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Belize Weather Forecast: July 30, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Mostly cloudy in San Pedro. Conditions continue to be relatively moist over the area. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur around the country, but especially over southern districts. Winds: E, 5-15 kts Sea State: Light Chop - Choppy Waves: 2-4 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86 Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for a few showers and thunderstorms occurring over most areas of the country, decreasing during the night. Sargassum Forecast from July 28 to August 4: Satellite imagery suggests a high concentration of sargassum mats over the area therefore there is a medium to high chance that sargassum will affect local beaches in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean. Numerous moderate to strong convection continues over far SW part of the basin south of 12N between 75W-80W, including to just inland the coast of Colombia. This activity is being sustained by instability created by the eastern segment of the Pacific monsoon trough that reaches to that part of the Caribbean Sea. Additionally, low-level speed convergence found there is also contributing to the longevity of this convection. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are confined to the waters from 16N to 20N west of 82W, including the Gulf of Honduras. This activity has increased during the past few hours. Upper-level divergence east of a small upper-level low noted on water vapor to be just east of Cozumel, Mexico is helping to keep this convection active. Overnight ASCAT data passes depict fresh to strong winds north of Colombia and moderate to fresh winds across the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds are noted across the western Caribbean. Seas are in the range of 6-8 ft in the central Caribbean and around 3-5 ft elsewhere. For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean will continue through early Mon, then diminish to fresh speeds through Tue night as Atlantic high pressure weakens.   High Low Coastal 32° C 89° F 27° C 80° F Inland 34° C 93° F 24° C 75° F Hills 28° C 82° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: Low: 9:05 AM High: 2:25 PM Low: 9:00 PM High: 2:49 AM (Sat) Sunrise: 5:31 AM Moonset: 11:19 AM Sunset: 6:26 PM Moonrise: 11:16 PM Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: There are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin at this time and none are expected to develop through at least this weekend. Dry, dusty air continues to dominate the open Atlantic and no significant features support any development in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean. While the basin remains quite tranquil for now, tropical waves coming off the African coast are starting to clear away some of the dry, dusty air and provide a boost of tropical moisture to the main developmental region of the basin. This trend is expected to continue into the middle of August, with the chances for tropical development increasing as we head into the middle of August. For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Forecast models begin to see development between Africa and the Caribbean for the next few days. We are monitoring tropical waves in the Atlantic Ocean that will or is spreading squally weather across the Lesser Antille and the Cape Verde Islands.

The Caribbean winds are from the east, with some cloud. There is mid and high level cloud moving in various directions, which have been causing a fair bit of rain, but that is dying out right now.

Today
Looks as if it will be rather mixed weather, some places a little bit of rain, but mainly cloudy, with patches of sunshine, more later.

Tonight
Weather changing rapidly, hard to tell, probably a little rain in a few places.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 32°C 89°F Yesterday Rain 47 mm (1.9") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Present Condition: Cloudy skies throughout the country. Cloudy in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails over most of the country but changes are expected tonight and tomorrow.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells this afternoon with isolated showers or thunderstorms. Cloudy at times tonight with a few showers and thunderstorms mainly over the south then an increase in cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms over most areas tomorrow morning.

Outlook: Some showers and thunderstorms will continue across the country Saturday afternoon and Saturday night, gradually decreasing Sunday morning.







Tropical wave no.18 is southwest of the Yucatan Peninsula and its interaction of a height vortex will favor scattered storms across the region by this afternoon.





Flood Forecast Report for today July 30, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7-Levels recorded today on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast are near normal and decreasing. On the NEW RIVER below normal levels were recorded at Tower Hill and Caledonia.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is below normal and slowly decreasing.

Levels on the BELIZE RIVER at the Double Run is below normal and falling. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels recorded on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is above normal and rising. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is above normal and rising. River levels in watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS is below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is above normal and decreasing. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER is below normal and steady. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is below normal and falling. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia is below normal and continues to fall slowly; and at Big Falls South, levels are above normal and falling. Levels on the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South is above normal and continues to fall slowly; and at Jordan levels is normal and steady. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is above normal and increasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7-Levels on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast, no significant change in river levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, no significant change in river levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change in river levels is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, no significant change in river levels is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, above normal levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change in levels is expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, above normal levels expected; on the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, and the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, no significant change in levels are expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, above normal levels are expected. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, above normal levels are expected. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, above normal levels are expected.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels are expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON AUGUST 4, 2021

On Ambergris Caye this afternoon we have a calm sea condition around our barrier reef. Not as much rain here as the rest of the country but hopeful.

San Pedro on Friday... Photo by John Edward Eiley