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Belize Weather Forecast: August 15, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning. Mostly clear in San Pedro. A somewhat moist environment exists over the area.
Advisories: Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activity as much as possible.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for mainly fair weather to prevail, with isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms developing.
Sargassum Forecast from August 12 to August 18: There is a high chance that additional sargassum mats will affect beaches across the country in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am Tropical Storm Grace was located near latitude 17.1N, longitude 65.4W, or about 100 miles SSE of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Remnants of Fred were located near latitude 25.3N, longitude 84.6W, or about 390 miles SSE of Pensacola, Florida. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean plus Tropical Storm Grace.

Convergent trade winds are producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms north f Colombia and Panama. Moderate with locally fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present S central and SE Caribbean, while gentle to moderate trades and seas of 3 to 4 ft prevail across the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Grace near 16.9N 64.4W 1010 mb at 5 AM EDT moving WNW at 18 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Grace will move to near 17.5N 66.6W this afternoon, inland the eastern Dominican Republic near 18.3N 68.9W late tonight with maximum sustained winds 45 gusts 55 kt, continue inland near 18.9N 70.6W Mon afternoon with maximum sustained winds 35 gusts 45 kt, inland near 19.8N 72.6W late Mon night, to near 20.9N 75.3W Tue afternoon, and to near 22.0N 78.0W late Tue night. Grace will change little in intensity as it moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico near 23.9N 82.5W late Wed night.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Rainstorm Fred remains very poorly organized and is centered over the southeast Gulf of Mexico. Fred is expected to eventually make a turn to the north this weekend, eventually making landfall Monday night in Alabama. Fred should regain wind intensity over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and should become a tropical storm once again on Monday.

Also, Tropical Storm Grace is located to the east of the Leeward Islands. Grace continues to race westward and will cross the Leeward Islands tonight, followed by Puerto Rico on Sunday and Hispaniola Monday and Monday night.

Finally, the tropical wave that is crossing the Cabo Verde is unlikely to develop into a more organized tropical system as it tracks west into the central Atlantic. Another tropical wave can emerge off the African coast later next week.