Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021

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#551241 07/02/21 06:08 AM

Joined: Oct 1999

Posts: 84,393

oregon, spr

Marty

Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy skies this morning. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair and warm weather will prevail today.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and partly cloudy to cloudy at times today. Mainly fair and warm weather will prevail, and showers will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Sargassum Forecast from June 29 to July 7: The chances of sargassum affecting local beaches will remain high during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00 am, Tropical Storm Elsa was located near latitude 12.7N, longitude 58.6W, or about 70 miles east-southeast of Barbados. Elsa was moving to the west-northwest at 28mph with maximum sustained winds of 60mph. At this time, this system does not pose a threat to Belize due to its distance from the country. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Elsa is moving west toward the Windward Islands.

Fresh winds prevail over much of the Caribbean, with the exception of gentle winds near Cuba and locally strong winds S of Puerto Rico in association with a tropical wave. Seas are in the 6-9 ft range in the central Caribbean, 4-7 ft in the eastern Caribbean, and 3-5 ft in the western Caribbean.

For the forecast, the tropical wave in the far eastern Caribbean will move quickly into the central basin later this week. Locally heavy rainfall and reduced visibility will occur in its vicinity. Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Elsa is near 9.4N 48.8W 1006 mb at 5 AM EDT moving W at 22 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Elsa will move to 10.3N 52.0W this afternoon, 11.7N 56.7W Fri morning, 13.2N 61.8W Fri afternoon, 14.9N 66.9W Sat morning, 16.7N 71.2W Sat afternoon, and 18.0N 74.5W Sun morning. Elsa will remain a tropical storm through the weekend, and may move near Cuba or the far southeast Gulf early Mon.

	High	Low
Coastal	31° C 88° F	27° C 80° F
Inland	34° C 93° F	23° C 74° F
Hills	28° C 82° F	19° C 66° F

TIDES:
Low: 10:55 AM	High: 4:13 PM
Low: 10:48 PM	High: 4:46 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:22 AM	Moonset: 12:37 PM
Sunset: 6:31 PM	Moonrise: 12:43 AM (Sat)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Elsa Is Very Likely A Hurricane Right Now

At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located about 70 miles (110 km) east-southeast of Barbados. It's moving quickly toward the west-northwest near 28 mph (44 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands this morning, move across the eastern Caribbean Sea late today and tonight, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba.

Elsa is certainly strengthening today and I think that it is probably already a hurricane based on satellite imagery, radar imagery from Barbados and weather observations from Barbados. Radar imagery from Barbados indicates that an eye seems to be forming with a partially closed eyewall observed. In addition, the airport in Barbados has recorded wind gusts of hurricane force (86 mph wind gust). Elsa is likely a low end hurricane with 75 to 80 mph winds or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. Some additional strengthening is forecast to take place during the next 12 to 24 hours, followed by little change in strength.

Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches today across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides. Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches is expected late today into Saturday. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and minor river flooding, along with the potential for mudslides. Across portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches is possible Saturday into Sunday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021 Marty #551242 07/02/21 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,393 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Tropical Storm Elsa is forecast to enter the Eastern Caribbean Friday Afternoon. Elsa is being guided west due to the Bermuda High to the north. By late Monday, Elsa will be in the Northwest Caribbean. Tuesday, Elsa is forecast to turn north around the western flank of the Bermuda High and be drawn north into the Eastern Gulf of Mexico due to a trough of low pressure moving off the Mid Atlantic Coast. For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021 Marty #551243 07/02/21 07:31 AM
Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 13,675 San Pedro Belize elbert
elbert	On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rough sea conditions around our barrier reef from a 18 mph wind. Today's expected high temperature is set at 88f. White Sands Dive Shop https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021 Marty #551244 07/02/21 09:55 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,393 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	The easterly Caribbean winds are firmly in control this morning, but there have been some clashes causing rain in a number of places, particularly in the south, but they are drying out now. Looks as if there will be a fair amount of sunshine and today, but always the chance of a rain shower. Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 23°C 74°F Yesterday max. 31°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 5.0 mm ( 0.2") Over Night Rain 1.0 mm ( 0.0" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021 Marty #551254 07/02/21 12:03 PM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,393 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Present Condition: Mostly cloudy in the south, mostly clear in the north. Clear and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair conditions prevail but a tropical wave will support a slight increase in moisture. 24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny this afternoon with isolated showers or thunderstorms. Cloudy at times tonight and tomorrow morning with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the south and coast. Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over southern and coastal areas Saturday night and Sunday morning. Elsewhere showers will be isolated. Flood Report and Forecast for July 2, 2021 River Conditions REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and Santa Cruz, levels are below normal and steady; and, at San Antonio and San Roman levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill levels are below normal and steady and at Caledonia levels are above normal and falling slowly. REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady. The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and has seen a minimal rise. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady. REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and rising slowly. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is above normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and rising slowly. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank are below normal and falling. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South is normal and steady and at Jordan, levels are below normal and falling. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is below normal and steady. REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and steady. FLOOD FORECAST REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast, near normal levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, levels are expected to increase to near normal levels. REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at the Chalillo, Mollejon, and Vaca facilities are expected to remain below the spillways; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, near normal levels are expected On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, near normal levels are expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway. REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village increasing levels are expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase minimally. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, below normal levels are expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, below normal river levels are expected. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to near normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, below normal levels are expected to continue. REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, normal and steady levels are expected. THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JULY 5, 2021

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021 Marty #551261 07/03/21 04:36 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,393 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Friday view from Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger 87 degrees on the beach in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut Launch of Marimba Summer Camp 2021 July 5th to August 20th,2021 through the kind support of the Diaspora in the USA under the initiative of Mr.Mario & Lucy Lara and Friends.