clouds south of Punta Gorda. Mostly clear and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair weather prevails.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts should continue to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas. STRONG THUNDERSTORM WARNING: Strong isolated thunderstorms with dangerous lightning, strong winds and occasionally heavy rainfall are affecting the Toledo District.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated with isolated thunderstorms over the south this morning and over inland areas this afternoon. Then, a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will redevelop over the southern districts tonight with only isolated showers elsewhere.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Gusty
Sea State: Moderate - Rough
Waves: 4-7 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Mainly fair conditions with isolated showers and thunderstorms developing mostly over the south for Thursday and Thursday night.
Sargassum Forecast from June 16 to June 23: The threat of Sargassum affecting beaches across the country remains high and will continue so during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:


Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

An upper level trough extends from an upper level cyclonic circulation center that is near SE Cuba and the Windward Passage, toward eastern Honduras and NE Nicaragua. The monsoon trough is along 10N76W in Colombia, through 09N82W, beyond southern Costa Rica and into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough. The sea heights range from 3 to 5 ft from 70W eastward, from 4 to 6 ft between 70W and 80W, and from 4 to 5 ft from 80W westward. Strong NE winds are within 60 nm of the coast of Colombia between 73W and 75W. Fresh-to-strong NE and E winds are within 300 nm of the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia between 70W and 77W, and in the Gulf of Venezuela; and within 60 nm of the northern coast of Hispaniola between 70W and the northern part of the Windward Passage. Strong easterly winds are within 180 nm to the north of Honduras from 84W westward.

The Atlantic high pressure combined with the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean mainly at night through Wed. Pulsing fresh to strong E to SE winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras at night through Wed also. An active tropical wave with axis along 57W is forecast to approach the Lesser Antilles by Thu, and move across those islands on Fri enhancing convection, winds, and seas.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
91° F
28° C
83° F
Inland 36° C
96° F
24° C
76° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
21° C
70° F
TIDES:
High: 8:08 AM Low: 3:30 PM
High: 10:11 PM Low: 2:31 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:19 AM Moonrise: 5:40 PM
Sunset: 6:30 PM Moonset: 5:00 AM (Thu)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A vigorous tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly less favorable for tropical development. As a result, we no longer are anticipating this tropical wave will develop. However, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds can impact the Lesser Antilles late this week.

One other area of concern will be located near the Azores later this week. An upper-air low pressure is expected to develop near or just north of the Azores at the end of the week. Should this low move far enough south over the weekend, it will encounter some slightly warmer waters, and subtropical development may occur.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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The National Hurricane Center is watching a tropical wave over the Atlantic. At the moment it has 10% chance of cyclonic development.

Tropical wave arriving in Central America. Increased rain potential in our area this Wednesday and Thursday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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It's going to be a hot and windy day on Ambergris Caye. The expected high temperature is 91f. and the wind is blowing from the East at 21 mph.

65274845_10157370469484525_5549068837007130624_n.jpg
Last edited by elbert; 06/23/21 07:10 AM.

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
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Marty Offline OP
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The easterly Caribbean winds firmly in control at present, there is some high level winds from the NNE, which caused some rain in southern Toledo earlier this morning.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny wit clouds developing, a small chance of some rain showers this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 34°C 93°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear except for a few clouds in the south between Dangriga and Punta Gorda. Clear blue skies and windy in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails over most of the country. A small craft caution remains in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy skies tonight. Except for isolated showers and thunderstorms over the southern portions of the Maya Mountains this afternoon and over the Toledo district tonight, rainfall activity will remain minimal.

Outlook: For Thursday afternoon through to midday on Friday is partly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms being generally isolated.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Flood Report and Forecast for June 23, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO to the coast, levels are below normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill, levels are near normal and falling; and, at Caledonia levels are above normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady.

The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is above normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are below normal and slowly falling. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, levels are below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan are near normal and steady. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is near normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas to the coast, below normal and steady levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill levels are expected to remain near normal and at Caledonia, above normal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities is expected to remain below the spillways; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, below normal levels are expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal levels are expected and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, below normal levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village near normal levels are expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS normal and steady levels is expected. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, near normal levels is expected to continue. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, below normal levels are expected to continue. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, below normal levels is expected to continue. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, near normal levels are expected to continue. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, near normal levels are expected to continue.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, no change in river levels in expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 25, 2021

Good morning, from sunny Dangriga. Photo courtesy U.S. Embassy Belize

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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