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Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 #551943
08/05/21 06:10 AM
08/05/21 06:10 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy in the south, much less so in the north. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevailing, then expect an increase in moisture on Friday.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Today skies will be mostly sunny. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy. Shower activity will be generally isolated today, then tonight and tomorrow morning expect a few outbreaks of showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop along coastal and southern areas.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Friday and Friday night is for cloudy spells with a few outbreaks of showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mainly over the south and along coastal areas.
Sargassum Forecast from August 3 to August 11: Satellite and surface observations continue to show several sargassum mats just offshore and along beaches across the country. There continues to be a high chance of more sargassum beaching during the next few days. San Pedro has a moderate probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

Enhanced by divergent winds associated with an upper-level low near Jamaica at 15N768, convergent trade winds are supporting scattered showers across the western half of the basin.

The pressure gradient in the south-central Caribbean continues to support moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft in this area. Elsewhere in the basin, gentle to moderate trades and seas at 2 to 4 ft are evident.

For the forecast, fresh trade winds across the south-central Caribbean will increase slightly, pulsing to strong through Fri night near the coast of NE Colombia and NW Venezuela. Expect fresh east winds in the Gulf of Honduras from late afternoon through the nighttime hours, each day through Fri night. Fresh NE winds are expected in the Windward Passage during the evening hours this weekend. Gentle to moderate trades will prevail elsewhere.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
High: 7:18 AM Low: 2:57 PM
High: 9:25 PM Low: 1:53 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:33 AM Moonset: 4:25 PM
Sunset: 6:23 PM Moonrise: 3:40 AM (Fri)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

As of Thursday morning, EDT, there are currently no organized tropical systems found across the basin, and none are expected to develop through at least the next couple of days.

A tropical wave over the central Atlantic Ocean is showing some signs of development as a low pressure area is trying to form. Thunderstorm activity remains isolated with this, and no organized convection is with the low pressure area at this time. Wind shear is light across the central Atlantic, but dry air continues to envelop the system. As this pushes closer to the Leeward Islands over the next several days, this may become more organized and will need to be monitored for possible development.

Conditions may be a little more supportive for development over the next few days as a robust wave exits the African coast into tonight. The environment in the vicinity of the Cabo Verde Islands, particularly south of the islands, will be a little more favorable for development. Wind shear may yet be a factor, but it is possible that a tropical cyclone will take shape. However, that will depend on the magnitude of shear and where a surface low ultimately develops, assuming this takes place.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, development prospects remain severely limited by very dry air and prohibitively strong wind shear.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551944
08/05/21 06:10 AM
08/05/21 06:10 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
The Tropical Atlantic is activating, and quite a bit of cyclone activity is expected for the coming days and months. Environmental conditions are starting to turn favorable.

We are monitoring an area of thunderstorm activity from a tropical wave a couple of hundred miles southeast of the lesser antilles, tracking to the northwest at 10 mph in the general direction of the east caribbean islands. NHC-Miami continues a 20% chance of cyclone development from this tropical system in the next five days.

The weather service projects the development of a cyclone, >50% probability, from the tropical wave that has just exited the west africa coast. The next tropical cyclone names are Fred and Grace.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551946
08/05/21 07:24 AM
08/05/21 07:24 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,523
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 14 mph creating moderate sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 88f.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551948
08/05/21 08:39 AM
08/05/21 08:39 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
There has been more cloud around over night and this morning than yesterday, and some scattered showers in various places, easing up now. The Caribbean winds have some cloud in them, there is high level over the Caribbean from the NNE and some other thin high level from the NNW.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, but with significant clouds developing this morning, there could be the odd rain shower anywhere, but not much.

Could be some rain later this evening.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 76°F Yesterday max. 32°C 89°F Yesterday Rain 4.5 mm (0.2") Over Night Rain 3 mm (0.1")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551952
08/05/21 12:24 PM
08/05/21 12:24 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Partly cloudy, a few more clouds in the south. Sunny in San Pedro. A gradual increase in moisture is expected during the next 12-24 hours.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. Showers will be generally isolated with isolated thunderstorms this afternoon. Then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will start over the south and coast tonight spreading other places by tomorrow morning.

Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will linger mainly over the southern half of the country Friday afternoon and night gradually decreasing on Saturday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Tropical wave no. 21 is over the Caribbean and will arrive this weekend in the Yucantan Peninsula. Another tropical wave is coming to the Eastern Caribbean. Meanwhile, scattered storms are predicted in the region through the Mayan trough.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551953
08/05/21 01:13 PM
08/05/21 01:13 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
As you can see, there has been some significant cloud development since this morning, mainly in the south, resulting in a number of rain showers. These should be reducing this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #551955
08/06/21 04:22 AM
08/06/21 04:22 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,041
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Sundown in San Pedro. Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

A lovely Thursday in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

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