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Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 #553182
10/08/21 06:13 AM
10/08/21 06:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Very cloudy skies this morning throughout the country as the end of a tropical wave moves through the area. Cloudy in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions linger, but a drier airmass is expected during the next 12 to 24hours.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. There is the possibility for flooding to occur over low-lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Today skies will be sunny with some cloudy spells. A few showers and thunderstorms will develop mainly offshore and along the coast this morning and then over inland areas this afternoon. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy along with a few coastal showers or thunderstorms.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms.
Sargassum Forecast from October 5 to October 13: There continues to be a medium chance of sargassum affecting local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, one in the Caribbean, and one in the E Bay of Campeche.

The most recent scatterometer data indicate the presence of fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to strong NE winds are also noted across the Windward passage. A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 64W. Fresh to strong easterly winds follow the wave. Please, see the Tropical Wave section for more details. Elsewhere gentle to moderate winds prevail. Seas are 6-8 ft across the south-central Caribbean, 5-6 ft E of 64W, and 3-5 ft elsewhere. Outside of the convective activity associated with the tropical wave, isolated showers and thunderstorms are noted over the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh trades are expected across the south-central Caribbean most of the forecast period as a weak ridge persist N of the Caribbean Sea. The tropical wave along 64W is forecast to reach the central Caribbean on Sat. A low level disturbance, currently located along 51W/52W, is accompanied by fresh to strong winds and active weather. It is forecast to reach the Windward Islands on Sat, and move across the eastern Caribbean Sun into Mon.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
Low: 5:11 AM High: 11:34 AM
Low: 4:56 PM High: 11:09 PM
Sunrise: 5:44 AM Moonrise: 7:52 AM
Sunset: 5:35 PM Moonset: 7:35 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553183
10/08/21 06:13 AM
10/08/21 06:13 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
We are monitoring multiple tropical waves spreading widespread tropical squalls across the entire Atlantic basin. Cyclone development is NOT expected in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean, and or the Gulf of Mexico. Take precautions as needed from heavy rain and flooding.

[Linked Image]

There are currently no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin.

An elongated area of low pressure located more than 100 miles off the coast of South Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the east of its center of circulation. Strong upper-level winds should prevent any significant tropical or subtropical development during the next few days. By late this weekend, the low is expected to interact with a frontal boundary located to its north, which should end the opportunity for tropical or subtropical formation. Regardless of development, the low is forecast to move slowly east-northeastward at about 5 mph, and it could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to eastern portions of the Carolinas through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553184
10/08/21 09:49 AM
10/08/21 09:49 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
That heavy Caribbean cloud has now passed, we are back into regular easterly Caribbean winds with some clouds and a few rain showers. Still a fair bit of thin high level cloud, but not the heavy stuff. But still significant rain in the south for the next few hours.

Looks as if today will remain fairly cloudy, with some sunshine, and a small chance of the odd rain shower.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 30°C 86°F Yesterday Rain 37.5 mm (1.5") Over Night Rain 8.5 mm (0.3")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553185
10/08/21 10:32 AM
10/08/21 10:32 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
These trees are holding hands. Happy Friday. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553188
10/08/21 10:50 AM
10/08/21 10:50 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Flood Report and Forecast for October 8, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remains below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are near normal and shows a minimal rise

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal levels continue; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, below normal levels continue. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is normal and steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge levels are near normal and falling. On the MONKEY RIVER on the Swasey branch, levels are normal and steady; and on the Bladen branch, levels are near normal and falling. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, below normal levels continue. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South levels are normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South, levels are above normal and steady; and at Jordan, levels are near normal and falling. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are near normal and falling.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are near normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

POSSIBILITY OF MODERATE URBAN FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN THE BELIZE DISTRICT AND THE PUNTA GORDA AREAS

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, levels are expected to increase minimally; and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, normal levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal levels are expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal and steady levels is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change in levels is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, a minimal increase in river levels is expected. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, river levels are expected to increase minimally. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are expected to increase minimally. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, normal levels are expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are expected to increase minimally. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, a minimal increase in levels is expected. On TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, a minimal increase in river levels is expected.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, normal and levels is expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON OCTOBER 11, 2021, OR AS NECESSARY

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553190
10/08/21 11:08 AM
10/08/21 11:08 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
A few showers around.

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553191
10/08/21 12:01 PM
10/08/21 12:01 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition:Partly cloudy, less so in the north. The tropical wave has mostly passed through. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions linger, but a drier airmass is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mostly over inland areas this afternoon and then over some coastal areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Saturday afternoon through to midday on Sunday is for generally fair weather with isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Birding in the Chiquibul


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 8, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553196
10/09/21 04:40 AM
10/09/21 04:40 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 76,245
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Beautiful day in San Pedro! Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

Friday afternoon view from Corozal. Photos by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]





Friday night in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]


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