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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 12, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, including in San Pedro. Gusty and dry airflow over area, mainly dry conditions will prevail.
Advisories: A Small Craft Warning is in effect for strong, gusty winds. Small crafts should seek safe harbor.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Winds: E-SE, 15-25 kts Gusty
Sea State: Rough
Waves: 6-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: (Monday & Monday night) Continuing mainly fair weather.
Sargassum Forecast from September 7 to September 15: There is a low to medium chance of new sargassum mats landing on local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A tropical wave is interacting with a surface trough over the southern Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression on Sunday or Monday as it moves northwestward. A tropical wave just southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands has a medium chance for further development during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.

Scattered moderate convection is moving across the Greater Antilles N of 17N between 66W and 84W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted in the SW Caribbean near the monsoon trough, S of 13N between 74W and 84W. Fresh to strong trade winds are continuing north of Colombia and the Gulf of Honduras, with moderate to locally fresh winds across the rest of the Caribbean. Seas of 5-8 ft are present in the central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras and 2-5 ft are prevalent elsewhere.

For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds occurring offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela will diminish today. The fresh to strong winds in the Gulf of Honduras will pulse again this evening. By tonight and into Mon morning, moderate to locally fresh trades will prevail across the basin through Thu.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
24° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
Low: 8:18 AM High: 2:23 PM
Low: 7:19 PM High: 1:55 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM Moonrise: 11:06 AM
Sunset: 5:56 PM Moonset: 10:32 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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It's an active Atlantic basin on this Sunday morning. Here's what is being watched at the National Hurricane Center:

1) A tropical wave and an upper-level trough continue to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of southeastern Mexico and the southern and central Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are gradually becoming more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while the disturbance moves northwestward and then northward near the coast of northeastern Mexico. Additional development will be possible through the middle of next week if the system remains over water, and interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. It has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and five days. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow, if necessary.

Regardless of development, this disturbance will continue to produce heavy rain across portions of southern Mexico, including the western Yucatan Peninsula, through tonight which may lead to flash flooding and mudslides. By late Sunday, heavy rain is expected to reach portions of the Texas and Louisiana coasts with a heavy rain threat then continuing across those coasts through the middle of next week. Localized significant rainfall amounts are possible, potentially resulting in areas of flash, urban, and isolated river flooding.

2) A tropical wave is located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are currently conducive for development and a tropical depression could still form this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward over the far eastern Atlantic. By the middle of next week, stronger upper-level winds and marginally warm ocean temperatures are expected to limit additional development. Regardless of development, this disturbance is likely to bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain across the Cabo Verde Islands tonight. It has a medium (50 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and five days.

3) A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far northeastern Atlantic several hundred miles northeast of the Azores. This system is forecast to move south-southeastward towards warmer waters, which could allow the low to gradually acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics by the middle of next week. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance during the next five days.

4) Another tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could from by the middle of next week while it moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a medium (40 percent) chance during the next five days.

5) An area of low pressure is expected to form near the southeastern Bahamas in a few days resulting from moisture by a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves northwestward across the western Atlantic. It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (30 percent) chance during the next five days.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 24 mph wind from the East creating hazardous sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 87f.


White Sands Dive Shop
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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There is a lot of ITCZ activity in the whole area, over western Central America and the Gulf, in fact there is so much activity in the Gulf, that it could develop into a tropical storm, I think, but not effecting us, except it is taking the high clouds away from us, just sone thin high level clouds today.

Looks as if today will be dry, but partly hazy sunshine with the high level clouds, no rain on the radar.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 27°C 80°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 5.8 mm (0.2") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Scattered clouds, more so in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails. A Small Craft Warning is in effect for strong gusty winds and rough seas. Small crafts should seek safe harbor.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny this afternoon and tomorrow morning and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms (over the south) will be isolated.

Outlook: Between Monday afternoon and Tuesday midday is for fair weather to continue with only isolated showers.

[Linked Image]

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Tropical storm Nicholas over the Gulf of Mexico. It will move north, moving away from the Yucatan peninsula. New tropical wave is coming through the Caribbean.

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Pretty morning visitor at the camp. Photos by San Pedro Scoop

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Today in Hopkins.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Sunday chill at Driftwood Beach Bar in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

Sunday night wave watching in Hopkins Village.

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