Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021
#551471
07/13/21 06:14 AM
07/13/21 06:14 AM
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,073 oregon, spr
Marty
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Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021
General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, especially in the central regions. Cloudy and windy in San Pedro. An approaching tropical wave will support an increase in moisture during the next couple of days.
Advisories: 0perators of small crafts are advised to remain in safe harbor. A small craft warning is in effect for gusty winds and rough seas, especially near heavy showers and thunderstorms. Flood watch: There is the possibility for flooding to occur over low-lying and flood prone areas
24-hour forecast:
Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers and a few thunderstorms affecting most places. Activity will increase later today, especially over the south.
Winds: E-NE, 15-25 kts , Gusty Sea State:
Moderate-Rough
Waves: 4-8 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook:
For Wednesday and Wednesday night: Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, a few thunderstorms and periods of rain, especially over the south, gradually decreasing during the nighttime.
Sargassum Forecast from July 7 to July 14:
There is a medium to high chance of new sargassum mats landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours.
Click for more...
Marine Conditions:
The Caribbean Sea
An earlier scatterometer satellite pass indicated near-gale force
winds across the Gulf of Venezuela, and a large area of fresh to strong
tradewinds elsewhere across the southeast and south-central parts
of the basin. Seas in these areas are estimated to be 8 to 11 ft.
The enhanced wind flow is occurring as high pressure builds in the
wake of the tropical wave moving across the basin. Fresh to
strong NE winds are evident along the Windward Passage, with seas
likely reaching 8 ft near the northern entrance to the Passage.
The scatterometer pass also showed fresh to locally strong E winds
off eastern Honduras and northeast Nicaragua, just ahead of the
wave axis. The convergent wind flow was supporting scattered
showers and thunderstorms in this same area as well. A few
thunderstorms are active across the Corn Islands of Nicaragua,
ahead of the tropical wave. Farther south, the interaction of the
tropical wave with the monsoon trough is supporting a cluster of
strong thunderstorms over the Gulf of Uraba along western part of
the Caribbean coast of Colombia.
For the forecast, the tropical wave from central Cuba to central
Panama will move west of the basin by tonight into early Wed.
High pressure centered north of the region will continue to support
strong to near- gale force tradewinds and building seas into Wed
over the central Caribbean, including strong nocturnal NE winds
across the Windward Passage tonight into Wed. Winds and seas will
diminish Wed through Fri. Looking ahead, tradewinds and related
seas will increase over the south-central Caribbean and around the
Leeward Islands Sat and Sat night as another tropical wave
approaches the eastern Caribbean.
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High |
Low |
Coastal |
30° C 86° F
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26° C 78° F
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Inland |
31° C 88° F
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22° C 72° F
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Hills |
25° C 77° F
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19° C 66° F
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TIDES: |
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Low: 5:21 AM |
High: 11:55 AM |
Low: 7:01 PM |
High: 1:13 AM (Wed) |
Sunrise: 5:25 AM |
Moonrise: 8:35 AM |
Sunset: 6:31 PM |
Moonset: 9:35 PM |
Four Day Weather Outlook:
For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)
Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro
Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today
Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78
Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
There are no organized systems in the Atlantic basin at this time. While there are a few tropical waves crossing the basin, tropical development is not anticipated through at least the upcoming weekend.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.
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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021
[Re: Marty]
#551472
07/13/21 06:15 AM
07/13/21 06:15 AM
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,073 oregon, spr
Marty
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The rains will continue in the Dominican Republic as a result of a Tropical Wave and a Trailer, residents in vulnerable areas should take action. On the north coast of Costa Rica, and part of the Panama border, rain will continue throughout that area and other places in the above mentioned territories, the result of a low pressure system moving over that area, some bands clouds will reach the Nicaragua border with Costa Rica. On the southwestern coast of Mexico's territory, some cloud bands will penetrate the shores due to a low pressure system developing in that area, which could produce rain in that area. ![[Linked Image]](//Ambergriscaye.com/art8/213040325_2947740708835686_8725692634908881352_n.jpg) Tropical wave crosses Central America and the south of the Yucatán Peninsula. Their influence will favor scattered rains in the region. Another tropical wave is coming from the Central Caribbean. ![[Linked Image]](//Ambergriscaye.com/art8/213343666_3015563945391670_6702171574666963070_n.jpg)
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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021
[Re: Marty]
#551474
07/13/21 07:53 AM
07/13/21 07:53 AM
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,073 oregon, spr
Marty
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Crown Weather:
No Tropical Development Anticipated Across The Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf Of Mexico Through The Rest Of This Week & Probably Through Next Week As Well
The Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico are quiet today with no other areas of interest. It appears that no tropical development is expected across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico throughout the rest of this week and likely through next week. In fact, it is possible that we may not see any other tropical systems develop until about the very end of this month or during the first part of August or so. The background state of the atmosphere is unfavorable for tropical development and any tropical disturbances that are out there have to work extremely hard to develop into tropical depressions and tropical storms and most times they don’t.
With that said, the tropical disturbances that are currently in the Atlantic right now are pretty convectively active, in spite of an atmosphere that isn’t really conducive for tropical development. One particular tropical wave is producing heavy thunderstorm activity over the western Caribbean and this wave is likely to bring squally weather to the southern Yucatan Peninsula, Belize and parts of Honduras and Guatemala the rest of today into Wednesday.
Beyond the next couple of weeks, it appears that a new upward motion pulse of the Madden Julian Oscillation should enter the Atlantic Basin around either the very end of this month or during the first part of August. This upward motion pulse is then anticipated to remain in place across the Atlantic through much of the month of August. Once this occurs, I expect that tropical activity will ramp back up beginning around the very end of this month.
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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021
[Re: Marty]
#551475
07/13/21 08:08 AM
07/13/21 08:08 AM
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,073 oregon, spr
Marty
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There was a huge swellup early this morning, covering much of the western Caribbean. Its front shock wave, crossed over Belize this morning causing some rain in many parts of Belize. The below Rain picture was for midnight, when their radar got stuck. There is more rain coming in later, which could effect any part of Belize, probably mainly the south. Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, with significant rain showers and areas during the day. Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 23°C 74°F Yesterday max. 31°C 89°F Yesterday Rain 5.6 mm ( 0.22") Over Night Rain 14 mm ( 0.6" )
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Re: Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2021
[Re: Marty]
#551478
07/13/21 10:19 AM
07/13/21 10:19 AM
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,073 oregon, spr
Marty
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OP
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We are watching that same tropical wave we have tracked across the Caribbean Sea, and is now set to bring squally weather across all Central America countries including Belize, the Yucatan, Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Nicaragua. Take precautions as needed to protect life and property. However, overall, enjoy the rain. ![[Linked Image]](//Ambergriscaye.com/art8/217993188_4412529612133216_7348392026147395206_n.jpg)
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