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Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 #553115
10/05/21 06:12 AM
10/05/21 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,441
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Mostly clear in San Pedro. A light northeasterly airflow prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. Showers will be generally isolated along with isolated thunderstorms, and a few more over the south tonight.
Winds: Light + Variable
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing mostly over the south at first on Wednesday. Activity will later increase and affect most places by Wednesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from September 28 to October 6: There is a medium chance of sargassum affecting beaches, especially over northern Belize, during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical wave in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

An upper level trough extends from the western Atlantic near 31N75W SSW across the central Bahamas and western Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras. This is promoting unstable conditions and supporting convection described above associated with the tropical wave. Isolated moderate convection is seen south of 11N between the coast of Colombia and southeast Nicaragua.

Fresh to strong trade winds prevail across most of the central Caribbean and extend northeastward through the Anegada Passage. Seas range from 7 feet to 10 feet, as the gradient tightens between the Bermuda high and the east Pacific Ocean monsoon trough. Moderate trade winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft prevail west of the tropical wave.

High pressure just E of Bermuda will gradually slide eastward through the middle of the week. This pattern will produce fresh to strong trade winds across the NE and central Caribbean through Tue night. Fresh to strong trade winds will then persist across the central Caribbean through Thu. Moderate N to NE swell from Sam will affect the tropical Atlc waters through Wed night. Winds and seas will diminish significantly by Fri.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
22° C
71° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
67° F
TIDES:
High: 9:10 AM Low: 3:25 PM
High: 9:27 PM Low: 3:36 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonset: 5:24 PM
Sunset: 5:37 PM Moonrise: 5:51 AM (Wed)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553116
10/05/21 06:12 AM
10/05/21 06:12 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,441
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
...SAM TRANSITIONS TO A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC BETWEEN NEWFOUNDLAND AND ICELAND ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

At 9 a.m. GMT (5 a.m. AST), the center of now Post-Tropical Cyclone Sam was located over the far northern Atlantic Ocean about 690 miles (1110 km) east-northeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, and about 1110 miles (1785 km) southwest of Reykjavik, Iceland. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion should continue today with a further decrease in forward speed. A slow east-northeastward motion is forecast to begin by late today, and a northeastward motion is expected Wednesday and Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and gale-force winds extend outward up to 460 miles (740 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.64 inches). Although gradual weakening is forecast to occur during the next few days, Sam is expected to remain a powerful post-tropical cyclone over the north Atlantic today.

[Linked Image]

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues over the southeastern Bahamas and adjacent southwestern Atlantic waters in association with a surface trough. Upper-level winds are not expected to be favorable for significant tropical development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward over the next several days. By this weekend, the system is forecast to interact with a front near the coast of the southeastern United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553117
10/05/21 07:32 AM
10/05/21 07:32 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,294
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
.
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain mixed with sunshine and a calm sea around our barrier reef from a 5 mph Northeast breeze.
Today's expected high temperature is set at 88 f.

FB_IMG_1633433482013.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553118
10/05/21 08:02 AM
10/05/21 08:02 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,441
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
The easterly Caribbean continues, but is very slow down south, where there is some clashing with high level winds from the NNE causing some rain, and there was a band of rain across north Belize but now diminishing. There is strong, heavy high level cloud coming up from the south over Honduras, which may put more moisture into the Caribbean over the next few days. There is also cool air coming down off North America across the Gulf, stopping the Caribbean winds.

Looks as if today again, will be a mixture of sunshine, clouds and the chance of the odd rain shower.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 31°C 88°F Yesterday Rain 1 mm ( 0.04") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )

AD1AB3DA-C404-4AC0-913F-1BD2DD424EB4.pngF95EE4DA-2158-4AB4-8F98-E575311613F3.png
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553126
10/05/21 12:01 PM
10/05/21 12:01 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,441
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Mostly clear, widely scattered clouds. A few clouds around Ambergris Caye. Generally fair weather prevails but a gradual increase in moisture is expected over the next few days.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be generally isolated, with a few more over the south tonight, then offshore and along the coast tomorrow morning.

Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur over the south at first, increasing and spreading over most areas Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Tropical wave no. 35 is arriving in he Yucatan Peninsula in the next few hours. Storms are possible.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553127
10/05/21 04:07 PM
10/05/21 04:07 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,441
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Swell ups in the west.

B4DF0690-FDF3-4A45-A9F1-AA45064A3CC6.png
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 5, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553129
10/06/21 04:26 AM
10/06/21 04:26 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,441
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
Hot as heck but absolutely gorgeous! Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

Views at Dawn. Photos by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Tuesday's view from Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]

Hopkins on Tuesday. Photos by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


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