General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Partly cloudy skies this morning. Partly cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast:
Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated and affecting mainly southern parts of the country.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts Sea State:
Light Chop
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook:
For Saturday and Saturday night is for a similar trend to occur.
Sargassum Forecast from June 23 to June 30:
Satellite imagery continue to show high sargassum contents over our area and as a result the chances of sargassum landing on beaches across the country will remain high during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
Click for more...
Marine Conditions:
Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
In the NW Caribbean, a weak surface trough is analyzed from the
coast of Cuba near 22N83W southward to 18N83W. Convection previous
associated with this feature has diminished. A weak pressure
gradient prevails over the Caribbean waters, supporting moderate
trades over most of the Caribbean, The exception is in the central
Caribbean within 80 nm of the coast of Colombia where trades are
locally fresh, and in the NW Caribbean where trades are light to
gentle. Seas are 4-6 ft in the central and eastern Caribbean, and
2-4 ft in the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail across the
basin through the weekend. By Mon, fresh to strong easterly winds
will return to the south-central Caribbean and to the Gulf of
Honduras Tue. A tropical wave is expected to move across the
eastern Caribbean into Sat. This will enhance convection in this
area through Sat and shift to the central Caribbean by Sun.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
There remains no organized tropical systems in the Atlantic basin at this time. However, there are a couple areas of concern in which we are monitoring for possible tropical development over the next few days.
A strong tropical wave emerged off the west coast of Africa Thursday. While ocean waters are only marginally conducive for tropical development, wind shear is expected to be light in this part of the basin over the next few days. As a result, a tropical depression or storm could form over the weekend or early next week. This would push over the open waters of the Atlantic in a general westward direction. This wave, regardless if it develops or not, will impact the Lesser Antilles around the middle of next week.
In the long range, we continue to monitor for possible tropical development around the middle to end of next week in the far northwestern Caribbean Sea or southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
Tropical wave in southern Mexico. Deep trough and another tropical wave approaching.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical wave with cyclonic potential in the Atlantic that is taking off the coast of West Africa, Invest 95L. The Caribbean Islands in general must monitor this system. It's not yet time to be alarmed, it's just a forecast which is subject to several changes as the system moves west to west northwest we'll have a picture of what its future will be.
Ambergris Caye got a much needed rain last night. This morning we have a calm sea around our barrier reef with a breeze from the East at 7 mph. I'm reminded of how a stretch of dry weather is also bad for mosquitos.
The easterly Caribbean winds are slow this morning. There is some high level winds, and some rain showers around San Pedro and the PG area, that will probably die out later.
Looks as if today will be generally sunny, but a small chance of the odd rain shower.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 3.4 mm ( 0.13") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )
REGION 7 - Levels are near normal on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are near normal and falling.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and falling.
The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and steady. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady.
REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, are below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South is near normal and steady and at Jordan levels are near normal and falling. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is below normal and steady.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and steady.
FLOOD FORECAST
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast, levels are expected to rise minimally. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, a minimal rise in river levels is expected.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities is expected to increase minimally; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, a minimal rise in river levels is expected.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, near normal levels are expected and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway.
REGION 11 -On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village above normal levels is expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, below normal levels are expected increase to above normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, below normal levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.
REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, an increase in river levels is expected.
THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JUNE 28, 2021
Present Condition: Mostly clear skies. Sunny in San Pedro. Generally fair conditions prevailing.
24hr Forecast: Today skies will be mostly sunny. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy becoming cloudy at times. Shower activity will be generally isolated, except for the south and inland areas where a few more showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected.
Outlook: For Saturday afternoon thru to Sunday afternoon is for partly cloudy skies becoming cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mainly over inland and southern areas, elsewhere shower activity will be isolated.
The opinions and views expressed on this board are the subjective opinions of Ambergris Caye Message Board members and not of the Ambergris Caye Message Board its affiliates, or its employees.
AmbergrisCaye.com 
General Situation:
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