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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 13, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear this morning, a few clouds in the deep south and northwest. Mostly clear skies in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.
Advisories: A small craft caution is in effect for occasionally gusty winds and locally rough seas.
24-hour forecast: Sunny today and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers will be isolated, except for a few more over the toledo district this morning.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for similar weather conditions to prevail.
Sargassum Forecast from September 7 to September 15: There is a low to medium chance of new sargassum mats landing on local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 9:00 pm last night Tropical Storm Nicholas was located near 22.5N 95.5W or about 170 miles ESE OF La Pesca Mexico. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.

Satellite derived wind data show mainly fresh trades near the tropical wave located along 71W/72W, and fresh to locally strong winds in the Windward passage. Elsewhere, mainly gentle to moderate winds are observed. Seas are generally 3-5 ft, except 4-6 ft in the Windward passage, and 6-8 ft in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to locally strong easterly winds are blowing.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades will prevail across the basin through the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds are expected again in the Gulf of Honduras at night Wed through Fri.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 9:53 AM High: 3:43 PM
Low: 8:10 PM High: 2:54 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM Moonrise: 12:09 PM
Sunset: 5:55 PM Moonset: 11:28 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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...NICHOLAS FORECAST TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND GUSTY WINDS LATER TODAY...

At 4 a.m. CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Nicholas was located over the western Gulf of Mexico about 45 miles (75 km) southeast of the mouth of the Rio Grande River and about 200 miles (325 km) south of Port O'Connor, Texas. Nicholas is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). The storm should turn northward later today and north-northeastward on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Nicholas will pass near or just offshore the coasts of northeastern Mexico and south Texas this morning, and move onshore along the coast of south or central Texas Monday afternoon or evening.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). Strengthening is forecast for today, and Nicholas could reach the northwest Gulf coast as a hurricane. Weakening is anticipated on Tuesday and Wednesday over land.

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For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

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Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 16 mph wind from the East. Today's expected high temperature is set at 89 f.

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White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
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Marty Offline OP
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All that heavy cloud that cause us rain a few days, that moved into the Gulf, is now moving northwards, towards Texas and due to its north movement, the Coriolis effect has kicked in and started it to rotate, and now called TS NICHOLAS.

One result of it is taking the moisture away from our area, and also associated if high speed high level cloud from the NNE


Looks as today will have a fair bit of sunshine, but also some high and low cloud, probably no rain.

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Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear skies, a few clouds along the western border. Sunny in San Pedro. Mainly fair weather prevailing.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny skies today an partly cloudy skies tonight. Shower activity will be isolated except for the south were a few late night or early morning showers or thunderstorms can be expected.

Outlook: For Tuesday afternoon thru to Wednesday afternoon is for similar weather conditions to prevail.

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It's a hot beautiful day! Photo by San Pedro Scoop

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Anticyclonic circulation will favor mostly stable time in the peninsula although some isolated rains are not ruled out. "Nicholas" is headed to Texas.

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Flood Report and Forecast for September 13, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - Above normal and falling Levels was recorded today on the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North to downstream to the Coast. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels recorded are above normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remains below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. A minimal increase in river levels was recorded on the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town.

The BELIZE RIVER at Double Run is near normal and falling. Increasing levels continues on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - The SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is above normal and falling. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is normal and steady. Levels on the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS is normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is above normal and falling. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are above normal and decreasing slowly. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, levels are above normal and falling. Above normal levels were recorded on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, is near normal and falling. Increasing levels were recorded on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are above normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, normal and steady levels is expected. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill and Caledonia, near normal levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are expected to fall to near normal levels.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, normal and steady levels are expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are expected to become steady. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change is expected. In the watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, normal and steady levels are expected to continue. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are expected to continue to decrease. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to continue to decrease. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, levels are expected to continue to decrease. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, above normal levels are expected to continue. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South, levels are expected to continue to decrease; and at Jordan, levels are expected to become steady. A minimal increase in river levels is expected on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels are expected to continue.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON SEPTEMBER 15, 2021

...NICHOLAS MOVING ERRATICALLY NORTHWARD JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHERN COAST OF TEXAS... ...FLASH FLOODING, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND MIDDLE TEXAS COASTS TODAY...

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in southern Texas through the next few hours. These conditions will spread northward within the warning area through tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area as early as this afternoon or this evening.

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
Marty Offline OP
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Love and sunshine from beautiful Hopkins Village. Photos by Hopkins Uncut

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Today's sunset on the beach in Hopkins.

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Musical interlude. Los Hijos del West performed at the Benque mural unveiling today.



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