Belize Weather Forecast: August 28, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy in the south, much more clear in the north. Partly cloudy in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms especially over inland areas this afternoon, then increasing along the coast and over the south tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect mainly the northern districts Sunday morning, then inland areas in the afternoon. Showers will becomne isolated Sunday night.
Sargassum Forecast from August 24 to September 1: There continues to be a medium chance of additional sargassum mats landing on beaches mainly in the northern parts of the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am Hurricane Ida was centered near 24.4N 85.7W or about 385 miles SSE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River. An area of low pressure over the Central Atlantic has a medium chance of development during the next 48 hours. Tropical Depression Ten was located near 14.0N 49.9w or about 820 miles ESE of the Leeward Islands. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

Convergent fresh to strong SE to S winds feeding toward Hurricane Ida over the SE Gulf of Mexico are triggering scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across W Cuba. Seas across the N central and NW Caribbean Basin are in the range of 7 to 10 ft, including the Yucatan Channel. Please see the Special Features section above for more information on Ida.

Outside of the influence of Ida, dry conditions along with gentle to moderate trades and seas at 4 to 5 ft prevail across much of the basin. The exception is light to gentle winds and seas at 2 to 3 ft along the W edge of the basin.

For the forecast, Weather conditions in the NW Caribbean associated with Ida will dissipate today. Moderate to fresh winds are expected elsewhere through the forecast period, except for locally strong winds in the south-central Caribbean through the weekend. Otherwise, fresh to strong winds will pulse at night in the Gulf of Honduras Sun to Tue.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Hurricane Ida is now in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Ida will continue to intensify over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico and a period of rapid intensification will likely commence sometime Saturday into early Sunday. As such, Ida will become a major hurricane before making landfall along the coast of Louisiana later Sunday. Flooding rain and damaging winds will impact Cuba through Friday night. Flooding rainfall, damaging winds and a significant storm surge will target the central Gulf coast Sunday into Monday. All residents and interests from Louisiana through Alabama should be prepared for potentially significant effects from Ida, including prolonged power outages, destructive winds and major life-threatening flooding. Due to these expected impacts, Ida is a 4 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes for the United States.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression 10 has formed well east of the Leeward Islands. T.D. 10 is expected to drift northward over the next few days and not impact land. If T.D. 10 becomes a tropical storm, it will take the name of Julian.

Finally, we are also keeping an eye on low pressure a few hundred miles east of Bermuda that may develop over the next few days. There is also a tropical wave emerging off the western coast of Africa by the middle of next week that may develop and organize further.