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Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021 #552493
09/05/21 06:03 AM
09/05/21 06:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,048
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP

Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy and rainy this morning, including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts should exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. A strong thunderstorms watch is in effect for the possibility that thunderstorms could be accompanied by heavy rainfall and strong damgaing winds. A flood warning is in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with a few showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain at first, then decreasing and becoming isolated by this evening. A few showers and thunderstorms will develop along the coast tonight.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy - Rough
Waves: 3-6 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for a few showers and thunderstorms mainly over the southern districts.
Sargassum Forecast from August 31 to September 8: Satellite imagery show a few sargassum mats offshore and therefore there continues to be medium chance of new mats landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am Hurricane Larry was centered near Lat 18.8N and Long 49.0W or about 925 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. A weak surface trough over portions of the western Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico have a low chance of developing over the next few days. Regardless of development locally heavy rains are possible over the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America thru Sunday. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

An upper level trough N of the area is inducing scattered moderate convection N of 19N between 75W and 83W, mainly between Jamaica, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. Otherwise, significant convection is not occurring in the basin. Moderate to fresh E winds are ongoing over most of the central and eastern Caribbean as well as in the Gulf of Honduras, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, Major Hurricane Larry will remain well N and E of the area, then move N and away from the area by midweek. Associated rough seas are entering the region this morning, and will reach the Leeward Islands and Atlantic entrances by early Mon, then subside mid week. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate trade winds will persist, pulsing to fresh winds off Colombia mainly at night.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
268° C
79° F
Inland 33° C
91° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
High: 8:38 AM Low: 3:39 PM
High: 9:44 PM Low: 3:02 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:39 AM Moonset: 5:28 PM
Sunset: 6:02 PM Moonrise: 5:14 AM (Mon)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552494
09/05/21 06:04 AM
09/05/21 06:04 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,048
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula are associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance. Locally heavy rains are likely to continue today over that area. The system is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later today, then move slowly northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation, but some slow development is possible while the system moves across the Gulf of Mexico through the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[Linked Image]

Hurricane Larry (125 mph) is intensifying and tracking to the northwest in the general direction of Bermuda at 14 mph.

91L, a low-pressure area, tracking northwest at 12 mph is spreading widespread tropical squalls across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico + Guatemala + ElSalvador + Belize. Squally weather will continue this weekend, September 4-5, 2021. The northern Gulf of Mexico is urged to monitor Invest 91L as a 30% chance of cyclone formation exists in the next five days.

We are monitoring an undesignated tropical wave near Aruba + Curacao + Bonarie, causing tropical showers September 4-5, 2021. This wave will continue to travel west at 9 mph towards Honduras + Nicaragua causing a good chance of squally weather September 5-6, 2021.

[Linked Image]


At 500 PM AST, the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 47.1 West. Larry is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A somewhat slower west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, followed by some intensity fluctuations. Larry is expected to remain at major hurricane strength through the early part of next week.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552495
09/05/21 07:50 AM
09/05/21 07:50 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,523
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain and more rain with gray skies and a wind from the East at 14 mph.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552496
09/05/21 09:23 AM
09/05/21 09:23 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,048
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
That was a massive ITCZ swellup and front, with so much heavy rain that moved up over Belize over night. There is still a lot of high level cloud around, from this high level, humid air bubble that has been in our area for several days now. At this present time, it looks as if most of it has move north, away from us, but this rain was the result of a massive ITCZ swellup and so it is always possible for another swellup tonight.

Looks as if today will start off with a lot of high level cloud, perhaps only a little bit of low normal Caribbean cloud, and be a relatively dry day, perhaps a few isolated rain showers.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 30°C 86°F Yesterday Rain 30 mm (1.2") Over Night Rain 87 mm (3.4")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552497
09/05/21 11:59 AM
09/05/21 11:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,048
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
Despite the cloud cover and cloud activity, there is no rain showing on the radar over Belize at present. But that could change this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Partly cloudy, cloudy in San Pedro. Mellowing out as the front has moved to the north. A relatively moist easterly airflow prevailing. A flood warning is in effect for low-lying and flood prone areas.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies today with a few sunny breaks. A few showers or thunderstorms will develop mainly along central and northern coastal areas, this afternoon and evening. Tonight skies wil be cloudy at times with a few showers and thunderstroms developing mainly over the south and along central coastal areas.

Outlook: For Monday afternoon thru to Tuesday afternoon is for cloudy spells with a few showers or thunderstorms developing mainly over the south.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

A zone of instability in interaction with vortex in height will continue to generate rain in the peninsula. Tropical wave is approaching from the central Caribbean.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552498
09/06/21 04:15 AM
09/06/21 04:15 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,048
oregon, spr
Marty Online happy OP

Marty  Online Happy OP
Sunday's sunrise in Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]

Sunday in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

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