Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021

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#552607 09/10/21 06:06 AM

Joined: Oct 1999

Posts: 84,395

oregon, spr

Marty

Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy and rainy throughout the country as a front moves through. Clouds with rain in San Pedro. A tropical wave is affecting the country and will keep our weather moist and unstable for the next 24 to 36hrs.
Advisories: A small craft caution is in effect for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. There is the possibility for flooding to occur over low-lying and flood prone areas, as heavy rainfall is expected over the next 24 to 48 hours.
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy skies today with a few outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over most areas. Tonight and tomorrow morning skies will be cloudy to overcast with some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over most areas.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy - Moderate
Waves: 3-6 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for partly cloudy skies with a few showers and thunderstorms on Saturday morning then gradually decreasing.
Sargassum Forecast from September 7 to September 15: There is a low to medium chance of new sargassum mats landing on local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 9:00pm last night, Hurricane Larry was centered near Lat 35.5N and Long 62.3W or about 265miles NNE of Bermuda. Post-Tropical Cyclone Mindy was located near latitude 32.5N and longitude 75.0W, or about 285 miles East of Charleston, South Carolina. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.

Outside of the convection associated with the tropical wave near the Gulf of Honduras, most of the Caribbean Sea is dominated by dry weather conditions. Scattered thunderstorms are noted in the SW Caribbean near the monsoon trough, S of 12N between 77W and 83W. Overnight scatterometer satellite pass depict strong to locally near gale- force trades in the south- central Caribbean, especially within 150 nm of the NW coast of Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades are found in the north- central Caribbean, E Caribbean and NW Caribbean, while gentle to moderate trades are noted in the SW Caribbean. Seas of 6-9 ft are prevalent in the south-central Caribbean and 3-6 ft elsewhere in the basin.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will build westward across the Caribbean Sea bringing an increase in the trade wind flow through the weekend. Fresh to strong winds will occur offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, mainly at night through Sat night. Fresh to strong winds are also likely in the late evening in the Gulf of Honduras Friday and Saturday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue across the NW Caribbean today and reduce in coverage by Sat.

	High	Low
Coastal	29° C 84° F	26° C 78° F
Inland	31° C 88° F	22° C 72° F
Hills	26° C 78° F	19° C 66° F

TIDES:
Low: 6:12 AM	High: 12:29 PM
Low: 6:08 PM	High: 12:24 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM	Moonrise: 9:03 AM
Sunset: 5:58 PM	Moonset: 8:55 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552608 09/10/21 06:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Honduras, the western Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Yucatan peninsula. This system is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche and merge with a pre-existing surface trough located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form Sunday or Monday before the system moves onshore along the western Gulf of Mexico coast. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of Central America through Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552610 09/10/21 08:02 AM
Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 13,675 San Pedro Belize elbert
elbert	On Ambergris Caye this morning we have gray skies after a night of rain. The sea state around our barrier reef is moderate. Today's expected high temperature is a cool 84f. White Sands Dive Shop https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552611 09/10/21 09:33 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	There has been a huge area of ITCZ swellups all over the eastern Yucatan and Caribbean, causing a lot of rain all over the area. There are still a few small swellups over northern Belize, but he rain has been moving up northwards. Looks as if most of Belize will be very cloudy today, low level and high level cloud, most of the rain having eased up, except in the north which will continue with rain for the next few hours, could be isolated rain showers elsewhere at any time. Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 33°C 95°F Yesterday Rain 2.4 mm (0.1") Over Night Rain 15 mm (0.6")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552617 09/10/21 12:11 PM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	A lot of rain still around under continuing swellups over much of the north of Belize, and a few isolated showers in other places. So relatively thin high level cloud over the rest of Belize, but there is also another high level cloud moving up from the south aggravating the weather at present. Present Condition: Cloudy and plenty of rain as the tropical front moves through the country, especially in the north. Extensive cloud cover and heavy rain in San Pedro. A tropical wave is moving over the area and will keep our weather moist and unstable for the next 24 to 36hrs. A small craft caution is in effect for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. There is the possibility for flooding to occur over low-lying and flood prone areas, as heavy rainfall is expected over the next 24 to 48 hours. 24hr Forecast: Mostly cloudy to overcast skies. A few showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of light rain will occur around the country but especially over central and coastal areas this afternoon, increasing tonight. Activity will then linger over northern and central areas by morning and gradually decrease after. Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms will be generally isolated on Saturday afternoon. Then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop mostly over central areas during Saturday night; with activity becoming isolated on Sunday. Zone of instability crossing north of Central America and arriving east of the Peninsula. Interact with troughs at low and high levels over the Gulf of Mexico.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552618 09/11/21 04:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Massive rains move up from the south about 6pm Friday..

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552619 09/11/21 04:25 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Happy 10th September from Hopkins Village. Happy 10th September to all Belizeans! Photos by Hopkins Uncut Beautiful 10th September night at Seiri del Mar

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2021 Marty #552621 09/11/21 04:36 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Inclement weather caused by Tropical Wave. Rain currently affecting most areas of the country with heavier amounts and thunderstorms near the Belize district due to a very active tropical wave. Remainders: FLOOD WATCH FOR LOW-LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS OVER THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. SMALL CRAFT CAUTION FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.