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Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 #552083
08/16/21 06:09 AM
08/16/21 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,179
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear in the north and south, a band of clouds is across the middle of the country. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, increasing over the southern districts tonight.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A tropical wave will support a few showers and isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday, mainly over the southern districts.
Sargassum Forecast from August 12 to August 18: There is a high chance that additional sargassum mats will affect beaches across the country in the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am Tropical Depression Eight was located near 31.7N latitude 62.8W longitude or about 120 miles ESE of Bermuda. Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 28.6N 85.8W, or about 90 miles SSW of Apalachiola, Florida. Tropical Depression Grace was located near latitude 17.4N 70.9W, or about 125 miles SE of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical wave in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean plus Tropical Depression Grace.

Overnight ASCAT data showed light to gentle trades west of 70W, pulsing to moderate in the Gulf of Honduras. East of 70W and outside of the wind field of Tropical Depression Grace, E to SE winds are mainly moderate. Seas are 3-5 ft east of 72W and less than 3 ft west of 72W.

For the forecast, Tropical Depression Grace near 17.4N 70.2W 1010 mb at 5 AM EDT moving W at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Grace will move to near 17.9N 72.2W this afternoon, to near 18.6N 74.8W late tonight, then strengthen to a tropical storm near 19.3N 77.4W Tue afternoon with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Grace will move to near 20.1N 80.2W late Tue night, to near 20.8N 83.3W Wed afternoon and to the Yucatan Channel late Wed night. Grace will change little in intensity as it continues west across the Gulf of Mexico.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
90° F
28° C
82° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 11:08 AM High: 5:23 PM
Low: 9:49 PM High: 3:23 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 5:35 AM Moonrise: 1:12 PM
Sunset: 6:17 PM Moonset: 12:36 AM (Tue)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Storm Fred is in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and tracking northward towards the Florida Panhandle Sunday evening. While Fred can continue to strengthen up until landfall, is seems unlikely that it will be able to reach hurricane intensity.

Bands of heavy rain will continue to impact portions of central and southern Florida into tonight with an additional 1-2 inches expected. As Fred nears the Gulf coast, rain will increase later tonight and on Monday across the Florida Panhandle, then across the interior of the Southeast on Tuesday as Fred moves inland. Localized flooding will be a concern across the Southeast as this heavy rain crosses the area. Due to the heavy rain and flooding, Fred will be a 1 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in the United States.

In the Caribbean, Tropical Depression Grace will continue to impact Puerto Rico with heavy rain and gusty winds through Sunday night and this wind and rain will spread across Hispaniola later Sunday night and Monday. The track of the storm through the Greater Antilles will determine how strong it may become. As Grace tracks through the northern Caribbean, wind gusts of 30-40 mph are expected along its path with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 60 mph. Winds of this magnitude can lead to isolated power outages, especially in areas with a fragile power grid. Grace will be a less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in the Caribbean.

Newly minted Tropical Depression 8 has developed to the east -northeast of Bermuda Sunday evening. This depression will track slowly to the south and gradually gather strength today and likely become Tropical Storm Henri later in the day on Monday. Due to the limited rain and wind, Tropical Depression E will be less than 1 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Bermuda.

Also, a tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands is tracking to the west into the central tropical Atlantic, though development is not expected. Another tropical wave can emerge off the Africa Coast later in the week.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552084
08/16/21 06:10 AM
08/16/21 06:10 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,179
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Depression Grace was located about 160 miles (260 km) east-southeast of Port Au Prince, Haiti. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A west to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).change in strength is forecast to occur during the next day or two. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so. Slow strengthening is expected to begin by Tuesday.

The track is creeping to the south, getting close to Belize. Still projected to remain a tropical storm, not a hurricane.

[Linked Image]

The environmental conditions are favorable for the formation of strong storms and possible squalls.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552085
08/16/21 06:46 AM
08/16/21 06:46 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,532
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have an overcast sky with a light breeze from the East creating calm sea conditions around our barrier reef. It's going to be a hot day with the expected high set at 90 f.

900pxThe double-crested cormorant (Phalacrocorax auritus).jpg
Last edited by elbert; 08/16/21 06:51 AM.

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https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552086
08/16/21 09:39 AM
08/16/21 09:39 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,179
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
The easterly Caribbean winds are returning, at least for the north, still a slow off shore wind over the south, but generally clear skies. No rain around, there was a little in the north. There is a large active ITCZ area to the east of Honduras at present, which might have some affect on our weather in a few days time.

Today
Today will be mainly sunny, there are presently, very few clouds around, some clouds are starting to develop, mainly in the north, but more will develop over much of the country, but no indication of any rain.

Tonight
Probably some cloud, and probably no rain.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 35°C 94°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552087
08/16/21 10:41 AM
08/16/21 10:41 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,179
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552090
08/16/21 12:16 PM
08/16/21 12:16 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,179
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
As the clouds have been developing, they have been causing small areas of rain showers. These might continue into the afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Scattered clouds, more so in the north. Mostly clear and sunny in San Pedro. Fair and warm weather prevailing.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny skies during the daytime and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated, with isolated thunderstorms developing over inland areas this afternoon and evening and over the south tomorrow morning.

Outlook: (Tuesday afternoon - midday Wednesday) Cloudy spells with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

The National Hurricane Center (NHC), in its latest update indicates that Grace will arrive northeast of the Yucatan Peninsula as a tropical storm by Thursday morning. The track continues to slide slowly to the south, it is still expected to be a tropical storm, not a hurricane.

[Linked Image]

Tropical wave 25 and Grace are approaching in the Caribbean.

[Linked Image]

Flood Report and Forecast for today August 16, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - Levels recorded today on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the Coast are normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER levels are normal and falling at Tower Hill and Caledonia.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remains below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. Levels on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is below normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER, below normal and steady levels were recorded at Double Run. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON remains below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11- Levels recorded on the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. River levels in watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS is below normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER is above normal and decreasing slowly. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is below normal and falling slowly. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia, levels are normal and steady; and at Big Falls South, levels are above normal and falling slowly. On the MOHO RIVER, levels at Blue Creek South are normal and falling slowly; and at Jordan, levels are above normal and slowly falling. Levels recorded on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco is above normal and falling slowly.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are above normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, San Antonio, San Roman, Santa Cruz and Douglas to the Coast, no significant change in river levels is expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, no significant change in river levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change in river levels is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal and steady levels is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, no significant change in lagoon levels is expected.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change is expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, no significant change is expected. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, above normal levels expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, normal levels is expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and at Big Falls South, above normal levels are expected. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, normal and increasing levels is expected. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, above normal levels is expected.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels is expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON AUGUST 18, 2021

Today in Hopkins....


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552094
08/17/21 04:17 AM
08/17/21 04:17 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,179
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

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Marty  Online Happy OP
Lovely Monday evening in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]


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