Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, especially in the central regions. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. An approaching tropical wave will support an increase in moisture during the next couple of days.
Advisories: 0perators of small crafts are advised to remain in safe harbor. A small craft warning is in effect for gusty winds and rough seas, especially near heavy showers and thunderstorms. Flood watch: There is the possibility for flooding to occur over low-lying and flood prone areas
24-hour forecast: Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers and a few thunderstorms affecting most places. Activity will increase later today, especially over the south.
Winds: E-NE, 15-25 kts , Gusty
Sea State: Moderate-Rough
Waves: 4-8 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Wednesday and Wednesday night: Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain, especially over the south, gradually decreasing during the nighttime.
Sargassum Forecast from July 7 to July 14: There is a medium to high chance of new sargassum mats landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

An earlier scatterometer satellite pass indicated near-gale force winds across the Gulf of Venezuela, and a large area of fresh to strong tradewinds elsewhere across the southeast and south-central parts of the basin. Seas in these areas are estimated to be 8 to 11 ft. The enhanced wind flow is occurring as high pressure builds in the wake of the tropical wave moving across the basin. Fresh to strong NE winds are evident along the Windward Passage, with seas likely reaching 8 ft near the northern entrance to the Passage. The scatterometer pass also showed fresh to locally strong E winds off eastern Honduras and northeast Nicaragua, just ahead of the wave axis. The convergent wind flow was supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms in this same area as well. A few thunderstorms are active across the Corn Islands of Nicaragua, ahead of the tropical wave. Farther south, the interaction of the tropical wave with the monsoon trough is supporting a cluster of strong thunderstorms over the Gulf of Uraba along western part of the Caribbean coast of Colombia.

For the forecast, the tropical wave from central Cuba to central Panama will move west of the basin by tonight into early Wed. High pressure centered north of the region will continue to support strong to near- gale force tradewinds and building seas into Wed over the central Caribbean, including strong nocturnal NE winds across the Windward Passage tonight into Wed. Winds and seas will diminish Wed through Fri. Looking ahead, tradewinds and related seas will increase over the south-central Caribbean and around the Leeward Islands Sat and Sat night as another tropical wave approaches the eastern Caribbean.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are no organized systems in the Atlantic basin at this time. While there are a few tropical waves crossing the basin, tropical development is not anticipated through at least the upcoming weekend.