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Belize Weather Forecast: August 6, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear in the north, mostly cloudy in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail. Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas during late evenings and early mornings, especially. 24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur around the country today, decreasing over some areas by evening and then linger over the south tonight. Winds: E, 10-20 kts Sea State: Choppy Waves: 3-5 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86 Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over central and northern areas for Saturday morning, becoming isolated by afternoon; then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will redevelop over the south Saturday night. Sargassum Forecast from August 3 to August 11: Satellite and surface observations continue to show several sargassum mats just offshore and along beaches across the country. There continues to be a high chance of more sargassum beaching during the next few days. San Pedro has a moderate probability and a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganised showers. This system has a medium chance of becoming a tropical depression during the next 48 hours, as it moves generally westward over the eastern Tropical Atlantic. Click for more... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea Fresh to strong winds are noted over the south central Caribbean with moderate to fresh winds elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft range over the south central Caribbean, 5-6 ft over the north central Caribbean, and 3-4 ft elsewhere. Fresh to strong trade winds will continue across the south- central Caribbean through Sat night near the coast of NE Colombia and NW Venezuela. Expect fresh east winds in the Gulf of Honduras from late afternoon through the nighttime hours, each day through Sat night. Fresh NE winds are expected in the Windward Passage during the evening hours this weekend. Gentle to moderate trades will prevail elsewhere.   High Low Coastal 30° C 86° F 27° C 81° F Inland 32° C 90° F 24° C 75° F Hills 27° C 81° F 20° C 68° F TIDES: High: 8:08 AM Low: 3:37 PM High: 9:53 PM Low: 2:32 AM (Sat) Sunrise: 5:33 AM Moonset: 5:16 PM Sunset: 6:23 PM Moonrise: 4:35 AM (Sat) Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: There is a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over western Africa and the far eastern tropical Atlantic on this Thursday evening, associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. It has a medium (40 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a high (70 percent) chance during the next five days. Elsewhere, a tropical wave is located over the central tropical Atlantic and continues to produce some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and some slow development is possible early next week when it is expected to be near the Lesser Antilles. It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance during the next five days. For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

There is a lot of cloud patches in the easterly Caribbean winds and all sorts of high level clouds around, coming down from the north. There is an upper level gyro out over the Caribbean, causing many areas of cloud, presently mainly over Honduras, but will also be causing areas of rain over any part of Belize.

Today
Looks as if today will be rather variable, a fair bit of sunshine, but also a fair bit of cloud, some heavy areas, that can cause rain, some heavy rain patches.

Tonight
Patches or rain may well continue into the night.



Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 32°C 89°F Yesterday Rain 3 mm (0.1") Over Night Rain 12.5 mm (0.5")

Several lines of rain, some heavy have been coming in and more out in the Caribbean.

Present Condition: Partly cloudy including in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area. Operators of small crafts should exercise caution for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas, especially during late evening and early morning times.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms around the country but especially over northern areas this afternoon and over southern districts tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Saturday afternoon to Sunday midday is for generally fair weather with isolated showers except for a few more over the Toledo District Saturday night.





Stormy weekend in Mexico and Central America. More tropical waves are coming.



Flood Report and Forecast for today August 6, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - Levels recorded today on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER below normal and steady levels were recorded at Tower Hill and Caledonia.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is below normal but has increased minimally.

On the BELIZE RIVER, below normal and steady levels were recorded at Double Run. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - Levels recorded on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is near normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and has increased minimally. River levels in watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS is near normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER is above normal and increasing slowly. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is above normal and slowly increasing. The RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia is above Bank Full Stage and continues to increase slowly; and at Big Falls South, levels are above normal and increasing. At 6 am this morning levels recorded at Blue Creek South on the MOHO RIVER indicates that the Bridge is Inundated and increasing slowly; and at Jordan levels recorded are above normal and increasing. Levels recorded on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is above normal and now decreasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are above normal and decreasing.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - Levels on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, no significant change in river levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change in river levels is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, no significant change in river levels is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, no significant change in lagoon levels is expected.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, above normal and steady levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change is expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, above normal and increasing levels is expected to continue. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, levels are expected to continue to increase slowly to near Flood Stage. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia levels are expected to continue to increase slowly to near Flood Stage; and at Big Falls South, levels are expected to continue to increase near Flood stage levels. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South, levels are expected to decrease to above normal levels then increase again to near Flood Stage; and at Jordan, levels are expected to above normal levels are expected to become steady then increase again to near Flood Stage. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are expected to increase to near Flood Stage.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels are expected to increase to near Flood Stage.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON AUGUST 9, 2021