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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: August 1, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout most of the country this morning, rain in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue.
Advisories: There is a flood warning in effect for the southern Toledo District due to heavy rains overnight.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times today with periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms in the south decreasing by this afternoon. Cloudy spells tonight with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the south and along the coast.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for cloudy skies at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over southern and coastal areas.
Sargassum Forecast from July 28 to August 4: Satellite imagery suggests a high concentration of sargassum mats over the area therefore there is a medium to high chance that sargassum will affect local beaches in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

Thunderstorms continue across the far SW portions of the Gulf of Honduras. Additionally, thunderstorms are noted in the SW Caribbean S of 11N between 77W and 84W. Otherwise, pressure gradient between the Azores high to the north of the area and low pressure across Colombia is leading to fresh to strong trade winds in the central Caribbean with seas 8 to 10 ft. Moderate trades are noted elsewhere with seas 3 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the Azores high extending a ridge to the northern Caribbean will continue to support fresh to strong trade winds in the central Caribbean through Mon morning. Fresh to locally strong winds can be expected across this region through the rest of the week. A tropical wave moving across the central basin will support scattered showers across the NW Caribbean through tonight.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
Low: 11:24 AM High: 6:20 PM
Low: 10:35 PM High: 4:26 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:32 AM Moonset: 12:57 PM
Sunset: 6:25 PM Moonrise: 12:31 AM (Mon)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin at this time and none are expected to develop through at least early this week. Dry, dusty air continues to dominate the open Atlantic and no significant features support any development in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean.

While the entire basin remains quite tranquil for now, tropical waves coming off the African coast are starting to clear away some of the dry, dusty air and provide a boost of tropical moisture to the main developmental region of the basin. This trend is expected to continue into the middle of August, with the chances for tropical development increasing as a result during that time.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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The Saharan Dust continues to be ejected into the Tropical Atlantic and will continue for at least the next 5-10 days. That is a very good thing as this dust creates a dry pocket of air between 5,000ft and 15,000ft which basically closes the lid and keeps Tropical Systems from developing. the last half of August and into September is when I'm looking for the dust to settle down and activity start to spin up in the Atlantic.

So for the next couple of weeks, while things are quiet, you should be making sure that your annual Hurricane Prep is done and ready to go.

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Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 14 mph creating a moderate sea condition around our barrier reef . Today's expected high temperature is set at 88f.


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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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There has been some heavy rains over southern Belize over night and presently a largish Swell up over central Belize. It looks as if there is still a lot of rain in inland central areas and probably continuing for the next few hours. Not a lot of cloud out at sea but some.

Atlantic Ocean There is no tropical storm activity for this region.

Looks as if it will be rather mixed weather, Rain, some heavy already in parts of central Belize, and on and off over much of the day. A lower chance of rain to the north.

This pattern could continue into the night, a chance of ore rain over night.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 31°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 11.1 mm (.44") Over Night Rain 6.8 mm (0.27")

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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