Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout most of the country this morning. Mostly cloudy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. There is a flood warning in effect for the southern Toledo District.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over central and southern areas today, decreasing; with isolated activity elsewhere. Then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will redevelop mostly over the south and coast tonight.
Winds: E-NE, 5-15 kts Gusty
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop around the country on Tuesday morning becoming isolated by afternoon; then activity will redevelop over the south on Tuesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from July 28 to August 4: Satellite imagery suggests a high concentration of sargassum mats over the area therefore there is a medium to high chance that sargassum will affect local beaches in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted in the SW Caribbean near the monsoon trough, S of 12N between 74W and 83W. The strongest convection is off the Colombian coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also noted in the western Gulf of Honduras. Fresh to strong trade winds are still continuing across the central Caribbean with gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. North of Colombia, seas range 8 to 10 ft with seas 3 to 6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores high combined with the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong trade winds in the south-central Caribbean through this morning with seas peaking at 10 ft. Fresh to locally strong winds will prevail the remainder of the week. A tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean will support some shower and thunderstorm activity through this morning.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin at this time and none are expected to develop through at least early this week. Dry, dusty air continues to dominate the open Atlantic and no significant features support any development in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean.

While the entire basin remains quite tranquil for now, tropical waves coming off the African coast are starting to clear away some of the dry, dusty air and provide a boost of tropical moisture to the main developmental region of the basin. This trend is expected to continue into the middle of August, with the chances for tropical development increasing as a result during that time. In fact, some computer guidance suggests a tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands will have a small chance to become better organized later this weekend or early next week.