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Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 #552625
09/11/21 06:13 AM
09/11/21 06:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,074
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy and rainy throughout the country, especially in the north, as a tropical front moves through. Clouds with rain in San Pedro. Improving conditions setting in during today.
Advisories: A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. There is the possibility for flooding to occur over low-lying and flood prone areas, as heavy rainfall is expected over the next 12-18 hours.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times today and partly cloudy tonight. Generally isolated showers, isolated thunderstorms or periods of light rain lingering mostly over the north and inland this morning. Then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over the south for tonight; with otherwise isolated activity.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate
Waves: 4-6 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Mainly fair conditions with only isolated showers expected for Sunday along with isolated thunderstorms over the south Sunday night.
Sargassum Forecast from September 7 to September 15: There is a low to medium chance of new sargassum mats landing on local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am The northern part of a tropical wave is interacting with a surface trough over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system has a medium chance of becoming a tropical depression by Sunday or Monday. Regardless of development this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula through Saturday. A strong tropical wave just off the west coast of Africa is expected to move west-northwestward, and has a medium chance for further development during the next 48 hours. Hurricane Larry was centered near Lat 50.7N Lon 51.7W, or about 285 miles NNE of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted along the monsoon trough and tropical wave in the SW Caribbean S of 14N between 75W and 83W. Elsewhere, a complex of thunderstorms are moving near the Cayman Islands. Isolated thunderstorms continue to move across the waters near Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Overnight scatterometer data depicted a large area of strong to locally near gale- force trades in the south-central Caribbean, especially within 190 nm of the NW coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas in the area are 6-9 ft. Moderate to fresh trades are noted in the north- central and E Caribbean and the Bay of Honduras with seas of 4-6 ft. Gentle to moderate trades and seas of 2-4 ft are found elsewhere in the basin.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will continue to build westward across the Caribbean, bringing an increase in the trade wind flow this weekend. Fresh to strong winds will occur offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, mainly at night through Sun. Fresh to strong winds are also likely in the late evening in the Gulf of Honduras through Sun. Scattered showers and thunderstorms across the NW Caribbean are expected to reduce in coverage later today.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 33° C
91° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 7:10 AM High: 1:22 PM
Low: 6:41 PM High: 1:06 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM Moonrise: 10:03 AM
Sunset: 5:57 PM Moonset: 9:41 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552626
09/11/21 06:13 AM
09/11/21 06:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,074
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America, southeastern Mexico, and the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. Upper-level winds over the western Gulf of Mexico are expected to become more conducive for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while the system moves northwestward and then northward near the coast of northeastern Mexico. Further development of this system will be possible through the middle of next week if it remains over water, and interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system.

Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rain across portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula today, which may lead to flash flooding and mudslides. By late this weekend, heavy rain will likely reach portions of the western Gulf coast, including coastal Texas and Louisiana through the middle of next week. Localized significant rainfall amounts will be possible, resulting in limited flash and urban flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552629
09/11/21 09:46 AM
09/11/21 09:46 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,525
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the East at 23 mph. The rain guage is showing 2 inches from last night alone. The sea conditions are rough around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is 87f.

IMG_20210911_093615.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552630
09/11/21 10:02 AM
09/11/21 10:02 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,074
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
There is a massive amount of warmer, mid level cloud coming up from the south, pushed that rain right up over Belize during the night, and now pushing up into the Gulf. It is deflecting the Caribbean air upwards, meanwhile low level air is moving down the Gulf around the Mexican coast, and swirling round.

Looks as if much of today will be rather cloudy, occasional sun might be seen, and the occasional chance of some rain showers.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 75°F Yesterday max. 30°C 86°F Yesterday Rain 15 mm (0.6") Over Night Rain 5.8 mm (0.2")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552632
09/11/21 11:34 AM
09/11/21 11:34 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,074
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Still mostly cloudy, less rain. clearing up a bit as the front has moved north and west....

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552633
09/11/21 12:06 PM
09/11/21 12:06 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,074
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Still mostly cloudy, not as rainy as earlier in the day as the tropical front is moving to the north and west. Drier and gusty airflow prevailing over area. A small craft caution is in effect for occasional gusty winds and locally rough seas.

24hr Forecast: Sunny or partly cloudy with only isolated showers or thunderstorms developing, except for a few more over southern districts tonight.

Outlook: (Sunday afternoon - midday Monday) Mainly fair with only isolated showers.

Torrential rainfall has been recorded in the 3 Mexican states of the Yucatán Peninsula
Mune: 5 inches
Campeche: 6.5 inches
Chetumal: 4.25 inches

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Low pressure with cyclonic potential, tropical wave 31 and high trough is observed.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 11, 2021 [Re: Marty] #552634
09/12/21 04:26 AM
09/12/21 04:26 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 81,074
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
A windy one! At Escape Away Belize on Ambergris Caye.



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