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Belize Weather Forecast: July 12, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, especially in the north. Quite cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevaling, then later a gradual increase in moisture is expected. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Today skies will be sunny with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy becoming cloudy at times. Shower activity will be generally isolated today. Expect a few showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop mainly over the south tonight and tomorrow morning. Winds: E, 5-15 kts Sea State: Choppy Waves: 3-5 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86 Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms developing mainly along coastal areas during the day, these activities will increase during the night and spread to most areas of the country. Sargassum Forecast from July 7 to July 14: There is a medium to high chance of new sargassum mats landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea Scatterometer data from 0430 UTC depicted fresh to strong trade winds across the south-central Caribbean, as well as over the Gulf of Honduras and into the northern approaches of the Windward Passage, where concurrent altimeter data showed wave heights near 8 ft. Maximum seas are estimated to be 9 ft in the south-central Caribbean, mainly off the coast of Colombia, and to 8 ft over the eastern Caribbean where fresh tradewinds follow the tropical wave moving across the basin. Moderate E to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted over the northwest Caribbean. In addition to the convection mentioned in the Tropical Wave section, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is ongoing off eastern Panama. For the forecast, the tropical wave reaching from Haiti to northeast Colombia will move quickly across the central Caribbean through today, and then move west of the basin into mid week. High pressure centered north of the region will build in the wake of the tropical wave, supporting strong tradewinds and building seas into Wed, including strong nocturnal NE winds across the Windward Passage Tue night into Wed. Winds and seas will diminish through Fri.   High Low Coastal 31° C 87° F 27° C 81° F Inland 34° C 93° F 23° C 74° F Hills 28° C 82° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: High: 11:12 AM Low: 6:25 PM High: 12:36 AM (Tue) Low: 5:21 AM (Tue) Sunrise: 5:25 AM Moonrise: 7:40 AM Sunset: 6:31 PM Moonset: 8:53 PM Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: With Elsa having dissipated over the northern waters of the Atlantic Ocean, the basin has turned quiet. While there are a few tropical waves crossing the basin, tropical development is not anticipated through the next several days. For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

The Mayan trough, combined with wet air, will favor some scattered rainfall and storms in the peninsula. Tropical wave arriving in Central America and very active tropical wave over the Central Caribbean is approaching.



There are multiple tropical waves tracking from east to west across the tropical Atlantic Ocean, July 11-18, 2021.

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 20 mph wind from the East creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 88f. Lobster fishermen are out early this morning.

The easterly Caribbean winds have significant clouds in it, and the overnight high level cloud has been clashing, causing many isolated rain showers. These are now reducing. The high level mainly originated over Honduras and Nicaragua yesterday and is swinging up north and over Belize over night.

Looks as if today will continue to be cloudy, mainly high level cloud, but signi9ficant low level cloud and the chance of rain showers anywhere, some sunshine later.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 2.3 mm ( 0.09") Over Night 5.6 mm ( 0.22" )

If you were noticing the hazy skies yesterday - it's Saharan Dust!
It makes for hazy hazy days and AMAZING sunsets.

Saharan dust is filling the Gulf of Mexico and much of the tropical Atlantic as it arrived Sunday July 11. That second cloud should reach us on Friday.

The first cloud will add enough particulate matter to the atmosphere to push the air quality index into the "moderate" category. Most people won't notice a difference, but if you are unusually sensitive to these clouds, your allergies could flare.

Present Condition: Partly cloudy, less so in the northeast. Mostly clear and windy in San Pedro. Mainly fair weather prevails with a gradual increase in moisture expected later tonight.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells this afternoon becoming cloudy at times later. Showers will be isolated at first increasing over the south tonight along with isolated thunderstorms. Then activity will spread to most places by tomorrow morning.

Outlook: Tuesday afternoon through midday Wednesday:- a few showers and thunderstorms occurring around the country increasing during the nighttime.





Flood Report & Forecast for July 12, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the coast, levels are near below normal and falling. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are below normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town are below normal and steady. The BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and falling. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. The watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS are below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is normal and steady. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank are below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are below normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South is above normal and shows a minimal rise; and at Jordan, levels are above normal and falling. The TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is below normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast, above normal levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, above normal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at Chalillo, Mollejon, and Vaca facilities, levels are expected to increase minimally; at San Ignacio, levels are expected to increase minimally. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, river levels are expected to increase minimally.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected to increase minimally; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, no significant change is expected.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to increase minimally. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, above normal levels are expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are expected to increase to near above normal levels. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, expected to increase to above normal levels. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, expect levels to increase to near above normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, above normal levels are expected. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, above normal levels are expected.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase minimally.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JULY 14, 2021

A few scattered rain showers.

It's blazing hot out! Saw a huge line for the vaccine. Hooray! Photo by San Pedro Scoop



HAPPY CATCH IS A HAPPY DAY
Photo credit: Reef Ventures A.C.



View from Swinging Armadillo in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut