Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Mainly fair and warm weather prevailing.
Today skies will be mostly sunny. Tonight will be partly cloudy to clear. Showers will be isolated with the chance of inland afternoon thunderstorms developing.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
For Wednesday and Wednesday night is for continuing fair and warm weather with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms developing.
Sargassum Forecast from October 5 to October 13:
There continues to be a medium chance of sargassum affecting local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours.
Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...
The Caribbean Sea
There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.
Outside of the active tropical wave described in the Tropical
Waves section, the rest of the Caribbean Sea has fairly tranquil
weather conditions. Fresh trades are noted over the E Caribbean
and the Gulf of Honduras, mainly within 90 nm of the coast of
Honduras. Moderate or weaker winds are present in the rest of the
basin. Seas of 3-6 ft are found in the central, E and SW
Caribbean, while 1-3 ft are prevalent elsewhere.
For the forecast, a tropical wave near 60W is expected to approach the
Lesser Antilles this morning and move near the Virgin Islands by
tonight. Expect thunderstorms and strong gusty winds with the
wave passage. Northerly swell will continue to impact the regional
Atlc waters and Caribbean passages today through Wed.
The Atlantic basin has no organized tropical systems at this time.
A tropical wave associated with a weak area of low pressure is located less than 200 miles east of the Windward Islands. While this system continues to produce showers and thunderstorms primarily east of its center, strong upper-level winds will likely prohibit further development on Tuesday. It has a low (0 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and five days. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday.
There is another tropical wave moving over Hispaniola, producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental conditions are not expected to support development of this system over the next day or two, some gradual development is possible starting on Wednesday when the system nears the southeastern Bahamas and begins moving slowly eastward. It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (10 percent) chance during the next five days.
Tropical wave 36 crossing south of the peninsula. Activity is very limited by powerful anticyclone on average levels over the Gulf. The same will happen to 37. We're going to have very hot days in the area. Map below from late Monday night.
For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
On Ambergris Caye this morning it seems we have a warm sunny day ahead with an expected high temperature of 90 f. The breeze is from the East and the sea around our barrier reef is calm. A beautiful morning.
Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Fair, warm, and dry weather prevails.
24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny during the daytime and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Mainly fair weather will prevail, with only isolated showers developing and the chance of isolated thunderstorms developing over the Maya Mountains.
Outlook: For Wednesday afternoon through to midday on Thursday is for continuing mainly fair weather, with only isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms developing.