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Belize Weather Forecast: October 6, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning throughout the country. Mostly cloudy in San Pedro. Approaching tropical wave will support an increase in showers tonight. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and mostly cloudy tonight. A few showers or thunderstorms will develop mainly over southern and inland areas today, then increase and spread to the rest of the country tonight. Winds: E-NE, 5-10 kts Sea State: Slight to Light Chop Waves: 2-4 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86 Outlook: (Thur & Thur night) Cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms over most areas on Thursday, with showers decreasing somewhat Thursday night. Sargassum Forecast from October 5 to October 13: There continues to be a medium chance of sargassum affecting local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean. An upper level trough extends from the western Atlantic across the SE Bahamas to Belize, and is supporting the active convection described with the tropical wave along 80W. South of 12N, scattered strong convection is seen across NW Colombia westward to eastern Costa Rica and southward into the adjacent Pacific. Fresh to strong trade winds are directly behind the tropical wave and extend to 67W. These winds have generated seas of 7 to 9 ft across much of the central Caribbean. Fresh tradewinds prevail E of 67W and into the tropical Atlantic. Seas across the eastern Caribbean are 6 to 7 ft and 8 to 10 ft across the tropical Atlantic in N and NE swell. The eastern extension of the eastern Pacific Ocean monsoon trough extends from 10N74W in Colombia beyond Costa Rica along 09.5N. High pressure currently just NE of Bermuda, will slide ENE throughout the week supporting fresh to strong winds across the central Caribbean through Thu. Winds and seas will then diminish significantly early Fri through Sun as a surface trough moves W across the regional Atlantic waters. Moderate N to NE swell from Sam will affect the tropical Atlc waters and Caribbean passages through Wed night.   High Low Coastal 31° C 88° F 25° C 77° F Inland 34° C 93° F 22° C 72° F Hills 27° C 80° F 19° C 66° F TIDES: High: 9:58 AM Low: 3:54 PM High: 9:59 PM Low: 4:22 AM (Thu) Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonrise: 5:51 AM Sunset: 5:37 PM Moonset: 6:05 PM Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Tropical wave 35 is located over the Yucatan Peninsula, interacting with a cold front induced trough no. 2 over the Gulf of Mexico. Tropical wave 36 is approaching Belize, will cause showers starting tonight.



Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a surface trough centered about 100 miles northeast of the northwestern Bahamas. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant tropical development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward or northward over the next few days. Although upper-level winds could become a little less hostile by the weekend, the system is forecast to interact with a front near the coast of the southeastern United States around that time, and tropical development still appears unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.



For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 4 mph NE breeze giving the island a calm sea state around its barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 88f.

That high level cloud I mentioned yesterday, coming up from Honduras, has now filled the western Caribbean and is now starting to move our way, with the easterly Caribbean winds, so will probably be bringing in some rain tomorrow. Today there are areas of heavy cloud, presently down south and out at sea, causing some rain showers.

Looks as if today will be similar to yesterday, significant sunshine, a fair amount of clouds and a possibility of rain showers almost anywhere later today.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 312°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 6.5 mm ( 0.3") Over Night Rain 0.2 mm ( 0" )

Owl spotted at Cayo Frances Farm & Fly yesterday. Not the clearest picture but man�what a BEAUTIFUL bird�.if you are bigger than he is. Photo by San Pedro Scoop



Goodmorning from beautiful Hopkins Village!
Have a pleasant mid week. The weekend is only two days away! Photo by Hopkins Uncut



Flood Report and Forecast for October 6, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz. San Antonio. San Roman. and Douglas to the Coast, and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia. levels are normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remains below the spillways: and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town. levels are below normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run. levels are below normal and falling and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON. lagoon levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - The SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun is normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is normal and steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge levels are normal and steady. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER. levels are above normal and falling. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank. and the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER. levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North. and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman. and Douglas to the Coast. a minimal increase in river levels is expected: and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia. normal levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER. at all BECOL facilities. reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway: and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town. normal levels are expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal and steady levels is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun. a minimal increase is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village. no significant change in levels is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS. and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge. a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER. a minimal increase in levels is expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank. normal levels are expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South. levels are expected to increase minimally. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan. a minimal increase in levels is expected. On TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, a minimal increase in river levels is expected.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER. normal and levels is expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON OCTOBER 8, 2021

Rain showers in many places.



Present Condition: Partly cloudy, more so in the north and south. Not so much in the central regions. An approaching tropical wave will support an increase in moisture and showery activity during the next 24 to 36 hours. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding in low lying and flood prone areas. A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds near heavy showers and thunderstorms.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells this afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy tonight and tomorrow. A few showers and thunderstorms will occur around the country this afternoon, increasing overnight and into tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Thursday afternoon through to midday on Friday is for some showers and a few thunderstorms continuing over most areas, decreasing during the night.

A quiet night during slow season as the sun goes down on San Pedro Town, Ambergris Caye. Photos by the Ambergris Today













Today in Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop

Got a bit of rain and wind overnight� a tropical wave is coming in...

As forecasted, current satellite and radar images showing showers and thunderstorms beginning to affect some coastal areas, as a strong tropical wave approaches the country�

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS

SMALL CRAFT CAUTION REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS