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Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 #551880
08/02/21 06:15 AM
08/02/21 06:15 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy throughout most of the country this morning. Mostly cloudy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. There is a flood warning in effect for the southern Toledo District.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over central and southern areas today, decreasing; with isolated activity elsewhere. Then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will redevelop mostly over the south and coast tonight.
Winds: E-NE, 5-15 kts Gusty
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop around the country on Tuesday morning becoming isolated by afternoon; then activity will redevelop over the south on Tuesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from July 28 to August 4: Satellite imagery suggests a high concentration of sargassum mats over the area therefore there is a medium to high chance that sargassum will affect local beaches in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted in the SW Caribbean near the monsoon trough, S of 12N between 74W and 83W. The strongest convection is off the Colombian coast. Isolated thunderstorms are also noted in the western Gulf of Honduras. Fresh to strong trade winds are still continuing across the central Caribbean with gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. North of Colombia, seas range 8 to 10 ft with seas 3 to 6 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores high combined with the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong trade winds in the south-central Caribbean through this morning with seas peaking at 10 ft. Fresh to locally strong winds will prevail the remainder of the week. A tropical wave moving into the western Caribbean will support some shower and thunderstorm activity through this morning.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
90° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 12:27 PM High: 7:05 PM
Low: 11:30 PM High: 5:24 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 5:32 AM Moonset: 1:47 PM
Sunset: 6:25 PM Moonrise: 1:12 AM (Tue)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin at this time and none are expected to develop through at least early this week. Dry, dusty air continues to dominate the open Atlantic and no significant features support any development in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean.

While the entire basin remains quite tranquil for now, tropical waves coming off the African coast are starting to clear away some of the dry, dusty air and provide a boost of tropical moisture to the main developmental region of the basin. This trend is expected to continue into the middle of August, with the chances for tropical development increasing as a result during that time. In fact, some computer guidance suggests a tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands will have a small chance to become better organized later this weekend or early next week.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551881
08/02/21 06:16 AM
08/02/21 06:16 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Forecast models continue to insist on possible formation of a cyclone system between Africa and the Caribbean.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551883
08/02/21 06:58 AM
08/02/21 06:58 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,528
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 12 mph. creating a calm a sea condition around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 90 f.

FB_IMG_1627822250176.jpg
Last edited by elbert; 08/02/21 06:59 AM.

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551885
08/02/21 09:00 AM
08/02/21 09:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There are a couple of lines of Caribbean cloud with rain moving in from the east, aggravated by high level patches of cloud from the north. The result is many rain shower patches in many places this morning, this will probably reduce a bit during the day.

Today
Today has started off with very many rain showers in many places and is likely to continue on and off for much of the day, so there will be a mixture of rain, sunshine and cloud, changing rapidly.

Tonight
Probably continuing into the night.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25C 76F Yesterday max. 32C 89F Yesterday Rain 6.8 mm (.3") Over Night Rain 15 mm (0.6")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551887
08/02/21 09:30 AM
08/02/21 09:30 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Crown Weather:

Activity remains quiet for now across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and no tropical development is expected throughout this week.

With that said, there are rumblings in the model guidance that activity will begin to increase as soon as this weekend and next week.

My thinking ts that we will see the Atlantic Basin start ramping up in activity beginning between about August 10 and August 20 with active to very active tropical storm and hurricane activity lasting until at least September 10 to 20.

The upper level weather pattern for the mid-August to mid-September time period continues to look very ominous with guidance showing a large high pressure system from the Great Lakes into the northeastern United States. This is the type of weather pattern that leads to tropical systems to head westward and not curve out into the open Atlantic.

There are three areas Im most concerned about in terms of threat areas The first is the islands of the eastern and northeastern Caribbean; the second is the northern and eastern US Gulf Coast; the third is the entire East Coast of the United States and the Bahamas where the pattern looks favorable for a tropical system to try to run up the US East Coast.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551888
08/02/21 11:19 AM
08/02/21 11:19 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Sunshine in some areas, and rain showers continuing in many places, mostly in the south.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551889
08/02/21 12:10 PM
08/02/21 12:10 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Partly cloudy, mostly in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Relatively moist conditions prevail. There is a flood warning in effect for Southern Toledo District.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur around the country, but mostly over central and southern areas.

Outlook: For Tuesday afternoon through to midday on Wednesday is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms to occur mainly over the south. Elsewhere, showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 2, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551892
08/03/21 04:26 AM
08/03/21 04:26 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,125
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
This morning in Hopkins.... Photos by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

A beautiful evening in Placencia Village

[Linked Image]


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