Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 #551275
07/03/21 06:04 AM
07/03/21 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy except for the very north. Mostly clear skies and windy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells today and tonight with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms around the country, but especially coastal and southern areas.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Sunday and Sunday night is for a similar trend to occur.
Sargassum Forecast from June 29 to July 7: The chances of sargassum affecting local beaches will remain high during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00 am, Hurricane Elsa was centered near latitude 16.2N, longitude 69.0W, or about 530 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Elsa was moving to the west northwest at 31mph with maximum sustained winds of 75mph. At this time, this system does not pose a threat to Belize due to its distance from the country. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Hurricane Elsa near 16.2N 69.0W 998 mb at 5 AM EDT moving WNW at 27 kt. Maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts 80 kt. Elsa will move to 17.5N 72.3W this afternoon, 19.0N 75.4W Sun morning, weaken to a tropical storm near 20.5N 77.8W Sun afternoon, inland to 22.1N 79.7W Mon morning, 23.4N 81.2W Mon afternoon, and 24.7N 82.2W Tue morning. Elsa will change little in intensity as it moves near 28.2N 83.0W early Wed. Otherwise, a tropical wave in the central basin will move across the western Caribbean through Sun night with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
19° C
66° F
High: 4:46 AM Low: 12:01 PM
High: 5:47 PM Low: 11:33 PM
Sunrise: 5:22 AM Moonset: 1:26 PM
Sunset: 6:31 PM Moonrise: 1:18 AM (Sun)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:


At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Hurricane Elsa was located about 190 miles (310 km) east-southeast of Isla Beata, Dominican Republic. It's moving very quickly toward the west-northwest near 31 mph (50 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected later today and Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest Sunday night or Monday. On the forecast track, Elsa will move near the southern coast of Hispaniola later today and tonight, and move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba on Sunday. By Monday, Elsa is expected to move across central and western Cuba and head toward the Florida Straits.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). Little change in strength is expected today, but slow weakening is forecast on Sunday and Monday when Elsa is expected to be near or over Cuba.

The outer rain bands associated with Elsa will impact Puerto Rico today with rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches possible. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding, minor river flooding, and mudslides. Across portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected Saturday into Sunday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides. Across portions of the Cayman Islands and Cuba Sunday into Monday, rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches is expected. This will result in significant flash flooding with mudslides in Cuba. Rainfall from Elsa is likely to impact portions of the Florida Keys and southern Florida early next week. Amounts of 2 to 4 inches with localized maximum amounts up to 6 inches will be possible, which may result in isolated flash, urban, and minor river flooding.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551276
07/03/21 06:04 AM
07/03/21 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Weather analysis shows tropical wave over the Central Caribbean. It would be coming Sunday or Monday. Elsa crosses the Eastern Caribbean heading to the Greater West Indies.

[Linked Image]

Elsa appears less organized this morning. Satellite images show an asymmetric cloud pattern with the low-level center located near the northwestern edge of the main area of thunderstorms. This satellite presentation is indicative of moderate-to-strong northwesterly shear that is likely caused by the tropical cyclone's fast forward motion. The initial intensity is lowered to 65 kt following a blend of the latest Dvorak estimates. The hurricane passed by NOAA buoy 42059 a few hours ago, and the storm's minimum pressure was adjusted a few millibars higher based on the buoy's data. Another Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft will be flying through Elsa in a couple of hours, and the data the plane collects will provide a better estimate of Elsa's intensity and structure.

Elsa continues to move very quickly to the west-northwest at about 27 kt. A subtropical ridge to the north of the hurricane should keep it on a west-northwest path, albeit at a slightly slower pace through the weekend. This should take the core of the storm just south of or over southern Hispaniola later today and near or across Jamaica and eastern Cuba on Sunday. Shortly after that time, Elsa is expected to near the western edge of the ridge and move toward a weakness over the southeastern U.S. In response to this pattern change, Elsa should slow down some more and turn to the north. The models appear to be slowly converging on a solution in showing the cyclone making the northward turn somewhere over Cuba on Monday and then heading in the vicinity of Florida or the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday. Although the models are in better agreement compared to previous days, there is still a considerable amount of spread in the GFS and ECMWF ensemble members, and the details of the long-term track are still uncertain.

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551279
07/03/21 07:14 AM
07/03/21 07:14 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,523
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have blue sky and a calm sea condition around our barrier reef. The expected high temperature is set at 88f.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551280
07/03/21 07:51 AM
07/03/21 07:51 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
A lot of over night rain, not clear what has been causing it. The Caribbean has and is full of very significant cloud in places. Looks as if there is some air movement down from the north, diverting the Caribbean winds a bit, and there appears to be some mid-level air up from the south, causing all this cloud and rain. This weather is not, as yes, under any influence from the which is still in the Caribbean, south of Haiti, Porto Rico, and may have a little influence on our weather in the next few days.

Looks as if the rain, now mainly in the south will continue for a few hours, but dying out in the north, but will be generally cloudy, some sun in the north, there could be some more rain later today.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551281
07/03/21 10:49 AM
07/03/21 10:49 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Still rain around and likely to be the odd rain shower much of the day.

[Linked Image]

As expected, Elsa is weakening and despite their earlier indications, they have now said it is now only a TROPICAL STORM ELSA, dropped out of hurricane force winds.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551282
07/03/21 11:59 AM
07/03/21 11:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy in the south, mostly clear in the north. Sunny and windy in San Pedro. A relatively moist easterly airflow prevailing.

24hr Forecast: Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy becoming cloudy at times. Shower activity will be generally isolated today. Expect a few more showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop mainly over inland and southern areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Sunday afternoon thru to Monday afternoon is for cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mainly over southern areas.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551286
07/04/21 04:25 AM
07/04/21 04:25 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Happy Saturday afternoon from Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger

[Linked Image]

Portofino Resort- Now with a new BEACH BAR!!
Click for excellent scuba lessons with Elbert Greer!
Chaa Creek is an award-winning luxury Belize Resort, rated as one of the worlds best Eco Lodges. We are a pioneer in adventure travel to Belize since 1981!
Maruba Beach Klub and Spa is the premiere Secret Beach spa and restaurant located on the crystal blue waters of the Caribbean Sea at the center of Secret Beach, Belize
First Class Accommodations for the Budget Traveler
First Class Accommodations for the Budget Traveler

Things to do
Specials & Events
SPTB Calendar of Events

Daily News
Daily Weather

Classified Ads
San Pedro Sun
Ambergris Today
SP Town Council
Channel 7
Channel 5
Love FM
The Reporter
TV Newscasts
Radio Stations

Click for our
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites
To Get Your Questions Answered

Event Guides
Event Calendar
Specials & Events
Things to Do
Cayo Event Calendar

San Pedro Scoop!
Tia Chocolate
My Beautiful Belize
I-Travel Belize
Belize Adventure
Belize Hub
Romantic Travel
Belize Happy Adventures
Conch Creative
Caribbean Culture & Lifestyle
More Blogs...
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites
White Sands Dive Shop - 5 Star PADI Dive Facility - Daily diving, SCUBA instruction and Snorkeling
Caribbean Inspired All Natural Condiments & Spice Blends, Over 100 are Gluten Free!
We handle all aspects of the purchase of your Real Estate in Belize. From in depth property searches to your final closing.
Click for Ian Anderson's Caves Branch, Welcome to a World of Adventure
Lil Alphonse has snorkel equipment to fit anyone as well as Marine Park Tickets and flotation devices to assist those not as experienced.
Coastal Xpress offers a daily scheduled ferry run to most resorts, restaurants and private piers on the island of Anbergris Caye. We also offer  private and charter water taxi service.
1 2 3 4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20
21 22 23 24 25 26 27
28 29 30 31
Cayo Espanto
Click for Cayo Espanto, and have your own private island
More Links
Click for exciting and adventurous tours of Belize with Katie Valk!
ShoutChat Box
Who's Online Now
0 registered members (), 94 guests, and 0 spiders.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Forum Statistics
Most Online7,413
Nov 7th, 2021 HELP! Visitor Center Goods & Services San Pedro Town Message Board Lodging Diving Fishing Things to Do History Maps Phonebook Belize Business Directory Picture of the Day

The opinions and views expressed on this board are the subjective opinions of Ambergris Caye Message Board members
and not of the Ambergris Caye Message Board its affiliates, or its employees.

Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.1