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Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 #553073
10/03/21 06:03 AM
10/03/21 06:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,267
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies this morning, a few scattered clouds, expecially in the Chiquibul area. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except for a possible few more along the coast and over the north this morning.
Winds: E-NE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for a similar trend.
Sargassum Forecast from September 28 to October 6: There is a medium chance of sargassum affecting beaches, especially over northern Belize, during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am, Tropical Depression Victor was located near latitude 16.1N, longitude 39.9W, or about 1055 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. - At 3:00am, Hurricane Sam was centered near latitude 37.3N, longitude 55.9W, or about 665 miles SSW of Cape Race Newfoundland. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical wave in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

An upper-level trough extends from the NW Bahamas to central Cuba to Nicaragua. Showers and tstorms are being enhanced along and to the east of the upper-level trough axis. Scattered moderate and isolated strong thunderstorms cover the north-central Caribbean, north of 15.5N between 69W-81W. Strong convection is seen in the south-central to SW Caribbean south of 13N between 70W-80W. Overnight ASCAT data show fresh trades in the eastern and central Caribbean, mainly south of 17.5N and east of 77W, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate trades prevail across most other areas, where seas are 2 to 4 ft. NOAA buoy 42060, located near 16.4N 63.3W has recently reported 19 kt winds and 6 ft seas. Earlier altimeter data from Saturday afternoon showed seas of about 5 feet from 14N- 17N between 67W-69W.

High pressure along the mid Atlc coast along 34N will produce fresh tradewinds from the central Caribbean to the tropical N Atlantic today and persist across the Caribbean through Tue. Winds and seas will become fresh to strong across the central Caribbean Mon and Tue as the high pressure moves slowly eastward. Moderate N to NE swell will affect the tropical Atlc waters through Tue.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 7:26 AM Low: 2:25 PM
High: 8:30 PM Low: 2:05 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonset: 4:02 PM
Sunset: 5:39 PM Moonrise: 3:56 AM (Mon)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553074
10/03/21 06:03 AM
10/03/21 06:03 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,267
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
...VICTOR REMAINS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY MONDAY...

At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Depression Victor was located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean about 1055 miles (1700 km) west of the Cabo Verde Islands. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). Some fluctuations in intensity could occur today. However, gradual weakening is forecast to begin by tonight and continue during the next few days, with Victor becoming a remnant low during that time. The system is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday.

[Linked Image]

...SAM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC... EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGE AND POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON MONDAY...

At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Hurricane Sam was located over the Atlantic Ocean about 665 miles (1070 km) south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Sam is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). This general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, Sam will move over the far North Atlantic well to southeast and east of Newfoundland. Maximum sustained winds decreased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts - a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). Further weakening is forecast to occur during the next few days, and Sam is expected transition into a powerful post-tropical cyclone on Monday.

[Linked Image]

A surface trough located about 100 miles east of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area of cloudiness and shower activity along and to the east of the trough axis. Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for slow development of this system while it moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph through Monday, followed by a slow northwestward motion through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553075
10/03/21 06:45 AM
10/03/21 06:45 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,287
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a calm sea condition around our barrier reef from an East 10 mph wind. Today's expected high temperature is 88f.

FB_IMG_1630586996274.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553076
10/03/21 11:06 AM
10/03/21 11:06 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,267
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The easterly Caribbean winds have losts of small clouds in it. These are causing many small rain showers. The high level is from the north and sometimes causing clashing.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, but with many cloud patches and the chance of the odd rain shower.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 4 mm (0.2")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553078
10/03/21 12:08 PM
10/03/21 12:08 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,267
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Scattered clouds, mostly sunny in San Pedro. A light easterly airflow dominates our weather.

24hr Forecast: Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms will be generally isolated, then expect a few more along the coast tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: (For Monday afternoon thru to Tuesday afternoon) Is for partly cloudy skies along with afternoon inland thunderstorms. Then expect a few coastal showers and isolated thunderstorms during the night and morning.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Good Morning, today's sunrise in SanPedro. Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553080
10/03/21 04:15 PM
10/03/21 04:15 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,267
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Rain in many places for much of this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 3, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553081
10/04/21 04:15 AM
10/04/21 04:15 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,267
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Happy Sunday from Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]

A quiet Sunday in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]



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