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Belize Weather Forecast: July 28, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy in the south, more clear in the north as a tropical wave moves in. Mostly clear in San Pedro, but that will change as the wave moves in. A tropical wave is approaching and will cross the country today. Advisories: A small craft caution goes into effect for occassionally gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. 24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy skies today and tonight. Off and on outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms will affect the country today and tonight, then gradually decreasing by tomorrow morning. Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Sea State: Choppy - Moderate Waves: 3-6 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85 Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mainly over southern areas. Sargassum Forecast from July 20 to July 28: There continues to be a medium chance of sargassum affecting beaches mainly over the northern parts of the country. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and three in the Caribbean. Convergent trade winds behind the tropical wave along 87W are producing scattered strong convection over the western basin, and into coastal Honduras and Nicaragua. Refer to the Tropical Wave section above for more information on additional convection. Dry stable low level air and generally fair weather prevails to the east of this area. Gentle to moderate trades S of the Atlantic ridge dominate the entire Caribbean basin. Seas of 2 to 4 ft are present over the W basin, and 3 to 5 ft are found over the central and E basin, except to 6 ft off the NW coast of Colombia. Gentle to moderate trade winds are expected across the basin through Thu. The exception will be moderate to locally fresh winds near the coast of Colombia, in the Gulf of Venezuela and Gulf of Honduras, and S coast of Hispaniola. Winds will begin to increase across the E and central Caribbean Wed night through Thu night, then persist through the weekend, as the Atlantic ridge builds westward in the wake of a trough moving westward across the Atlc waters north of the Greater Antilles.   High Low Coastal 29° C 85° F 27° C 80° F Inland 32° C 90° F 23° C 74° F Hills 27° C 80° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: Low: 6:53 AM High: 12:49 PM Low: 7:40 PM High: 1:33 AM (Thu) Sunrise: 5:30 AM Moonset: 9:40 AM Sunset: 6:27 PM Moonrise: 10:07 PM Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: There are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin at this time. A few tropical waves continue to cross the basin; however, these waves are not expected to organize and develop into tropical systems through at least the end of the week due to the presence of dry, dusty air across the eastern portions of the basin and strong wind shear found over the Caribbean Sea. For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Tropical vibes within the Caribbean producing rain, there are two areas with cyclonic development potential are being monitored.

I mentioned clouds coming in from the Caribbean a couple of days ago and coming up from Honduras, well they were moving slow yesterday, but they have moved in rapidly over night. Or actually a sort of high level front has moved up from the south from Honduras and resulting in clashing with the easterly Caribbean winds. So that activity is still out at sea, But it has triggered thunderstorms and heavy cloud up most of Belize, which actually only caused some patches of rain.

Today
Looks as if it will be cloudy for much of the day, with some areas of rain, small areas could be heavy, presently mainly in the south and central areas.

Tonight
Weather changing rapidly, hard to tell even for tonight.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 0.2 mm (0.")

Video: Rain In Corozal.

And so the rain on and off continues. The high level is now pushing down from the north, and will probably continue most of the day, with many areas of rain. on and off.

Present Condition: Cloudy skies as a tropical wave moves through. Mostly cloudy in San Pedro. Moist and relatively unstable conditions will prevail during the next 12-24 hours with the passage of a tropical wave. Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms around the country this afternoon and tonight with a gradual decrease by tomorrow.

Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated on Thursday afternoon with slightly more activity over the south Thursday night and along the coast Friday morning.





Flood Report and Forecast for today July 28, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - Levels recorded today on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast are near normal and shows a minimal increase. On the NEW RIVER below normal levels were recorded at Tower Hill and Caledonia.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is below normal and slowly increasing.

Levels on the BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and falling. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels recorded on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is below normal and falling. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is above normal and steady. River levels in watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS is below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is below normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER is below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is below normal and steady. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia is below normal and continues to fall slowly; and at Big Falls South, levels are above normal and falling. Levels on the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South is above normal and steady; and at Jordan levels is below normal and continues to fall. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is below normal and continues to fall.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - Levels on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, no significant change in river levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remail below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change in river levels is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, no significant change in river levels is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change in river levels is expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, and the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, and the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are expected to become steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, normal and steady levels are expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON JULY 30, 2021

Wednesday afternoon view from Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger



Sweet Dreams! Photo by Marlena Gomez