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Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 #551897
08/03/21 06:01 AM
08/03/21 06:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Fairly cloudy in the south, less so in the north. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Relatively moist conditions prevail over the area.
Advisories: There is the possibility for flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas in the south, especially in southern Toledo District.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today along with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms around the country. Then, partly cloudy tonight with isolated showers and thunderstorms, mostly over the south.
Winds: E, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Generally fair weather is expected on Wednesday, and then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over the south on Wednesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from July 28 to August 4: Satellite imagery suggests a high concentration of sargassum mats over the area therefore there is a medium to high chance that sargassum will affect local beaches in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.

Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted in the SW Caribbean near the monsoon trough, S of 12N between 76W and 83W. Scattered moderate convection is also along the coast of Honduras and Nicaragua from 13N to 17N between 82W and 86W. Isolated thunderstorms are moving across the adjacent waters of Haiti, Jamaica and Cuba, N of 18N between 73W and 82W. Fresh winds are prevailing in the central Caribbean with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas range 3 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores high combined with the Colombian low will support fresh to locally strong winds over the south- central Caribbean through the remainder of the week. Gentle to moderate trades will prevail elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong E to SE winds in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and again by Fri night.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
High: 5:24 AM Low: 1:23 PM
High: 8:27 PM Low: 12:23 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:32 AM Moonset: 2:39 PM
Sunset: 6:24 PM Moonrise: 1:58 AM (Wed)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin at this time and none are expected to develop through at least the middle of the week. Dry, dusty air continues to dominate the open Atlantic, and no significant features support any development in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean.

While the entire basin remains quite tranquil for now, tropical waves coming off the African coast are starting to clear away some of the dry, dusty air and provide a boost of tropical moisture to the main developmental region of the basin. This trend is expected to continue into the middle of August, with the chances for tropical development increasing as a result during that time. There is a new tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands that will have a small chance to become better organized later in the week. Any strengthening of this tropical wave is likely to be slow as it moves north and west throughout the week.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551898
08/03/21 06:01 AM
08/03/21 06:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
The National Hurricane Center has begun monitoring an area with low pressure located over the East of the Tropical Atlantic, it is producing unorganized rain and thunderstorms, some development of this system is possible over the next few days as it moves north and then towards the northwest.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551900
08/03/21 06:49 AM
08/03/21 06:49 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,523
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 16 mph and a moderate sea state around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 88.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551901
08/03/21 08:00 AM
08/03/21 08:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
There are many patches of cloud coming in with the easterly Caribbean winds. There are a number of large ITCZ swellups over the Honduras coast that could move our way later today, but just might break up before they get to Belize. They are probably being caused by clashing with high level winds from the NE over the Caribbean.

There are again, many rain showers over parts of Belize, less than yesterday. These are likely to continue, so there can be rain in any place at any time today. So significant clouds around, but also areas of sunshine from time to time.

Probably similar for much of the night.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 15.8 mm ( .6") Over Night Rain 2 mm ( 0.1" )

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551902
08/03/21 10:03 AM
08/03/21 10:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Crown Weather...

The Rest Of This Week Looks Quiet Across The Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf Of Mexico; Tropical Development Chances Still Look To Gradually Increase This Weekend & Especially Next Week

Things continue to be quiet across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and no tropical development is expected throughout the rest of this week.

Turning towards this weekend and especially next week and beyond, it appears that activity will very likely ramp up as has been expected. Backing up this forecast are the various model guidance members, which are gradually trending towards showing development within the next week or so.

I think that we are seeing a bias in all of the model guidance in that they’ve been over forecasting eastern Pacific tropical development given that there is an intensifying La Nina now going on. What seems to be gradually happening is that all of the model guidance are slowly trending towards forecasting less Eastern Pacific activity (which would be correct) and I think that we should probably see the guidance begin to forecast tropical development in the Atlantic in some of its future forecast runs.

Right now, the eastern Tropical Atlantic is still unfavorable for any sort of development due to an abundance of dry air. This means that tropical development from the two tropical waves in the eastern Tropical Atlantic is not expected anytime soon.

Conditions may become more favorable for the tropical waves over the eastern Tropical Atlantic to develop as they near the northeastern Caribbean during the first half of next week and then possibly head for the area near the Bahamas later next week. At this point, it’s nothing to be overly concerned about, but it is something to definitely keep an eye on.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551907
08/03/21 12:08 PM
08/03/21 12:08 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly cloudy in the south, partly cloudy in the north. Mostly cloudy right now in San Pedro, will pass through pretty soon. Relatively moist conditions prevail.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy at times this afternoon and partly cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to affect some areas this afternoon then mostly the south tonight, becoming isolated tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Wednesday afternoon to Thursday midday is for mainly fair weather with only isolated showers developing.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551910
08/04/21 04:14 AM
08/04/21 04:14 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
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