Sunny skies throughout the country, including San Pedro. Mainly fair conditions prevail.24hr Forecast:
Mostly sunny today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated along with chance isolated thunderstorms over the mountains this afternoon and over the Toledo district tonight.Outlook:
Mainly fair conditions to continue Friday afternoon through midday Saturday. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated with the chance for slightly more activity over the south.
=============Crown Weather: Western Caribbean Tropical Development Remains Possible Beginning Late Next Week
The model guidance support for tropical development in the western Caribbean has increased since yesterday with the European ensemble model guidance now showing a signal for tropical development in the western Caribbean late next week. Beyond this, the European ensemble guidance shows any tropical system to head for the eastern Gulf of Mexico and potential towards either the Panhandle of Florida or the west coast of Florida.
The GFS ensemble model guidance continues to insist that the western Caribbean is going to be a spot that really needs to be watched starting later next week with an eventual track towards the west coast of Florida or the Florida Panhandle as soon as next weekend.
Here Are My Thoughts: Overall, I have no changes to my thinking in regards to possible tropical development beginning late next week and continuing through the week of October 11.
It still looks like we will see an upward motion pulse of the Madden Julian Oscillation push into the Atlantic Basin late next week. This should make the conditions much more conducive for tropical development by that time. The weather pattern also looks like it could be favorable for development during the first half of October with a large high pressure ridge over the northern US and lowering barometric pressures over the Caribbean. Finally, the Caribbean is often a hot spot for tropical development in October and November during La Nina years.
Given the preponderance of evidence presented, I still think that there is definitely a chance that we will see some sort of tropical development in the western Caribbean beginning late next week and continuing through the week of October 11.
With that said, this is still something that’s possible and for now, it’s just something to keep an eye on and nothing to worry about.
360 Degree Sunrise from Finca Solana, Corozal. (Click link for an 360 degree virtual aerial tour of our sunrise this
morning at Finca Solana)https://roundme.com/tour/763164/view/2405400/